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  Talk Elections
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  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  2020 Senate Predictions
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Author Topic: 2020 Senate Predictions  (Read 5283 times)
Laki
Lakigigar
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« on: August 21, 2019, 12:44:42 pm »
« edited: November 05, 2019, 09:17:55 am by Dave Leip »

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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2019, 02:28:56 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2019, 09:18:01 am by Dave Leip »

Mine :



Competitive races :

MN : 55/44 D
CO : 53/46 D
MI : 52/47 D
AZ : 50/48 D

ME : very close but Collins prevails
NC : 50/48 R
GA : 53/46 R
IA : 55/43 R
AL : 58/40 R

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Del Tachi
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2019, 05:54:42 pm »



GOP 53-45-2.  Not net change.

Competitive races:

Alabama:  Byrne 58, Jones 41
Arizona:  McSally 50, Kelly 48
Colorado:  Hickenlooper 53, Gardner 45
Georgia:  Perdue 52, Tomlinson 47
Kansas:  Kobach 51, Boyda 45
Kentucky:  McConnell 58, McGrath 41
Maine:  Collins 55, Gideon 43
Michigan:  Peters 50, James 48
North Carolina:  Tillis 51, Cunningham 46
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President Biden
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2019, 06:46:44 pm »
« Edited: August 21, 2019, 07:39:15 pm by Politician stands with Sanchez »



AL: Tommy Tuberville 55, Doug Jones 43
AK: Dan Sullivan 52, Al Gross 45
AZ: Mark Kelly 51, Martha McSally 47
AR: Tom Cotton 62, Josh Mahony 36
CO: John Hickenlooper 55, Cory Gardner 43
DE: Chris Coons 60, Tom Kovach 37
GA: David Perdue 50, Teresa Tomlinson 47
ID: Jim Risch 63, Nancy Harris 35
IL: Dick Durbin 56, Mark Curran 42
IA: Joni Ernst 51, Theresa Greenfield 47
KS: Kris Kobach 49, Nancy Boyda 46
KY: Mitch McConnell 54, Matt Jones 44
LA: Bill Cassidy 58, Leading Dem 39
ME: Sara Gideon 50, Susan Collins 50
MA: Joe Kennedy 64, Shiva Ayyadauri 32
MI: Gary Peters 53, John James 45
MN: Tina Smith 55, Jason Lewis 43
MS: Cindy Hyde Smith 54, Mike Espy 44
MT: Steve Daines 53, John Mues 45
NE: Ben Sasse 59, Chris Beutler 39
NH: Jeanne Shaheen 56, Corey Lewandowski 41
NJ: Cory Booker 58, Kim Guadango 40
NM: Ben Ray Lujan 57, Mick Rich 39
NC: Cal Cunningham 49, Thom Tillis 48
OK: Jim Inhofe 64, Mike Workman 33
OR: Jeff Merkley 58, Leading Rep 39
RI: Jack Reed 66, Leading Rep 30
SC: Lindsey Graham 53, Jaime Harrison 45
SD: Mike Rounds 60, Leading Dem 37
TN: Bill Hagerty 62, James Mackler 36
TX: John Cornyn 52, MJ Hegar 46
VA: Mark Warner 55, Scott Taylor 42
WV: Shelley Moore Capito 66, Paula Jean Swearangin 32
WY: Cynthia Lummis 65, Leading Dem 32
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gracile
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2019, 07:37:30 pm »


This is impossible. One has to win Maine with more than 50% because of RCV.
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MR. CORY BOOKER
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« Reply #5 on: August 24, 2019, 01:10:12 pm »

Barry Grissom was key to flipping Senate, he went the same way of Ted Strickland before the campaign began
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538Electoral
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« Reply #6 on: August 24, 2019, 09:56:17 pm »

Switch AL and CO. Otherwise, It's the senate we have now.

I chose 10 seats to mark as potentially competitive.

