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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  GOP path to 270 beyond Trump-era (search mode)
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Author Topic: GOP path to 270 beyond Trump-era  (Read 4892 times)
538Electoral
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« on: August 11, 2019, 06:21:04 am »

On the current path, I don't see a way forward.

Even a good map for the Republican is a losing map



Republican Party would have to be a very different party by then to win.

This assumes TX goes Democratic which I don't think will happen for a few more cycles and Republicans do have other options without TX anyway.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2019, 06:27:18 am »



There's still a clear path to 270 for the GOP beyond Trump. Stop acting like Republicans will never win after 2016 or 2020. Yes, I think AZ, TX and GA could narrowly stay Republican for a while after Trump.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #2 on: August 24, 2019, 09:18:27 pm »

Here is a possible map that allows for a GOP victory without winning Illinois or Texas



271 R - 267 D

Granted it's not the most likely map in the world and it is very possible that redistribution of EVs mean this is a Dem victory after 2020 or 2030, but it is a map at least

Republicans could potentially upset in NJ in a few elections too.
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