OH-Quinnipiac: Biden +8, other match ups competitive
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  OH-Quinnipiac: Biden +8, other match ups competitive
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Author Topic: OH-Quinnipiac: Biden +8, other match ups competitive  (Read 11404 times)
Skye
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« on: July 25, 2019, 05:14:21 AM »

Biden 50
Trump 42

Trump 46
Sanders 45

Trump 46
Warren 45

Trump 44
Harris 44

Trump 44
Buttigieg 44

Trump 44
Booker 43

Trump approval at 43/52. Yikes.

https://poll.qu.edu/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=3633
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2019, 05:34:22 AM »

This is probably a result of the immediate fallout of his racist tweets against “the squad.” As such, I doubt its accuracy this far off, but if this holds up he’s a clear underdog for re-election
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2019, 05:51:14 AM »

Real disparity when we get a national Fox News poll of his approval being only -5 nationally, yet we get a -9 poll in *OHIO*
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Politician
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« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2019, 06:58:38 AM »

RIP Frenchrepublican
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2019, 07:06:26 AM »


LOL. Because you are still giving some credibility to Quinnipiac polls ?! So Trump is at -8 nationally but at -9 in a state he won by 8 in 2016. If you really believe this poll I have a bridge to sell you.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #5 on: July 25, 2019, 07:07:15 AM »

Quinnipiac polls are not even funny anymore. Sad
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2019, 07:11:22 AM »

This is probably a result of the immediate fallout of his racist tweets against “the squad.” As such, I doubt its accuracy this far off, but if this holds up he’s a clear underdog for re-election

Huh? What makes you think that would be a top concern for Ohio voters? Only NOW they start to care that Trump is racist? What happened to all that “economic anxiety?” Maybe it’s the realization that the factories aren’t coming back after all, maybe it’s Joe’s particular appeal to the region/demographics, but whatever it is, it’s not even an isolated poll so I find it hard to believe that would be the cause. Fact is Trump’s been underwater in Ohio in many of the Morning Consult state polls, sometimes even moreso than in states Atlas considers safe D like Virginia and Nevada. Plus, pretty sure he was losing it in those leaked internal polls.

This isn’t to say, of course, that Ohio definitely ISN’T going to vote Trump again and ISN’T going to keep trending R, but it’s always been a dumb meme and a myth that it’s now guaranteed titanium R forever as this board would have you believe.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2019, 07:22:19 AM »

Quinnipiac polls are not even funny anymore. Sad


Trump will lose OH
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Zaybay
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2019, 07:42:19 AM »

This is probably an outlier, but I wouldnt be surprised if Trump was at -3 in OH. The idea that its a Red State and Democrats shouldnt even bother with it has always been a flimsy proposal.
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Annatar
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2019, 07:51:43 AM »

Trump’s approval in the 4 big media polls, cnn, Fox, nbc, abc is now 45.8%, up from 43.5% just before the midterms, his approval overall on rcp is higher now than it was on midterm day when the exit polls had trump’s approval at 53-46 in Ohio or +7, this poll claims it’s now -9, trump’s net approval dropping 16% in Ohio since midterms is simply not tenable.
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SN2903
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« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2019, 07:53:50 AM »

Garbage poll. Quinnipiac said the dems would win the FL Senate race and governor. Trump is at 45% in the rcp average right now. He's more popular today than 2018. Fact.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #11 on: July 25, 2019, 08:01:34 AM »


Yeah, he will....if he is losing the PV by double digits
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #12 on: July 25, 2019, 08:05:08 AM »

Trump’s approval in the 4 big media polls, cnn, Fox, nbc, abc is now 45.8%, up from 43.5% just before the midterms, his approval overall on rcp is higher now than it was on midterm day when the exit polls had trump’s approval at 53-46 in Ohio or +7, this poll claims it’s now -9, trump’s net approval dropping 16% in Ohio since midterms is simply not tenable.

People at Quinnipiac University don't care about the accuracy of their polls, they simply want to make the headlines. They should have lost any credibility left after their polling debacle in Florida last year   
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #13 on: July 25, 2019, 08:52:22 AM »

It's clear that the Democrats can defeat Trump--if they stick together.  The only way that Trump will win is if the Democrats defeat themselves (which unfortunately is quite possible).
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #14 on: July 25, 2019, 08:58:44 AM »

Junk. We're not winning Ohio people, how many times do we have to say this?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #15 on: July 25, 2019, 09:00:29 AM »

Junk. We're not winning Ohio people, how many times do we have to say this?
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Politician
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« Reply #16 on: July 25, 2019, 09:01:59 AM »

Junk. We're not winning Ohio people, how many times do we have to say this?
"Why pay attention to polls that don't fit my narrative?"
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #17 on: July 25, 2019, 09:09:01 AM »

Ugh, no. This is an outlier or junk outright. I'm not buying Biden is this far ahead of all other candidates. OH is lean/likely R for 2020.

Quinnipiac was off in a number of 2018 races. They had Gillum and Nelson ahead by double digits weeks before the election. This tells you how much credability this poll 15 months before ballots being cast has.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #18 on: July 25, 2019, 09:17:18 AM »

Has this poll been adjusted for turnout? Must be why Biden is so high and Warren Harris are so low. Only reason.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #19 on: July 25, 2019, 09:19:17 AM »


LOL. Because you are still giving some credibility to Quinnipiac polls ?! So Trump is at -8 nationally but at -9 in a state he won by 8 in 2016. If you really believe this poll I have a bridge to sell you.

Ohio has clearly drifted away from Trump faster than the nation if you look at Morning Consult over the past year. There is no misalignment here. Things change quickly. Ohio is still struggling several years into this great economy.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #20 on: July 25, 2019, 09:22:42 AM »

Nah. Not buying. He may be underwater in Ohio. But its probably Trump+3 at this point.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #21 on: July 25, 2019, 09:23:50 AM »

Has this poll been adjusted for turnout? Must be why Biden is so high and Warren Harris are so low. Only reason.

It's RV, not LV, which is of course less accurate. Also, I'm not sure that Biden would generate the highest turnout if this was the implication of your post. I'm actually worried about excitement with Biden. Just look at his speeches; the dude isn't creating that much enthusiasm.
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Matty
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« Reply #22 on: July 25, 2019, 09:24:13 AM »

This poll has trump up 11 with non-college educated, down 5 with college educated, yet is losing by 8?

That makes no sense


Anyway, trump’s approval rating was 52% in ohio’s 2018 exit poll.

Guys, I really think we have to start considering q-pac has some sort of issue.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: July 25, 2019, 09:26:42 AM »

Harris polls are down to pre-debate bump levels. She's probably not gonna be President
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Zaybay
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« Reply #24 on: July 25, 2019, 09:26:43 AM »

Has this poll been adjusted for turnout? Must be why Biden is so high and Warren Harris are so low. Only reason.

It's RV, not LV, which is of course less accurate. Also, I'm not sure that Biden would generate the highest turnout if this was the implication of your post. I'm actually worried about excitement with Biden. Just look at his speeches; the dude isn't creating that much enthusiasm.

Almost every poll released so far has had Biden doing signifigently better in the GE than other candidates. In this factor, the poll is not an outlier.
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