Impacts to the Electoral College if Florida was broken up into four states
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2025, 10:17:02 PM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Impacts to the Electoral College if Florida was broken up into four states
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Impacts to the Electoral College if Florida was broken up into four states  (Read 345 times)
TheRealRight
Rookie
**
Posts: 18
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 05, 2019, 10:53:10 PM »

Florida has determined the winner of many close presidential elections because it is currently the largest swing state. Central Florida determines the winner of many presidential elections because it is the only major population center of the state that swings back and forth with different elections. Many states have different regions of the state with different subcultures, demographics, and politics. For example, upstate New York is much different than the New York City Metropolitan area. Florida is one of the most complex states when it comes to cultures, demographics, and politics. There are four distinct regions of Florida which include North Florida, Central Florida, South Florida, and the Florida Keys. Each of these regions have far different politics.

North Florida retains the same culture and politics as elsewhere in the Deep South. North Florida is solidly Republican except for Tallahassee, which is heavily democratic, and Jacksonville which is a pivotal city. North Florida would be worth 6 Solid Republican Electoral Votes.

Central Florida contains the I-4 Corridor which spans from Daytona Beach to Tampa. This entire area with the exception of a few cities is purple due to demographics. Many retirees migrate to this area as well as many Puerto Ricans. This area would be worth 10 Tossup Electoral Votes.

South Florida is the most populated metro area of the state which votes heavily Democratic. The culture as well as the demographics of South Florida follows many Latin American countries. There are no remains of Southern Culture in South Florida.  1/3 of the population are natives, 1/3 migrated from another state, and the last third migrated from another country. This area would be worth 12 Solid Democratic Electoral Votes.

The culture of The Florida Keys is a mixture of old Southern Culture and Bahamian Culture. There isn't much diversity here when it comes to race and ethnicity. Monroe county is a pivotal county. If the Florida Keys were a state it would only be worth one tossup electoral vote.

This breakup of Florida would be a slight advantage to Democrats since 12 Electoral Votes would be Solid Democratic, while only 6 Electoral Votes would be Solid Republican. The rest of the electoral votes are tossups.

What other impacts would the breakup of Florida have on the electoral college?
Logged
Mister Mets
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,482
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2019, 08:39:01 AM »

If Florida were split into four states, you would add an additional total six electoral votes since those new states would have Senators.

So the splitup would be...
North Florida with 8 solid Republican votes.
Central Florida with around 11 tossup votes.
South Florida with around 13 solid Democratic votes.
The Florida Keys with 3 tossup votes.

Although looking at the 26th congressional district results, the Florida keys seems to be solidly Democratic. It did recently have a two-term Republican congressman, but he came in during a wave year and Democratic presidential contenders have typically had 55% or more.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 1.446 seconds with 10 queries.