Another bellwether measurement, or another waste of time
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  Another bellwether measurement, or another waste of time
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Author Topic: Another bellwether measurement, or another waste of time  (Read 8418 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« on: December 20, 2005, 05:58:51 AM »
« edited: December 25, 2005, 04:16:53 PM by Supa Hasi, with Mawil »

In this thread, I'll be looking at for how long counties have been voting within 5 points of a) their state b) the nation. So, if Candidate X carries State Y by 2.7 points in 1359, all the counties he won by up to 7.7 points or lost by up to 2.3 points are bellwethers for that year and state. By state will be done first.

Maine - Aroostook, Oxford since 1988
New Hampshire - Merrimack since 1980
Vermont - Bennington since 1964
Massachusetts - Middlesex since 1956 (despite never voting for Reagan)
Rhode Island - Bristol, Newport since 2004
Connecticut - New Haven, Tolland since 1964
New York - Westchester since 2000
New Jersey - Burlington, Passaic since 1960
Pennsylvania - Carbon, Luzerne, Northampton since 1980
Ohio - Lake since 1980
Indiana - Fayette since 1980
Illinois - Henderson since 1992
Michigan - Kalamazoo since 1988
Wisconsin - Racine since 1976 (despite voting for Bush jr twice)
Minnesota - Pope, Yellow Medicine since 1988
Iowa - Poweshiek since 1932! (it's tiny, too!)
Missouri - Clay since 1964
Delaware - none since 2004
Maryland - Howard since 2004
Virginia - Essex since 1976
West Virginia - Greenbrier since 1976
North Carolina - Lenoir since 1984
South Carolina - Laurens, Saluda since 1984
Georgia - Decatur since 1984
Florida - Pinellas since 1980
Kentucky - Daviess since 1976
Tennessee - Carroll since 1968
Alabama - Tuscaloosa since 1960
Mississippi - Leake, Tate, Warren since 1984
Arkansas - Johnson, Van Buren since 1980
Louisiana - Claiborne since 1980
Oklahoma - Comanche since 1976
Texas - Tarrant, Uvalde since 1992
Kansas - Osage since 1976
Nebraska - Otoe since 1984
South Dakota - Codington since 1976
North Dakota - Stutsman since 1956
Montana - Lake since 1984
Idaho - Benewah, Boundary, Clearwater, Kootenai since 2004
Wyoming - Fremont since 1960
Colorado - Jefferson since 1996 (but see note)
New Mexico - Bernalillo since 1980
Arizona - Maricopa since 1996 (despite voting for Dole that year)
Utah - Wasatch since 1992
Nevada - Washoe since 2004
Washington - Snohomish since 1972
Oregon - Washington since 1992
California - Lake, San Benito since 1992
Alaska - no data
Hawaii - none since 2004

by nation will be done some other day and presumably year. Someone to the rescue for Stutsman and Fremont please.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2005, 06:08:18 AM »

Maine-
out in 2004 Cumberland (too dem), Penobscot, Piscataquis, Somerset, Washington (too rep)
out in 2000 Androscoggin, Kennebec (too dem), Hancock, Lincoln, Waldo (too rep)
out in 1996 Franklin (too dem), Knox (too rep)
out in 1988 Sagadahoc, York (too rep)
out in 1984 Aroostook, Oxford (too rep)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2005, 06:14:02 AM »
« Edited: December 20, 2005, 06:15:34 AM by Lewis L.T. Trondheim »

New Hampshire-
out in 2004 Cheshire, Grafton, Strafford (too dem), Belknap, Carroll, Rockingham (too rep)
out in 1996 Coos (too dem)
out in 1992 Sullivan (too dem)
out in 1988 Hillsborough (too rep)
out in 1976 Merrimack (too rep)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #3 on: December 20, 2005, 06:23:15 AM »

Vermont -
out in 2004 Chittenden, Lamoille, Windham (too dem), Caledonia, Essex, Franklin, Grand Isle, Orange, Orleans, Rutland (too rep)
out in 1984 Washington (too dem)
out in 1972 Addison (too rep)
out in 1968 Windsor (too rep)
out in 1960 Bennington (too rep)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #4 on: December 20, 2005, 06:31:54 AM »

Massachusetts-
out in 2004 Berkshire, Dukes, Franklin, Hampshire, Suffolk (too dem), Barnstable, Essex, Plymouth, Worcester (too rep)
out in 2000 Bristol (too dem)
out in 1988 Hampden, Nantucket (too dem)
out in 1980 Norfolk (too rep)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #5 on: December 20, 2005, 06:35:02 AM »

