MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,276
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« on: July 25, 2019, 10:46:28 AM » |
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Obviously this is ridiculously D-friendly, but there’s really not much evidence (if at all) to suggest that Ohio is less likely to flip than Iowa or that it will even vote to the right of Iowa (which it didn’t in 2016). Reading this forum you’d think OH was some titanium red R+15 state and IA still a pure Tossup/D+1 state. At least Democrats still have a lot of room for growth in urban/suburban Ohio (where Clinton underperformed badly, especially compared to other Midwestern states) even if the rural areas keep trending Republican. Of course they’re unlikely to win it back in 2020, but it’s easier to envision a Democratic/Biden path to victory here in a wave than in IA, where Democrats are extremely reliant on a decent showing in the rural parts of the state.
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