Rasmussen: Schwarzenegger Trails Two Democrats

[TheresNoMoney]

CA Governor Poll (500 Likely Voters)

Schwarzenegger  40%
Phil Angelides       44%

Schwarzenegger  39%
Steve Westley      46%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2005/California%20Governor.htm

The Governator is in trouble.

[TheresNoMoney]

OMG FOUR POINTS DOWN, HE IS OVER!!!

Not over, but when you're already trailing two candidates who have a little more than half your name recognition you're in big trouble.

[TheresNoMoney]

With a nearly 2-to-1 disapproval, an incumbent being down only four points or so is extraordinarily good.

Any incumbent polling at 39% or 40% is actually very bad. Also, this poll likely oversampled Republicans. I mean, do you really believe that Bush has a 41% approval rating in California? That's at least 5-8 points higher than all other California polls. And Schwarzenegger's supposed 43% approval is much higher than other recent polls as well.

Schwarzenegger can't really go anywhere but up at this point, so Angelides and Westley are clearly barely hanging on.

Hilarious spin.

Angelides and Westly are largely unknown entities who haven't even started campaigning yet. When you have unknown entities already leading a well-known incumbent, then that incumbent is in deep trouble.

[TheresNoMoney]

That may be true, but it's still an underperformance by the Democrats for candidates with such high recognition numbers

Arnold's name recognition is 25 percentage points higher than his opponents.