The Gravelanche

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Oct. 14: Klobuchar drops out, endorsing Biden.

Oct. 16: Inslee drops out, and in a shock announcement jointly endorses Gravel and Warren.

Oct. 18: Booker drops out, refusing to endorse anyone yet.

Oct. 27: Harris drops out, making no endorsement.

Oct. 29: Deadline for next poll and donor qualification.

Oct. 30: O'Rourke and Gabbard drop out after narrowly missing the debate qualifications. O'Rourke endorses Buttigieg, while Gabbard makes no endorsement.

Polling Nov. 2nd

Elizabeth Warren: 17% (+1)
Joe Biden: 17% (+1)
Bernie Sanders: 16% (-1)
Mike Gravel: 14% (+1)
Pete Buttigieg: 9% (+1)
Tom Steyer: 7% (+/- 0)
Andrew Yang: 4% (+/- 0)
Julian Castro: 3% (-1)
Tulsi Gabbard: 0% (-2)
Kamala Harris: 0% (-1)
Beto O'Rourke: 1% (-1)
Jay Inslee: 0% (+/- 0)
Cory Booker: 0% (+/- 0)
Amy Klobuchar: 0% (+/- 0)
Unsure: 20% (+2)

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

The 5th debate would be remembered for one moment, and really only one moment:

Senator Sanders, one of the biggest criticisms of medicare-for-all is that it would take away healthcare from union workers and give them what some critics say would be inferior coverage. What do you say about this criticism?

"Well, I think it's disingenuous to say that, we have the GM strike right now, and they just took away the striker's healthcare. The companies are using what should be a basic human right as a bargaining chip to try and stop striking, and keep paying poor wages." (His speech has begun to slow, and his breaths have become raspy and audible through the microphone.)

Are you okay Senator?

I-I... *falls over*

Bernie had suffered a heart attack on stage. Luckily, he made a full recovery within a few days, but the visuals of this essentially ended his campaign. He realized this, dropping out on November 10th, but did not endorse, stating he believed "there are many great candidates out there right now, and I don't want to show any favoritism as of now."

The debate ended early as well.

Polling Nov. 11th

Elizabeth Warren: 23% (+6)
Mike Gravel: 19% (+5)
Joe Biden: 15% (-2)
Pete Buttigieg: 10% (+1)
Tom Steyer: 7% (+/- 0)
Andrew Yang: 6% (+2)
Julian Castro: 3% (+/- 0)
Bernie Sanders: 0% (-16)
Unsure: 24% (+4)

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Nov. 12: Gabbard endorses Gravel, considered both an asset and a liability by many political pundits

Nov. 13: Harris endorses Biden.

Nov. 18: Booker endorses Biden.

Dec. 3rd: Castro drops out after failing to reach the debate requirements. He endorses Warren.

Polling Dec. 4th

Elizabeth Warren: 26% (+3)
Joe Biden: 17% (+2)
Mike Gravel: 17% (-2)
Pete Buttigieg: 11% (+1)
Tom Steyer: 8% (+1)
Andrew Yang: 7% (+1)
Julian Castro: 0% (-3)
Undecided: 23% (-1)

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

6th Debate

YANG - BUTTIGIEG - BIDEN - WARREN - GRAVEL - STEYER

Gravel opens with a heartfelt message towards former Sanders supporters, asserting that he is the most progressive candidate in the race. It's well received, even within the mainstream media.

Biden says Gabbard's endorsement of Gravel is "proof that his foreign policy stance isn't actually for our good, it's for the good of Russia", Gravel responds by stating that "What Bush did, and what you supported, wasn't for our good either, it was for the good of the fat cat oil tycoons"

Gravel says "I sympathize with the people of Hong Kong, and I ask all who are able to to hit China where it hurts most, and boycott their products". This goes viral and many of his supporters follow this, though it makes little difference in the markets as of yet.

Warren defends herself from Biden's attacks about Union Healthcare once again, slapping him down with "Do you not remember a word our good friend, Senator Sanders, said? Companies are using this to just hold their employees hostage! This isn't fair, this isn't "better than what we'd get from Medicare-for-all", this is unacceptable!"

Who won the debate?
Gravel: 32%
Warren: 25%
Biden: 15%
Yang: 8%
Buttigieg: 5%
Steyer: 2%
Unsure: 21%

Polling Dec. 10th

Elizabeth Warren: 27% (+1)
Mike Gravel: 19% (+2)
Joe Biden: 13% (-4)
Pete Buttigieg: 13% (+2)
Andrew Yang: 8% (+1)
Tom Steyer: 5% (-3)
Undecided: 24% (+1)

Dec. 14: Gravel campaign call
"We need to do something more if we want a chance in Iowa. We're still behind Buttigieg there.

