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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  If Trump loses in 2020, does he run again in 2024?
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Author Topic: If Trump loses in 2020, does he run again in 2024?  (Read 1822 times)
Cassandra
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« on: August 08, 2019, 10:23:07 am »

I know he'll be 78, and he's already in terrible health, but I'm not sure that would stop him. If he does run again, how does he fair in the primary (I'd imagine he sweeps the field)?
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TML
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« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2019, 10:38:55 am »

If the 2020 winner is a corporate/establishment/neoliberal Democrat, then I could see Trump trying again in 2024.

If the 2020 winner is a populist/progressive Democrat, then I think Trump would likely retreat from presidential contention.
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Cassandra
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« Reply #2 on: August 08, 2019, 02:06:03 pm »

If the 2020 winner is a populist/progressive Democrat, then I think Trump would likely retreat from presidential contention.
Why?
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #3 on: August 08, 2019, 04:09:41 pm »

Appeallate Crt of NY will use its jurisdiction to prosecute Trump on obstruction of justice when Trump is a private citizen
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MarkD
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« Reply #4 on: August 08, 2019, 04:14:11 pm »

He's pretty egotistical, but I don't think he's that egotistical.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #5 on: August 08, 2019, 04:14:16 pm »

Yes.  Though being held in exile on St. Helena he will run again.
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TML
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« Reply #6 on: August 08, 2019, 04:19:33 pm »

If the 2020 winner is a populist/progressive Democrat, then I think Trump would likely retreat from presidential contention.
Why?

His campaign style works well against the former type but not the latter type.
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Cassandra
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« Reply #7 on: August 09, 2019, 11:43:49 am »

If the 2020 winner is a populist/progressive Democrat, then I think Trump would likely retreat from presidential contention.
Why?

His campaign style works well against the former type but not the latter type.

But why would political calculations like that stop a cognitively declining megalomaniac from doing whatever he wants?
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gracile
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« Reply #8 on: August 09, 2019, 12:40:04 pm »

He might attempt it, but it seems unlikely. Also, the GOP establishment would probably do everything in their power to stop a Trump run in 2024.
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SuperCow
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« Reply #9 on: August 09, 2019, 01:06:02 pm »

He won't run again, but he'll certainly make his opinions known about whoever is running.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2019, 05:57:08 pm »

He won't run again, but he'll certainly make his opinions known about whoever is running.
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Water Hazard
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« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2019, 12:00:26 pm »

Perhaps he would express interest in running but he almost certainly wouldn’t actually go through with it.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #12 on: August 12, 2019, 10:19:46 am »

Trump is about to get indicted for tax Evasion for not paying his taxes
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SuperCow
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« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2019, 02:03:34 pm »

Trump is about to get indicted for tax Evasion for not paying his taxes

Good luck with that.
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Ridin' with Biden
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« Reply #14 on: August 12, 2019, 07:19:37 pm »

Trump is about to get indicted for tax Evasion for not paying his taxes

Don the Con will have to escape to Moscow to avoid being indicted for tax fraud, campaign finance fraud and obstruction. He will be lionized as a hero in Russia and will have statues bearing his name at the FSB headquarters.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #15 on: August 12, 2019, 07:53:16 pm »

Trump is about to get indicted for tax Evasion for not paying his taxes

Good luck with that.


The IRS will complete its audit and there will be a Dem AG in 2021
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Cassandra
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« Reply #16 on: August 13, 2019, 11:37:48 am »

Trump is about to get indicted for tax Evasion for not paying his taxes

Don the Con will have to escape to Moscow to avoid being indicted for tax fraud, campaign finance fraud and obstruction. He will be lionized as a hero in Russia and will have statues bearing his name at the FSB headquarters.

Is this sarcasm?
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Blue3
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« Reply #17 on: August 13, 2019, 10:09:01 pm »

I would not put it past him to try, or very publically consider constantly in the news.

If he had lost in 2016, I'm pretty sure his 2020 campaign would have automatically begun, and I think it would have been likely that he'd slander the results as rigged and attempt to create a "shadow government" where he still picked a cabinet, released executive orders, and talked about the laws he would sign and basically play-acted as President. With the media still giving weekly if not daily news coverage.
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Progressive Icon Bill de Blasio
Randall
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« Reply #18 on: August 13, 2019, 10:42:35 pm »

Donald Trump will either be dead or a total recluse by 2024.
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SuperCow
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« Reply #19 on: August 14, 2019, 08:18:52 am »

Trump is about to get indicted for tax Evasion for not paying his taxes

Don the Con will have to escape to Moscow to avoid being indicted for tax fraud, campaign finance fraud and obstruction. He will be lionized as a hero in Russia and will have statues bearing his name at the FSB headquarters.

Is this sarcasm?

It's either sarcasm or delusion.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #20 on: August 14, 2019, 10:55:43 am »

Donald Trump will either be dead or a total recluse by 2024.

Whether or not he was reelected. Alright. I give this a 50/50 chance of still being "compis mentis" by 2025  and give him about a 25% of living to 2030.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #21 on: August 15, 2019, 09:57:33 am »

I wouldn't rule that out, but he'll probably be totally senile by 2024.

Just imagine he runs again and faces off a against Joe Biden, who seeks reelection. A 82-year incumbent prez against a 78-year old former prez. That'll be damn hard.
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Wazza
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« Reply #22 on: August 25, 2019, 02:21:13 am »

He won't run again, but he'll certainly make his opinions known about whoever is running.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #23 on: August 25, 2019, 12:00:49 pm »


Yes, and he'll constantly badmouth his successor.
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Andy Beshear’s Campaign Manager
KYWildman
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« Reply #24 on: August 26, 2019, 09:36:51 pm »

If the 2020 winner is a populist/progressive Democrat, then I think Trump would likely retreat from presidential contention.
Why?

His campaign style works well against the former type but not the latter type.

And you are basing this on....? What? All those examples we have of populist Democrats Trump has run against and lost to?
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