GeorgeBFree
Npard23
Rookie
Posts: 55
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« on: February 08, 2021, 01:05:33 PM » |
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California is leading indicator for rest of US politics. Trump = Arnold (last gasp of conservatism by using celebrity to draw non-traditional voters), as there is a solid plurality of Americans who are in line with progressive politics (~46%) and there more than enough moderate Democrats to keep them over the hump. Dems have advantage as long as they can use stimulus or UBI to buy votes or identity politics to hold together otherwise conflicting coalitions.
Conservatism will come back when there is a sovereign default (or bad enough inflation to avoid it like the 1970's) on the federal level. Michigan started trending red when states finances collapsed, Eastern Europe abandoned communism when poor finances took down govt, CA and other blue states will flip red too when pension liabilities overwhelm them. However with the the Fed aligned with Treasury department and complacency on inflation this may take awhile. Until then left leaning politics whether under Democrats or watered down GOP will be dominant.
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