Rhode Island
out in 2004 - Providence (too dem), Kent, Washington (too rep)
out in 2000 - Bristol, Newport (too rep). No county was within 5 points of the state result in 2000.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #6 on: December 20, 2005, 06:42:24 AM »

Connecticut-
out in 2004 Hartford (too dem), Fairfield, Litchfield (too rep)
out in 1992 Middlesex, New London (too dem)
out in 1976 Windham (too dem)
out in 1960 New Haven (too dem), Tolland (too rep)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #7 on: December 20, 2005, 06:56:01 AM »

New York
out in 2004 - Albany, Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Tompkins (too dem), Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Columbia, Cortlandt, Delaware, Dutchess, Essex, Franklin, Fulton, Genesee, Greene, Hamilton, Herkimer, Jefferson, Lewis, Livingston, Madison, Monroe, Montgomery, Nassau, Niagara, Oneida, Onondaga, Ontario, Orange, Orleans, Oswego, Otsego, Putnam, Rensselaer, Richmond, Rockland, Saint Lawrence, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben, Suffolk, Sullivan, Tioga, Ulster, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Wyoming, Yates (too rep)
out in 2000 - Erie (too dem)
out in 1996 - Westchester (too rep)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #8 on: December 20, 2005, 07:06:04 AM »

New Jersey -
out in 2004 Camden, Essex, Hudson, Mercer, Middlesex, Union (too dem), Cape May, Hunterdon, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Salem, Somerset, Sussex, Warren (too rep)
out in 1996 Cumberland (too dem)
out in 1984 Bergen (too rep)
out in 1976 Atlantic, Gloucester (too dem)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #9 on: December 20, 2005, 07:20:18 AM »

Where sane posters do not tread, Pennsylvania -
out in 2004 Allegheny, Delaware, Erie, Lackawanna, Montgomery, Philadelphia (too dem), Adams, Armstrong, Bedford, Berks, Blair, Bradford, Butler, Cameron, Centre, Chester, Clarion, Clearfield, Clinton, Columbia, Crawford, Cumberland, Dauphin, Elk, Forest, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Indiana, Jefferson, Juniata, Lancaster, Lebanon, Lycoming, McKean, Mercer, Mifflin, Montour, Northumberland, Perry, Pike, Potter, Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Sullivan, Susquehanna, Tioga, Union, Venango, Warren, Wayne, Westmoreland, Wyoming, York (too rep)
out in 2000 Fayette, Greene (too dem), Monroe (too rep)
out in 1996 Beaver, Cambria, Lawrence, Washington (too dem), Bucks, Lehigh (too rep)
out in 1976 Carbon, Luzerne, Northampton (too dem)

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minionofmidas
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« Reply #10 on: December 20, 2005, 07:42:47 AM »

Ohio-
out in 2004 Ashtabaula, Athens, Belmont, Cuyahoga, Erie, Franklin, Jefferson, Lorain, Lucas, Mahoning, Monroe, Portage, Summit, Trumbull (too dem), Adams, Allen, Ashland, Auglaize, Brown, Butler, Carroll, Champaign, Clermont, Clinton, Coshocton, Crawford, Darke, Defiance, Delaware, Fairfield, Fayette, Fulton, Gallia, Geauga, Greene, Guernsey, Hancock, Hardin, Henry, Highland, Holmes, Huron, Jackson, Knox, Lawrence, Licking, Logan, Madison, Marion, Medina, Meigs, Mercer, Miami, Morgan, Monroe, Muskingum, Noble, Paulding, Pickaway, Preble, Putnam, Richland, Ross, Sandusky, Seneca, Shelby, Tuscarawas, Union, Van Wert, Vinton, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Williams, Wyandot (too rep)
out in 2000 Montgomery (too dem), Hamilton, Hocking, Wood (too rep)
out in 1996 Columbiana, Harrison, Ottawa, Pike (too dem)
out in 1992 Scioto (too dem)
out in 1988 Clark (too rep)
out in 1984 Perry (too rep)
out in 1980 Stark (too rep)
out in 1976 Lake (too dem)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #11 on: December 20, 2005, 08:09:42 AM »