AL: 54-44% R
AZ: 51-47% R
CO: 52-47% D
GA: 53-45% R
IA: 55-44% R
KY: 58-40% R
ME: 56-43% R
MI: 50-48% D (Could easily see this one going to James though)
NH: 52-47% D
NC: 51-48% R
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LCameronOR
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« Reply #7 on: August 26, 2019, 06:34:47 pm »

https://270towin.com/2020-senate-election/lgAzL2.png

Republicans hold on by a thin margin. Maine is the closest state.
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MR. CORY BOOKER
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« Reply #8 on: August 26, 2019, 10:34:41 pm »

Collins and/or Ernst can very well lose, but AZ isnt LR, like 538 has it, its LD with Kelly
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2019, 01:31:15 pm »



Georgia splits.

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Laki
Lakigigar
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« Reply #10 on: September 10, 2019, 07:35:52 am »

What I hope



Colorado preferrably someone else than the Hick
New Hampshire preferrably someone else than Shaheen or Lewandowski
West-Virginia hopefully Ojedaland
Kentucky upset defeat hopefully for McConnell. Come on McGrath
Upset wins for Republicans in MN and Mi as long the challenger is decent. John James would be a good senator i guess.
More independents hopefully in Alaska and Maine hopefully. Collins leaving the Republican Party would be great. Kansas hopefully a Democrat or independent as well. Greg Orman?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2019, 02:28:19 pm »



FL = GA-special
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President Biden
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« Reply #12 on: September 23, 2019, 07:15:36 am »



An updated prediction. 20% = Tilt. MI is much closer to Likely D than to tossup. NH is much closer to Safe D than to Lean D. MT is much closer to Safe R than to Lean R.
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MR. CORY BOOKER
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« Reply #13 on: September 23, 2019, 05:12:03 pm »

KS will go Dem
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President Biden
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« Reply #14 on: September 23, 2019, 05:13:37 pm »

Hey MT Treasurer
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MR. CORY BOOKER
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: September 23, 2019, 05:38:36 pm »

No, Kobach is too polarizing to be elected
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #16 on: September 23, 2019, 09:13:07 pm »

I highly doubt Georgia goes red while Maine goes blue.
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President Pericles
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« Reply #17 on: September 29, 2019, 01:35:15 am »

KS won't go Dem, hard to see Dems outrunning the presidential performance by enough to win there, and gubernatorial elections are different to Senate elections.
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Southern Archivist Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #18 on: September 29, 2019, 01:43:36 am »

KS won't go Dem, hard to see Dems outrunning the presidential performance by enough to win there, and gubernatorial elections are different to Senate elections.
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President Biden
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« Reply #19 on: October 11, 2019, 04:03:41 pm »



An updated prediction. 20% = Tilt. MI is much closer to Likely D than to tossup. NH is much closer to Safe D than to Lean D. MT is much closer to Safe R than to Lean R.
I moved IA to Lean R and MI to Likely D, but otherwise I stand by this.
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Xing
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« Reply #20 on: October 11, 2019, 10:00:31 pm »

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MR. CORY BOOKER
olawakandi
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2019, 04:54:20 pm »
« Edited: October 18, 2019, 04:58:59 pm by Cory Booker »



AK Gross
AZ Kelly
CO Hickenlooper
GA Tomlinson
KY McGrath
ME Gideon
MA Weld
MA Kennedy
NC Cunningham
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2019, 08:07:57 am »

The 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now open here

Composite Map:


Compiled 2020 U.S. Senate Prediction Map

Enjoy,
Dave
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Old School Republican
Computer89
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« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2019, 09:07:16 pm »

The 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now open here

Composite Map:


Compiled 2020 U.S. Senate Prediction Map

Enjoy,
Dave

Im unable to signup to make predictions
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Laki
Lakigigar
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« Reply #24 on: November 13, 2019, 11:46:31 am »

The 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now open here

Composite Map:


Compiled 2020 U.S. Senate Prediction Map

Enjoy,
Dave

Im unable to signup to make predictions
I had the same issue, but when i clicked on login while not accepting the private terms, a box showed up above it i agree with terms of use and i agree with accepting the private terms, than it worked. You have to click two boxes.
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