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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  Will 2020 re-allocation play a decisive role in the Electoral College result?
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Author Topic: Will 2020 re-allocation play a decisive role in the Electoral College result?  (Read 395 times)
jake_arlington
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« on: August 31, 2019, 01:58:11 pm »

In other words, what are all of the possible scenarios you can think of which result in a different outcome with the current (2010) map vs. projections for 2024 and beyond?

For reference, here's the most recent anticipated change in EV # for each state past 2020:

i.imgur.com/K5RVzqF.png
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2019, 03:16:48 pm »

Something like this could potentially turn into a Republican win?



If Democrats succeed in making Texas a presidential swing state during the 2020's, there a lot of close GOP win scenarios today that would turn into a Dem win after reapportionment.  Notably, this map likely becomes a Dem win in 2024 or 28:





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jake_arlington
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« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2019, 12:35:26 pm »

Yup, Texas sure is the big wildcard here.
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