*muffled noises*

Are you sure? That seems like a more "Hail Mary" type of move. I mean, that's what Cruz did 4 years ago...

*slightly louder muffled noises*

Yeah, that's true... he'd certainly get his footsoldiers out to vote for Mike... Ok, I'll call him.

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Dec. 14:

Look, what I'm saying is Mike wants to tap you to be VP.

It's a massive gamble for me, you know.

Of course I do. I don't expect you to accept immediately, just keep it in mind.

I will.

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Dec. 23:

Hello?

Hey, it's me. I think it's best if we do it. But we'll have to wait until after the debate.

Great. It'll be great to have you on the team.

Polling Dec. 10th

Elizabeth Warren: 27% (+/- 0)
Mike Gravel: 20% (+1)
Joe Biden: 15% (+2)
Pete Buttigieg: 14% (+1)
Andrew Yang: 8% (+/- 0)
Tom Steyer: 3% (-2)
Undecided: 22% (-2)

7TH DEBATE

Yang - Buttigieg - Gravel - Warren - Biden - Steyer

Gravel emphasizes support for several of Yang's positions, saying that they share much of the same vision. This raises many eyebrows.

Gravel pledges full support to the current impeachment procedures, saying that "I may agree with Tulsi on several issues, but the fact she wants to stand with a criminal president is absolutely horrendous. If she wants to pretend like she's a republican with anti-war positions, then she needs to switch parties!"

Biden implies Gravel isn't being sincere. Gravel responds with "I will not accept any of Tulsi's support. Is that good enough for you, Mr. Vice President?"

Yang remains oddly quiet compared to other debates. His most die-hard supporters say that the media is trying to silence him.

Buttigieg stumbles after more issues involving race come up in South Bend. He dodges questions on whether he even cares about the people of South Bend or not.

Steyer's only notable comment was that Democrats who vote against impeachment should be kicked out of the party.

Who won the debate?

Gravel: 40%
Warren: 14%
Biden: 13%
Yang: 9%
Buttigieg: 5%
Steyer: 1%
Undecided: 18%

Polling Jan 5th

Elizabeth Warren: 28% (+1)
Mike Gravel: 23% (+3)
Joe Biden: 13% (-2)
Pete Buttigieg: 13% (-1)
Andrew Yang: 8% (+/- 0)
Tom Steyer: 1% (-2)
Undecided: 23% (+1)

Jan 7th: Tom Steyer drops out and endorses Buttigieg.


Jan 10th: Yang rally in Ames, Iowa

"This campaign has been about moving our country forward, and we have done this well. However, I have come to the conclusion that we won't be able to do this alone. For that reason, I have decided to drop out of the presidential race..."

Crowd confusion, yelling etc.

"...and will be joining as the Vice Presidential candidate to Mike Gravel!"

Gravel walks on stage to cheers

"Good morning everyone! Andrew and I have decided that to truly change America, our two campaigns need to work together, and Andrew here will make the damn best Vice President our nation has seen! Together, we will make a nation that fights for progress! We will make a nation that won't be sending our own people to die in a far-off war! We will rebuild America!"

more cheers

Polling Jan 15th

Mike Gravel: 32% (+9)
Elizabeth Warren: 27% (-1)
Joe Biden: 14% (+1)
Pete Buttigieg: 14% (+1)
Andrew Yang: 0% (-8)
Tom Steyer: 0% (-1)
Undecided: 22% (-1)

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Feb 3

Welcome to CNN's coverage of the Iowa Caucuses, where polling has shown a close race. Despite being in 4th nationally, Pete Buttigieg has been very close in the polls.

POLLING AVERAGE: IOWA
Warren: 24%
Buttigieg: 22%
Gravel: 21%
Biden: 19%
Undecided: 14%

We'll be seeing the first results in a few minutes....

25% in
Buttigieg: 25.53%
Warren: 25.38%
Gravel: 24.98%
Biden: 23.11%

50% in
Buttigieg: 26.11%
Warren: 25.23%
Gravel: 25.11%
Biden: 23.55%

75% in
Buttigieg: 25.93%
Gravel: 25.55%
Warren: 24.99%
Biden: 23.53%

95% in
Buttigieg: 25.53%
Gravel: 25.32%
Warren: 25.23%
Biden: 23.93%

100% in
Buttigieg: 26.02%, 11 Delegates
Gravel: 25.43%, 10 Delegates
Warren: 25.11% 10 Delegates
Biden: 23.44% 10 Delegates

Buttigieg: 1 state, 11 Delegates
Gravel: 0 states, 10 Delegates
Warren: 0 states, 10 Delegates
Biden: 0 states, 10 Delegates

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

February 7th Debate Overview in NH

-Gravel says that other candidates aren't paying attention to the future
-Biden explicitly states he will only serve one term. Warren and Gravel make non-committal statements
-Buttigieg quotes Harry Reid, saying the remaining field is like an old folk's home
-Gravel shoots down Biden criticism of Medicare-for-all by saying "ok boomer"
-Warren dances around the issue of healthcare

Who won the 8th Debate?

