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Mr. Smith
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« on: September 01, 2019, 08:56:28 PM »

Presidential (2000-2016)

2000



G.W. Bush/Cheney: 185 EV
Gore/Lieberman: 167 EV*

2004



G.W. Bush/Cheney: 171 EV
Kerry/Edwards: 112 EV

2008



Obama/Biden: 200 EV
McCain/Palin: 130 EV

2012



Obama/Biden: 158 EV
Romney/Ryan: 153 EV


2016



Trump/Pence: 137 EV
H. Clinton/Kaine: 104 EV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2019, 05:06:10 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2020, 12:05:37 PM by L.D. Smith »

Okay, going back to '68.

Returns of '52 and '64 are just bits and pieces, and '60 are a bit inconsistent.

1968



Nixon/Agnew: 94 EV
Humphrey/Muskie: 71 EV
G. Wallace/LeMay: 39

1972 APPROX



Nixon/Agnew: 293 EV [PRESIDENT ELECT]
McGovern/Shriver: 17 EV

1976



Carter/Mondale: 197 EV
Ford/Dole: 64 EV

1980



Reagan/G.H.W. Bush: 296 EV [PRESIDENT ELECT]
Carter/Mondale: 25 EV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2019, 01:03:26 PM »

1984



Reagan/G.H.W. Bush: 405 EV [PRESIDENT ELECT]
Mondale/Ferraro: 3 EV

1988



G.H.W. Bush/Quayle: 243 EV
Dukakis/Bentsen: 72 EV

1992



B. Clinton/Gore: 247 EV
G.H.W. Bush/Quayle: 46 EV


1996



B. Clinton/Gore: 275 EV [PRESIDENT ELECT]
Dole/Kemp: 57 EV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2019, 01:14:01 PM »
« Edited: November 25, 2019, 02:23:47 PM by L.D. Smith »

2018 Midterms

Senatorial:


Gubernatorial:
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2019, 10:05:50 PM »

2019 Gubernatorial

A) Louisiana Jungle Primary



Louisiana

John Bel Edwards (inc.): 46.6%
Ralph Abraham: 26.2%
Eddie Rispone: 24.9%


Result: Run-Off

MS & KY to be held on 11/5

B. Election Day 2019



Kentucky

Andy Beshear 49.2%
Matt Bevin (inc.) 48.9%

Mississippi

Tate Reeves 54.6%
Jim Hood 44.2%

Louisiana

John Bel Edwards (inc.): 46.6%
Eddie Rispone: 27.4%

Run-Off to be held 11/16
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: November 16, 2019, 10:05:26 PM »

2019 Gubernatorial

A) Louisiana Jungle Primary



Louisiana

John Bel Edwards (inc.): 46.6%
Ralph Abraham: 26.2%
Eddie Rispone: 24.9%


Result: Run-Off

MS & KY to be held on 11/5

B. Election Day 2019



Kentucky

Andy Beshear 49.2%
Matt Bevin (inc.) 48.9%

Mississippi

Tate Reeves 54.6%
Jim Hood 44.2%

Louisiana

John Bel Edwards (inc.): 46.6%
Eddie Rispone: 27.4%

Run-Off to be held 11/16

C. Louisiana Run-Off



Kentucky

Andy Beshear: 49.2%
Matt Bevin (inc): 48.2%

Mississippi

Tate Reeves: 52.1%
Jim Hood: 46.6%

Louisiana

Eddie Rispone: 51.6%
John Bel Edwards (inc.): 48.4%
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: December 06, 2019, 06:15:52 PM »
« Edited: December 07, 2019, 03:18:27 PM by L.D. Smith »

Most Recent Class II and III Senatorial Elections


Class II



Class III

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2020, 08:28:56 PM »

Bumping in preparation for the incoming Senate results and Gubernatorial Results.

Will probably hunt down footage of 2016 to get the gubernatorial results.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2020, 07:16:07 AM »
« Edited: October 21, 2020, 05:20:10 PM by L.D. Smith »

Previous Gubernatorial midpoint




Yes, I'm counting Justice as a Republican here.
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RI
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2020, 12:36:24 PM »

Interesting that whoever is leading the Presidential EV race at 10pm has ultimately won the Electoral College overall since at least 1968.
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TheTide
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2020, 05:30:31 AM »

2004 suffered from the legacy of 2000. Prior to 2000, Florida might have been called at poll closing if the 2004 results had been replicated (a 5 point margin). Instead it wasn't called for Bush until around 90% of precincts were reporting.

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2020, 10:39:04 PM »

Interesting that whoever is leading the Presidential EV race at 10pm has ultimately won the Electoral College overall since at least 1968.

That's with an asterisk, as Florida was still called for Gore at the time.
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StateBoiler
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 10:16:59 AM »

2004 suffered from the legacy of 2000. Prior to 2000, Florida might have been called at poll closing if the 2004 results had been replicated (a 5 point margin). Instead it wasn't called for Bush until around 90% of precincts were reporting.

Florida 4 years ago was screwy too. Trump had a healthy lead but the number of precincts reporting on the news just quit updating for almost an hour. I remember at the time thinking why is everyone delaying on calling it for Trump. Per the map above it was still uncalled at 10pm.
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