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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, ON Progressive)
  Black vote for Nixon 1972 and Ford 1976
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Author Topic: Black vote for Nixon 1972 and Ford 1976  (Read 741 times)
Arbitrage1980
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« on: August 04, 2019, 06:07:34 pm »

Nixon got 18% of the black vote in 1972, and Ford got 16% in 1976. Pretty stunning numbers. Is it because McGovern was too liberal for the conservative black voters while blacks were turned off by Carter being a governor from the Deep South?

1976 was the last election in which a Republican got at least 15% of the black vote.
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L.D. Smith
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« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2019, 06:47:56 pm »

Nixon really got desegregation rolling and he did a lot for black small-business owners...even without considering McGovern.

Ford didn't really do much, and Carter was a reasonable fit in a lot of ways [questionable in some ways, but getting endorsed by The King Family put that to rest].
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TDAS04
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« Reply #2 on: August 04, 2019, 10:21:22 pm »

1976 was the last election in which a Republican got at least 15% of the black vote.

And the last one before Reagan came along proclaiming his support for “states’ rights”.
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mathstatman
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« Reply #3 on: August 14, 2019, 05:31:43 pm »

I'm curious the source of these numbers (18% and 16%). Gallup had 13% of the "nonwhite" vote going to Nixon and 15% to Ford. In Detroit's 8th, 22nd and 23rd Precincts, the vote for Nixon was 4.9%, 3.5%, and 4.2% while Ford's share was 4.9%, 4.1%, and 4.2% respectively (Reagan's 1980 share was just 1.7%, 1.6%, and 1.3%). Back then few Blacks lived in suburbs, and if anything white "stay-behinds" exaggerated Black Republicanism slightly.
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Wazza
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2019, 01:19:59 am »

1976 was the last election in which a Republican got at least 15% of the black vote.

And the last one before Reagan came along proclaiming his support for “states’ rights”.

Oh please, Reagan got 14% of the AA vote in 80, which is only 2 less than Ford. Considering the inelasticity with the African American vote, generational turnover and Ford's appeal for being congressman who voted for the CRA, VRA, and AHA, thats not a shocking result.
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2019, 06:31:04 am »

I still find it insane even to this day that Eisenhower in 1956 is the last one to break at least 35 percent, but still lost it decisively by 22 points. When was the last time it was decided by less than 10
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #6 on: September 05, 2019, 09:05:29 am »

I still find it insane even to this day that Eisenhower in 1956 is the last one to break at least 35 percent, but still lost it decisively by 22 points. When was the last time it was decided by less than 10

Likely when Hoover won it.  There is a reason the GOP became even more disenchanted with its support for civil rights in the ‘50s.
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