Democrats only: a genie makes you the following offer...

[Gustaf]

(Not a Democrat, just here to ask a question)

This simply guarantees the outcome of these races, right? It’s not as though the genie is offering the governorships instead of the row offices - it is just saying that Dems can give up their chance at those governorships in exchange for a bunch of row offices. So the question isn’t would you trade four governorships for seven row offices, it is would you trade a shot at four for seven row offices.

Imo the answer depends on whether or not you think Dems will win at least three of those governorships, but again, not a Dem

what

[Gustaf]

(Not a Democrat, just here to ask a question)

This simply guarantees the outcome of these races, right? It’s not as though the genie is offering the governorships instead of the row offices - it is just saying that Dems can give up their chance at those governorships in exchange for a bunch of row offices. So the question isn’t would you trade four governorships for seven row offices, it is would you trade a shot at four for seven row offices.

Imo the answer depends on whether or not you think Dems will win at least three of those governorships, but again, not a Dem

what

Currently the status of all of these races is unknown. Whether or not Dems win any, most, or all of them is unclear. So, it is inaccurate to say that you wouldn’t give up these four governorships for the seven row offices - the four governorships are likely to be won, in part, by the GOP anyway. What you’re really giving up as a Dem is a shot at these four in exchange for the seven row offices.

In other words, I believe the other responses in the thread misunderstand the premise of the hypothetical, but I wanted to confirm my understanding with the OP. If it is a question of would you rather win the four governorships vs the seven row offices that’s a pretty obvious pick.

The most obvious interpretation, given that Democrats won the 4 governorships last election and the GOP won the 7 row offices last election, is that you're trading the results in those elections.