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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderators: Kalwejt, Apocrypha)
  2018 Arizona Senate Election: Jeff Flake vs. Kyrsten Sinema
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Author Topic: 2018 Arizona Senate Election: Jeff Flake vs. Kyrsten Sinema  (Read 734 times)
TML
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« on: September 07, 2019, 12:38:49 pm »

If Jeff Flake decided to run for re-election in 2018 and won the primary, would he have been able to hold on to his seat in the general election?
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Canis
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« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2019, 12:51:40 pm »

kelli ward would have beaten hi in the primary then lost by more than mcsally
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TML
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« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2019, 12:55:50 pm »

kelli ward would have beaten hi in the primary then lost by more than mcsally

The purposes of this thread is to assume that Flake wins the primary. Your scenario is reserved for a separate thread.
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bagelman
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« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2019, 01:02:46 pm »
« Edited: September 24, 2019, 06:59:36 pm by Swing State Ohio »

Flake wins narrowly without a strong right wing populist indie bid.
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L.D. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2019, 01:05:38 pm »

Sinema by 4.

Flake wasn't popular and McSally saved face by going full-on Trump, or would have if theattacks of hers weren't 2004 Era.

Better question, could Richard Carmona have won in a rematch.
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ReaganClinton
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2019, 11:20:50 am »

Flake was obviously unpopular throughout 2018. If the Republicans don't turn out for a primary opponent, they certainly wouldn't turn out for him in a general. Sinema wins by maybe 3-5 with the Dems midterm momentum.
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connally68
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2019, 03:33:24 pm »

Sinema wins by an even bigger margin. She would get about 53 or 54 percent.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2019, 05:38:31 pm »

Sinema wins by an even bigger margin. She would get about 53 or 54 percent.

I certainly agree with this. Flake was unpopular with the Republican base, and I'm sure that more of Ducey's voters would have defected to Sinema.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2019, 07:55:28 am »

Sinema wins by 50-46.
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connally68
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2019, 07:58:05 am »

McSally was way more popular than Flake in Arizona.
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