Danish Elections and Politics

[BlueSwan]

Marianne Karlsmose is probably the driest politician in all of Denmark. Zero chances that they will obtain representation with her at the helmet.

[BlueSwan]

Voxmeter's first poll with a whole week after Støjberg launching the party. Others at 10.1%, and since no other parties are remotely close to reaching the signature threshold, it should basically only be votes for Denmark Democrats. That would clearly make the party the third biggest in the Blue Bloc, and Liberals and Conservatives are only at 13.6% and 12.3% respectively as the two biggest parties. Of course this is after a week with massive focus on her, so not necessarily accurate about how an election result would be. But that position as the third biggest Blue party should certainly be possible to achieve. DPP all the way down at 2.2%, so very close to the treshold.

I wonder whether we will get many more polls in the next weeks. Normally, there isn't much polling during the summer holidays. So perhaps the next polls won't be until mid-/end august, where the early election campaign should basically already be starting.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FW0G-uLXwAA3HOt?format=jpg&name=900x900

Also worth mentioning that the Mink report has had no discernible effect on the Social Democrats poll numbers yet. The report was released halfway through the polling period but really there was massive talk about the report being damaging in the days leading up to it dropping.

[BlueSwan]

Voxmeter's first poll with a whole week after Støjberg launching the party. Others at 10.1%, and since no other parties are remotely close to reaching the signature threshold, it should basically only be votes for Denmark Democrats. That would clearly make the party the third biggest in the Blue Bloc, and Liberals and Conservatives are only at 13.6% and 12.3% respectively as the two biggest parties. Of course this is after a week with massive focus on her, so not necessarily accurate about how an election result would be. But that position as the third biggest Blue party should certainly be possible to achieve. DPP all the way down at 2.2%, so very close to the treshold.

I wonder whether we will get many more polls in the next weeks. Normally, there isn't much polling during the summer holidays. So perhaps the next polls won't be until mid-/end august, where the early election campaign should basically already be starting.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FW0G-uLXwAA3HOt?format=jpg&name=900x900

Also worth mentioning that the Mink report has had no discernible effect on the Social Democrats poll numbers yet. The report was released halfway through the polling period but really there was massive talk about the report being damaging in the days leading up to it dropping.

I always saw the main risk for MF and the party to be whether it would end up with a impeachment. The truth is that I doubt many normal people really care about this, unless they already dislike MF.

Agreed.

[BlueSwan]

New poll today from Megafon gives Denmark Democrats 10%+ while Social Democrats for the first time see a substantial decline after the Mink debacle. Also, the "blue" parties has a rare slim majority in that poll, but it would be a nightmarish coalition to control.