7 States Where Demographics Haven't Determined Their Political Destiny -- Yet (user search)
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  7 States Where Demographics Haven't Determined Their Political Destiny -- Yet (search mode)
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Author Topic: 7 States Where Demographics Haven't Determined Their Political Destiny -- Yet  (Read 2120 times)
RINO Tom
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Posts: 17,025
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« on: August 21, 2019, 10:47:10 AM »

Minor nitpick: aren’t minorities with college degrees more likely to vote Republican than those without?  It’s very lazy to take the pattern for Whites and assume it holds for minorities, which it doesn’t, IIRC.
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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,025
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2019, 09:34:48 PM »

^ As someone who managed to make it through law school (IIRC), I’m sure you know this ... but if you think there was a time in the past where there weren’t plenty of Republicans in flannel voting for Dewey and Democrats in ties voting for FDR, you’re sub-Atlas.
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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,025
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2019, 09:19:40 AM »

^ As someone who managed to make it through law school (IIRC), I’m sure you know this ... but if you think there was a time in the past where there weren’t plenty of Republicans in flannel voting for Dewey and Democrats in ties voting for FDR, you’re sub-Atlas.

And it was perfectly atlas to take it literally.

Lol, well I don’t literally think you meant it literally. Wink
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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,025
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2019, 01:40:53 PM »

Thanks! Of course this begs the question why ME was so much more Democratic than NH in the first place. Why did it vote several points to the left of NH until 2016? It’s always struck me as a state that’s more Democratic than it "should be," especially considering the success ME Republicans have had downballot even after 1992.

My best guess is that residents in ME are socially conservative/fiscally liberal, and were attracted to Democrats' economic policies for a time, until Trump came along and adopted some of these economically populist positions himself.

Lol, go back before 2016 and the narrative was literally the opposite ... Susan Collins was the “socially liberal, fiscally conservative” boogeyman to end all, and Maine - a formerly GOP stronghold that defected when the GOP left its New England roots and became too “Southern” and socially conservative - would vote for *New England Republicans* like Collins or Snowe but never the icky national GOP.
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