Indiana -
out in 2004 Crawford, Delaware, Lake, LaPorte, Marion, Monroe, Perry, Porter, Saint Joseph, Scott, Starke, Vermilion, Vigo (too dem), Adams, Allen, Batholomew, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, Dearborn, Decatur, DeKalb, Dubois, Elkhart, Fountain, Franklin, Fulton, Gibson, Grant, Greene, Hamilton, Hancock, Harrison, Hendricks, Henry, Howard, Huntington, Jackson, Jasper, Jay, Jennings, Johnson, Knox, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Marshall, Martin, Miami, Montgomery, Morgan, Newton, Noble, Orange, Owen, Parke, Posey, Pulaski, Putnam, Randolph, Ripley, Rush, Shelby, Spencer, Steuben, Tipton, Union, Wabash, Warren, Warrick, Washington, Wells, White, Whitley (too rep)
out in 2000 Clark, Madison, Sullivan, Vanderburgh (too dem), Lawrence, Ohio (too rep)
out in 1996 Floyd, Jefferson, Pike, Switzerland (too dem), Tippecanoe (too rep)
out in 1984 Brown (too dem), Wayne (too rep)
out in 1976 Fayette (too dem)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #12 on: December 20, 2005, 08:20:35 AM »

Illinois -
Cook (too dem), Adams, Alexander, Bond, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, DeKalb, DeWitt, Douglas, DuPage, Edgar, Edwards, Effingham, Fayette, Ford, Franklin, Gallatin, Greene, Grundy, Hancock, Hardin, Henry, Iroquois, Jasper, Jefferson, Jersey, Jo Davies, Johnson, Kane, Kankakee, Kendall, Knox, Lake, LaSalle, Lawrence, Lee, Livingston, Logan, McDonough, McHenry, McLean, Macon, Macoupin, Madison, Marion, Marshall, Mason, Massac, Menard, Mercer, Monroe, Montgomery, Morgan, Moultrie, Ogle, Peoria, Perry, Piatt, Pike, Pope, Pulaski, Putnam, Randolph, Richland, Saline, Sangamon, Schuyler, Scott, Shelby, Stark, Stephenson, Tazewell, Union, Vermilion, Wabash, Warren, Washington, Wayne, White, Whiteside, Will, Williamson, Winnebago, Woodford (too rep). LOL f*c*ing LOL.
out in 2000 Rock Island (too dem)
out in 1996 Fulton (too dem)
out in 1992 Jackson, Saint Clair (too dem)
out in 1988 Henderson (too dem)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #13 on: December 20, 2005, 09:32:13 AM »

Michigan -
out in 2004 Bay, Genesee, Ingham, Muskegon, Washtenaw, Wayne (too dem), Alcona, Allegan, Alpena, Antrim, Baraga, Barry, Benzie, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Chippewa, Clare, Clinton, Crawford, Dickinson, Eaton, Emmet, Gladwin, Grand Traverse, Gratiot, Hillsdale, Houghton, Huron, Ionia, Iosco, Jackson, Kalkaska, Kent, Keweenaw, Lapeer, Leelanau, Lenawee, Livingston, Luce, Mackinac, Mason, Mecosta, Menominee, Midland, Missaukee, Monroe, Montcalm, Montmorency, Newaygo, Oceana, Ogemaw, Ontonagon, Osceola, Oscoda, Otsego, Ottawa, Presque Isle, Roscommon, Saint Clair, Saint Joseph, Sanilac, Schoolcraft, Shiawassee, Tuscola,Van Buren, Wexford (too rep)
out in 2000 Lake, Saginaw (too dem), Alger, Delta (too rep)
out in 1996 Arenac, Gogebic, Iron, Marquette (too dem)
out in 1992 Manistee (too dem), Macomb, Oakland (too rep)
out in 1988 Isabella (too rep)
out in 1984 Kalamazoo (too rep)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #14 on: December 20, 2005, 09:50:34 AM »

