Another bellwether measurement, or another waste of time (user search)
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  Another bellwether measurement, or another waste of time (search mode)
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Author Topic: Another bellwether measurement, or another waste of time  (Read 8472 times)
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« on: December 22, 2005, 09:10:58 AM »

I can fill in some of the "pre-1960" ones...

Massachusetts - Middlesex since at least 1960 (despite never voting for Reagan)

Middlesex was last off in 1952, at which time it voted for Eisenhower with a margin 14.27% when the statewide margin was only 8.76%, a differential of 5.51%.

So Middlesex is since 1956.

New Jersey - Burlington, Passaic since at least 1960

Burlington was first off in 1956, when it voted for Eisenhower by a margin of only 22.23%, while the statewide margin was 30.45%, a differential of 8.22%.

Passaic was first off in 1956, when it voted for Eisenhower by a margin of only 23.59%, while the statewide margin was 30.45%, a differential of 6.86%.

So both are since 1960.

Iowa - Poweshiek since at least 1960 (it's tiny, too!)

Poweshiek was last off in 1928 (!) when it voted for Hoover by a margin of 30.32% when the statewide margin was only 24.20%, a differential of 6.12%.

So Poweshiek is since 1932.
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Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: December 22, 2005, 09:57:04 PM »

Thanks, Gabu! I'll edit it in. What about Tuscaloosa?

Tuscaloosa was first off in 1956, when it voted for Stevenson by 23.13%, while the statewide margin was only 17.14%, a differential of 5.99%.

So Tuscaloosa is since 1960.
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Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: December 24, 2005, 06:46:03 PM »


Stutsman was first off in 1952, when it voted for Eisenhower by a margin of only 35.87%, while the statewide margin was 42.58%, a differential of 6.71%.

So Stutsman is since 1956.


Fremont was first off in 1956, when it voted for Eisenhower by a margin of 31.09%, while the statewide margin was only 20.16%, a differential of 10.93%.

So Fremont is since 1960.
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