If there were somehow a vote to split the US along political lines, which states would vote for it?

[Horatii]

Yes, I know, impossible or unrealistic, but it's a fun hypothetical. If there were some sort of national vote or referendum in the (sort of distant and even more polarized) future to split the country in two, which states would be most likely to vote yes? Which states would be the most opposed?

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Yes, I know, impossible or unrealistic, but it's a fun hypothetical. If there were some sort of national vote or referendum in the (sort of distant and even more polarized) future to split the country in two, which states would be most likely to vote yes? Which states would be the most opposed?

Hot take: Every state would vote against it.

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Yes, I know, impossible or unrealistic, but it's a fun hypothetical. If there were some sort of national vote or referendum in the (sort of distant and even more polarized) future to split the country in two, which states would be most likely to vote yes? Which states would be the most opposed?

Hot take: Every state would vote against it.

Not even a hot take. I'd say it's very obvious!

[Chips]

West Virginia if the vote is very lucky but that's about it.

[Vice President Christian Man]

Wyoming & California are the most likely to but for different reasons.

[Schiff for Senate]

TX seems like it would be sessionist but that's mainly Republicans who support it and I imagine Democrats will control TX by 2040. CA and some ex-Confederacy states might support this but a lot depends on the circumstances. I also feel like GOP states might be more open to supporting this idea. However it's very unlikely to even win one state. Depends a lot on who gets to choose. If it's the governors, then the nation's in big trouble, but if it's a popular referendum that requires a high threshold (say, north of 60%), then a majority of states would vote against.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

if things go far enough that this is a serious proposal I think probably the majority in each state supports it, with voters for the other party voting against

[E-Dawg]

This would basically be Horseshoe Theory: The Election (with moderates voting No, opposite to hardcore partisans on both sides voting Yes)

[LAB-LIB]

If the vote were just held without an outpouring of support for it, it would fail in every state. I've often wondered what would happen if there were independence movements in the U.S. as strong as those in other countries like the U.K.

Like if instead of the Scottish National Party (SNP), we had a California National Party that took California and its votes from the Democrats permanently ensuring that Democrats could not win a majority and hurting Democrats in unionist battleground seats in other seats. Republicans would be in charge even more and the Californian Independence Movement would become even more popular and it would escalate until there was a referendum of some sort.

But hey, just speculation.

[GregTheGreat657]