Wisconsin -
out in 2004 Ashland, Bayfield, Buffalo, Crawford, Dane, Douglas, Eau Claire, Green, Iowa, Jackson, Kenosha, LaCrosse, Lafayette, Menominee, Milwaukee, Pepin, Portage, Rock, Trempealeau, Vernon (too dem), Brown, Calumet, Clark, Dodge, Florence, Fond du Lac, Green Lake, Jefferson, Juneau, Kewaunee, Langlade, Manitowoc, Marathon, Marinette, Marquette, Monroe, Oconto, Outagamie, Ozaukee, Saint Croix, Sawyer, Shawano, Sheboygan, Taylor, Vilas, Walworth, Washington, Waukesha, Waupeca, Waushara, Winnebago (too rep)
out in 2000 Adams, Sauk (too dem), Door, Forest, Oneida, Price, Rusk, Wood (too rep)
out in 1996 Burnett, Dunn, Lincoln, Pierce, Polk (too dem)
out in 1992 Iron (too dem)
out in 1988 Columbia, Grant, Richland (too rep)
out in 1984 Chippewa (too dem)
out in 1976 Barron, Washburn (too dem)
out in 1972 Racine (too rep)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #15 on: December 20, 2005, 10:14:33 AM »

Minnesota-
out in 2004 Carlton, Freeborn, Hennepin, Itasca, Lake, Mower, Ramsey, Saint Louis, Swift (too dem), Aitkin, Anoka, Becker, Benton,Brown, Carver, Cass, Chisago, Clay, Clearwater, Cottonwood, Crow Wing, Dakota, Dodge, Douglas, Faribault, Goodhue, Houston, Hubbard, Isanti, Jackson, Kanabec, Kandiyohi, Lake of the Woods, Le Sueur, Lincoln, Lyon, McLeod, Marshall, Martin, Meeker, Mille Lacs, Morrison, Murray, Nobles, Olmsted, Otter Tail, Pennington, Pipestone, Polk, Red Lake, Redwood, Renville, Rock, Roseau, Scott, Sherburne, Sibley, Stearns, Steele, Stevens, Todd, Traverse, Wabasha, Wadena, Waseca, Washington, Watonwan, Wilkin, Wright (too rep)
out in 2000 Rice (too dem), Beltrami, Cook, Grant, Kittson, Koochiching, Mahnomen (too rep)
out in 1996 Lac qui Parle, Pine (too dem)
out in 1992 Fillmore, Nicollet, Norman, Winona (too rep)
out in 1988 Big Stone (too dem), Blue Earth, Chippewa (too rep)
out in 1984 Pope, Yellow Medicine (too rep)


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minionofmidas
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« Reply #16 on: December 20, 2005, 10:35:58 AM »

Iowa-
out in 2004 Black Hawk, Buchanan, Cedar, Chickasaw, Clayton, Clinton, Des Moines, Dubuque, Floyd, Howard, Jackson, Jasper, Jefferson, Johnson, Lee, Linn, Mitchell, Story, Wapello, Worth (too dem), Adair, Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford, Dallas, Davis, Decatur, Delaware, Dickinson, Emmet, Franklin, Fremont, Grundy, Guthrie, Hancock, Hardin, Harrison, Henry, Humboldt, Ida, Iowa, Keokuk, Kossuth, Lucas, Lyon, Madison, Mahaska, Marion, Mills, Montgomery, O'Brien, Osceola, Page, Plymouth, Pocahontas, Pottawattamie, Ringgold, Sac, Shelby, Sioux, Taylor, Union, Van Buren, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Winnebago, Wright (too rep)
out in 2000 Jones (too dem), Allamakee, Appanoose, Hamilton, Monona (too rep)
out in 1996 Benton, Boone, Clarke, Monroe (too dem), Woodbury (too rep)
out in 1988 Greene, Palo Alto, Polk, Webster (too dem), Bremer, Fayette, Louisa, Muscatine, Scott, Winneshiek (too rep)
out in 1984 Cedar (too rep)
out in 1980 Marshall, Tama (too rep)




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minionofmidas
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« Reply #17 on: December 20, 2005, 11:25:07 AM »

Missouri -
out in 2004 Boone, Jackson, Jefferson, Pemiscot, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Louis, Saint Louis city, Washington (too dem), Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Audrain, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Bollinger, Butler, Kramer, Callaway, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carroll ,Carter, Cass, Cedar, Christian, Cole, Cooper, Crawford, Dade, Dallas, Davis, DeKalb, Denton, Douglas, Dunklin, Franklin, Gasconade, Gentry, Greene, Grundy, Henderson, Henry, Hickory, Holt, Howard, Howell, Jasper, Johnson, Knox, Laclede, Lafayette, Lawrence, Lewis, Lincoln, Linn, Livingston, McDonald, Macon, Madison, Maries, Marion, Mercer, Miller, Moniteau, Monroe, Montgomery, Morgan, Newton, Nodaway, Oregon, Osage, Ozark, Perry, Pettis, Phelps, Polk, Pulaski, Putnam, Ralls, Randolph, Reynolds, Ripley, Saint Charles, Saint Clair, Scotland, Scott, Shannon, Shelby, Stoddard, Stone, Sullivan, Taney, Texas, Vernon, Warren, Wayne, Webster, Worth, Wright (too rep)
out in 2000 Buchanan, Mississippi, New Madrid, Ray (too dem), Chariton, Schuyler (too rep)
out in 1996 Clark, Iron, Pike, Saint Francois, Saline (too dem), Platte (too rep)
out in 1988 Clinton (too dem)
out in 1960 Clay (too rep)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #18 on: December 20, 2005, 11:30:53 AM »

