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March 06, 2021, 09:45:57 PM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  If Scott runs for POTUS in 2024 what will DeSantis do? (search mode)
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Question: If Rick Scott runs for President in 2024, what will Ron DeSantis do?
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Author Topic: If Scott runs for POTUS in 2024 what will DeSantis do?  (Read 654 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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Posts: 48,868
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« on: August 30, 2019, 01:16:58 AM »

What, two Floridians can't run for the nomination? I'd think that any opportunity to increase the number of candidates from a swing state would be welcome by the party. If both want to run, they will.

Who wins? Depends on the mood of the Republican electorate. If times are good, they'll want proven leadership. If times are bad, the populist thing might continue, and they might stay sour on pre-Trump party figures. Long term, I suspect American prosperity will continue to decline and the quality of life will keep falling, as it has since we lost global economic hegemony, but the innate fear of big government will thwart any progress toward real populism. Combined with the GOP's steady upward trend with whites, which will eventually have to include Clinton-voting soccer moms for electoral victory, the party will return to its early 2010s trajectory: socially liberal, economically supply-side. The winner of the two is whoever changes his image and rhetoric to adapt. American society is in flux, so it's hard to say where things will settle and who will benefit.

What about the early 2010's GOP was "Socially liberal"?  Most of the candidates who road the Tea Party bandwagon were extremely socially conservative and then in 2012 you had candidates like Todd Akin winning three way primaries with the help of Mike Huckabee against more limited gov't focused candidates backed by Sarah Palin.

As for economics, that was the effect of lots of money papering over barely subdued populist resentment in the wake of Citizen's United ruling.
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