HarrisX/ScottRasmussen.com National Two Day Sample: Biden leads Sanders 30-17

[Mr. Morden]

Yeah, as far as regional polling goes we don't have tons to go on by FWIW the McLaughlin group poll

Umm....McLaughlin & Associates is a very different thing from The McLaughlin Group.  

Now, question is why is Harris so popular in the Northeast?

I don't think she is.  That's probably just an outlier due to high MoE on subsamples.  Other polls with regional subsamples almost all have the West as Harris's strongest region.  In fact, the poll in this thread has regional subsamples that show that.  Here are the regional crosstabs on the mostly post-debate sample:

Midwest:
Biden 27%
Sanders 20%
Warren 9%
Harris 5%
Buttigieg 5%

Northeast:
Biden 38%
Sanders 14%
Warren 11%
Harris 5%

South:
Biden 30%
Sanders 13%
Harris 7%
Warren 6%

West:
Biden 19%
Sanders 19%
Harris 14%
Warren 9%

Also, breakdown by race:

white:
Biden 27%
Sanders 13%
Warren 11%
Buttigieg 6%
Harris 5%

black:
Biden 39%
Harris 18%
Sanders 13%
Warren 4%
Booker 3%

Hispanic:
Sanders 30%
Biden 22%
Buttigieg 8%
Warren 7%
Harris 7%

[NOVA Green]

Yeah, as far as regional polling goes we don't have tons to go on by FWIW the McLaughlin group poll

Umm....McLaughlin & Associates is a very different thing from The McLaughlin Group.  

Now, question is why is Harris so popular in the Northeast?

I don't think she is.  That's probably just an outlier due to high MoE on subsamples.  Other polls with regional subsamples almost all have the West as Harris's strongest region.  In fact, the poll in this thread has regional subsamples that show that.  Here are the regional crosstabs on the mostly post-debate sample:

Midwest:
Biden 27%
Sanders 20%
Warren 9%
Harris 5%
Buttigieg 5%

Northeast:
Biden 38%
Sanders 14%
Warren 11%
Harris 5%

South:
Biden 30%
Sanders 13%
Harris 7%
Warren 6%

West:
Biden 19%
Sanders 19%
Harris 14%
Warren 9%

Also, breakdown by race:

white:
Biden 27%
Sanders 13%
Warren 11%
Buttigieg 6%
Harris 5%

black:
Biden 39%
Harris 18%
Sanders 13%
Warren 4%
Booker 3%

Hispanic:
Sanders 30%
Biden 22%
Buttigieg 8%
Warren 7%
Harris 7%

Okay--- thx for calling me out on the polling organization involved.

So according to your updated numbers it appears that Bernie is up 30-22 against Biden among Latinos???

Harris numbers among Black voters would likely explain the NE / Central Atlantic numbers....

Warren looks extremely weak in these numbers, which again doesn't make sense unless something recently shifted dramatically against Liz.

So yeah--- still confused in Oregon, but early on as we await more polls that include post debate numbers this is just a first dip of toes into the swimming pool.

[Mr. Morden]

Warren looks extremely weak in these numbers, which again doesn't make sense unless something recently shifted dramatically against Liz.

This is a poll in which Warren's only at 8% overall, so of course compared to other polls that have her at something like double that number, she's going to have weak crosstabs.  We've seen other polls that have Warren about tied for the lead or slightly leading among whites, but those are polls where her overall support is in the teens.  She's not going to be doing that well in crosstabs if she's only 8% overall.