Delaware - I'll spare that a separate post.

Maryland -
out in 2004 Baltimore city, Montgomery, Prince George's (too dem), Allegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carrol, Cecil, Charles, Dorchester, Frederick, Garrett, Harford, Kent, Queen Anne's, Saint Mary's, Somerset, Talbot, Washington, Wicomico, Worcester (too rep)
out in 2000 Howard (too rep)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #19 on: December 20, 2005, 11:56:59 AM »

Virginia - Albemarle, Arlington, Brunswick, Buchanan, Caroline, Charles City, Dickenson, Fairfax, Greensville, Nelson, Northampton, Prince Edward, Surry, Sussex, Westmoreland counties, Alexandria, Charlottesville, Covington, Danville, Emporia, Fairfax, Falls Church, Franklin, Fredericksburg, Hampton, Lexington, Martinsville, Newport News, Norfolk, Petersburg, Portsmouth, Richmond, Roanoke, Wiliamsburg cities (too dem), Accomack, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta, Bath, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt, Campbell, Carroll, Charlotte, Chesterfield, Clarke, Craig, Culpeper, Cumberland, Dinwiddie, Fauquier, Floyd, Fluvanna, Franklin, Frederick, Giles, Gloucester, Goochland, Grayson, Greene, Halifax, Hanover, Henry, Highland, Isle of Wight, James City, King George, King William, Lancaster, Lee, Louisa, Madison, Mathews, Mecklenburg, Middlesex, New Kent, Northumberland, Orange, Page, Patrick, Pittsylvania, Powhatan, Prince George, Pulaski, Richmond, Roanoke, Rockbridge, Rockingham, Scott, Shenandoah, Smyth, Spotsylvania, Stafford, Tazewell, Warren, Washington, Wise, Wythe, York counties, Bedford, Bristol, Buena Vista, Chesapeake, Colonial Heights, Galax, Poquoson, Salem, Staunton, Virginia Beach, Waynesboro, Winchester cities (too rep)
out in 2000 King and Queen, Russell, Southampton counties, Norton, Radford, Suffolk cities (too dem), Loudoun county, Harrisonburg, Manassas Park cities (too rep)
out in 1996 Alleghany, Buckingham counties (too dem), Henrico county, Hopewell, Manassas cities (too rep)
out in 1992 Prince William county, Lynchburg city (too rep. From here on, all are counties)
out in 1988 Lunenburg (too dem)
out in 1984 Nottoway (too dem)
out in 1980 Montgomery, Rappahannock (too dem)
out in 1972 Essex (too dem)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #20 on: December 20, 2005, 12:09:04 PM »

West Virginia -
out in 2004 Boone, Braxton, Brooke, Fayette, Hancock, Jefferson, Kanawha, Lincoln, Logan, McDowell, Marion, Mingo, Monongalia, Nicholas, Webster, Wetzel, Wyoming (too dem), Barbour, Berkeley, Doddridge, Grant, Hampshire, Hardy, Lewis, Mineral, Monroe, Morgan, Pendleton, Pleasants, Pocahontas, Preston, Putnam, Raleigh, Ritchie, Taylor, Tucker, Tyler, Upshur, Wirt, Wood (too rep)
out in 2000 Harrison, Summers, Wayne (too dem), Calhoun, Gilmer, Jackson, Randolph, Roane (too rep)
out in 1996 Cabell, Mercer, Ohio (too rep)
out in 1992 Clay, Marshall (too dem)
out in 1980 Mason (too rep)
out in 1972 Greenbrier (too rep)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #21 on: December 21, 2005, 08:21:22 AM »

