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« on: August 03, 2019, 09:22:42 PM » |
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The problem for the PCs was that they were weighed down by Mulroney's unpopularity and they were also disadvantaged by first past the post, they didn't have a clear regional base while Reform and the BQ did, which makes it more difficult seat-wise. I played with the 1993 results and made some alternate results-in Quebec the PCs gain 17.5% of the vote, with 10% coming from the BQ and 7.5% coming from the Liberals, in Atlantic Canada the PCs gain 15% and the Liberals lose 15%, and elsewhere the PCs gain 10.8%, the NDP gains 0.8%, Reform loses 4.7% and the Liberals lose 6.9%. These are the results;
1993 Canadian election
Jean Chretien-Liberal: 141+60 33.74%(+1.82%)
Preston Manning-Reform: 51+50 15.69%(+13.60%)
Lucien Bouchard-BQ: 45+35 10.52%(+10.52%)
Jean Charest-PC: 41-115 29.04%(-13.98%)
Audrey McLaughlin-NDP: 16-28 7.38%(-13.00%)
295 seats
148 for majority
These results are still pretty bad for the PCs, though at least they hold the Liberals to a minority government. Arguably I was generous to the PCs here. How things go for the PCs from here is unclear, perhaps they can pull off a comeback (a bit similar to the Liberals in 2015) and are in a much better position for future elections but aren't clearly the dominant right-wing party.
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