North Carolina -
out in 2004 Anson, Bertie, Bladen, Buncombe, Caswell, Chatham, Columbus, Cumberland, Durham, Edgecombe, Gates, Granville, Guilford, Halifax, Hertford, Hoke, Jackson, Martin, Mecklenburg, Northampton, Orange, Pasquotank, Richmond, Robeson, Scotland, Swain, Vance, Wake, Warren, Washington, Watauga, Wilson, Yancey (too dem), Alamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Beaufort, Brunswick, Burke, Cabarrus, Kramer, Camden, Carteret, Catawba, Cherokee, Clay, Cleveland, Craven, Currituck, Dare, Davidson, Davie, Gaston, Graham, Greene, Harnett, Henderson, Iredell, Johnston, Lee, Lincoln, McDowell, Macon, Mitchell, Moore, Onslow, Pamlico, Pender, Perquimans, Person, Randolph, Rockingham, Rowan, Rutherford, Stanly, Stokes, Surry, Transylvania, Union, Wayne, Wilkes, Yadkin (too rep)
out in 2000 Chowan, Franklin, Hyde, Jones (too dem), Nash, Polk (too rep)
out in 1996 Duplin, Haywood, Madison, Montgomery, Tyrrell (too dem), Forsyth (too rep)
out in 1992 New Hanover (too rep)
out in 1988 Pitt, Sampson (too dem)
out in 1980 Lenoir (too rep)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #22 on: December 21, 2005, 08:31:09 AM »

South Carolina
out in 2004 Abbeville, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Charleston, Chester, Chesterfield, Clarendon, Colleton, Darlington, Dillon , Fairfield, Georgetown, Hampton, Jasper, Lee, McCormick, Marion, Marlboro, Orangeburg, Richland, Sumter, Union, Williamsburg (too dem), Aiken, Anderson, Berkeley, Cherokee, Dorchester, Greenville, Greenwood, Horry, Kershaw, Lancaster, Lexington, Newberry, Oconee, Pickens, Spartanburg, York (too rep). The ultra-republicanness of the heavily populated SC Piedmont leads to a partial reversal of the traditional roles in SC - once you normalize for the result, the Reps are the "few big counties" party!
out in 2000 Edgefield (too dem)
out in 1996 Beaufort (too rep)
out in 1984 Florence (too dem)
out in 1980 Laurens, Saluda (too dem)

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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #23 on: December 21, 2005, 08:45:08 AM »

Georgia. The horror (no. of counties...) - okay whatever. If a county's not listed it's "out in 2004 (too rep)"
out in 2004 Baker, Baldwin, Bibb, Burke, Calhoun, Chatham, Chattahoochee, Clarke, Clay, Clayton, DeKalb, Dooly, Dougherty, Fulton, Hancock, Jefferson, Liberty, McIntosh, Macon, Meriwether, Mitchell, Muscogee, Peach, Quitman, Randolph, Richmond, Stewart, Sumter, Talbot, Taliaferro, Terrell, Twiggs, Warren, Washington, Webster, Wilkes, Wilkinson (too dem)
out in 2000 Ben Hill, Jenkins, Screven, Taylor, Telfair, Wheeler (too dem), Rockdale (too rep)
out in 1996 Brooks, Early, Elbert, Greene, Marion, Seminole (too dem)
out in 1992 Lowndes (too rep)
out in 1980 Decatur (too rep)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #24 on: December 21, 2005, 08:56:46 AM »

Florida-
out in 2004 Alachua, Broward, Gadsden, Jefferson, Leon, Miami-Dade, Monroe, Orange, Palm Beach, Saint Lucie, Volusia (too dem), Baker, Bay, Bradford, Brevard, Calhoun, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay, Collier, Columbia, De Soto, Dixie, Duval, Escambia, Franklin, Gilchrist, Glades, Gulf, Hamilton, Hardee, Hendry, Highlands, Holmes, Indian River, Jackson, Lafayette, Lake, Lee, Levy, Liberty, Manatee, Marion, Martin, Nassau, Okaloosa, Okeechobee, Polk, Putnam, Saint Johns, Santa Rosa, Seminole, Sumter, Suwannee, Taylor, Union, Wakulla, Walton, Washington (too rep)
out in 2000 Sarasota (too rep)
out in 1996 Hernando, Pasco (too dem)
out in 1992 Madison (too dem), Osceola (too rep)
out in 1984 Flagler (too dem)
out in 1980 Hillsborough (too dem)
out in 1976 Pinellas (too rep)
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