Gravel: 34%
Buttigieg: 29%
Biden: 16%
Warren: 11%
Unsure: 10%

Polling Feb 10th

Mike Gravel: 32% (+/- 0)
Elizabeth Warren: 24% (-4)
Pete Buttigieg: 21% (+7)
Joe Biden: 12% (-3)
Undecided: 22% (+/- 0)

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

NH Polling

Gravel: 26%
Warren: 22%
Buttigieg: 22%
Biden: 16%
Undecided: 14%

25% in
Gravel: 30.81%
Warren: 28.23%
Buttigieg: 27.77%
Biden: 13.19%

50% in
Gravel: 29.87%
Warren: 28.54%
Buttigieg: 28.23%
Biden: 13.36%

75% in
Gravel: 30.22%
Buttigieg: 28.43%
Warren: 28.22%
Biden: 13.08%

95% in
Gravel: 30.05%
Buttigieg: 28.01%
Warren: 27.23%
Biden: 14.71%

100% in
Gravel: 30.11%, 7 Delegates
Buttigieg: 28.74%, 7 Delegates
Warren: 27.03%, 6 Delegates
Biden: 15.13%, 4 Delegates

Buttigieg: 1 state, 18 Delegates
Gravel: 1 state, 17 Delegates
Warren: 0 states, 16 Delegates
Biden: 0 states, 14 Delegates

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Debate 2/19/20

Summary: Unremarkable debate. Only notable moment is Biden making a gaffe when he states that we "need to keep punching" at the problem of domestic violence.

Polling Feb 20th

Mike Gravel: 34% (+2)
Pete Buttigieg: 23% (+2)
Elizabeth Warren: 22% (-2)
Joe Biden: 11% (-1)
Undecided: 21% (-1)

Warren's last hope: NV or CA
Biden's last hope: SC

Polling NV Feb 20th

Elizabeth Warren: 27%
Pete Buttigieg: 25%
Mike Gravel: 25%
Joe Biden: 14%
Undecided: 9%

25% in

Elizabeth Warren: 30.81%
Pete Buttigieg: 28.22%
Mike Gravel: 26.54%
Joe Biden: 14.43%

50% in

Elizabeth Warren: 31.22%
Pete Buttigieg: 27.53%
Mike Gravel: 26.98%
Joe Biden: 14.43%

75% in

Elizabeth Warren: 30.33%
Pete Buttigieg: 27.67%
Mike Gravel: 27.02%
Joe Biden: 14.98%

95% in

Elizabeth Warren: 30.72%
Pete Buttigieg: 27.22%
Mike Gravel: 27.15%
Joe Biden: 14.91%

100% in

Elizabeth Warren: 30.72%, 11 Delegates
Pete Buttigieg: 27.15%, 10 Delegates
Mike Gravel: 27.07%, 10 Delegates
Joe Biden: 15.08%, 5 Delegates

Buttigieg: 1 state, 28 Delegates
Gravel: 1 state, 27 Delegates
Warren: 1 state, 27 Delegates
Biden: 0 states, 19 Delegates

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

10th Debate in Charleston SC

-Gravel says in his opening statement that he will only serve one term

-Buttigieg slips up again after another high-profile police shooting of an unarmed African-American teenager. He says "we're doing everything we can to ensure this won't happen again" before Gravel cuts him off, saying "that's what you said the last time, Pete! The more you say that, the more it sounds like you don't care!"

-Gravel rips into Warren, says that she is being cowardly for not directly answering a question on M4A

-Biden says that he has the longest career of helping African-Americans out of anyone on stage, Gravel counters talking about Biden's relationship with Strom Thurmond

SC Polling:
Biden: 39%
Warren: 17%
Buttigieg: 16%
Gravel: 15%
Unsure: 13%

25% in
Biden: 45.31%
Warren: 19.23%
Buttigieg: 19.14%
Gravel: 16.32%

50% in
Biden: 45.31%
Warren: 19.58%
Buttigieg: 17.32%
Gravel: 17.22%

75% in
Biden: 46.22%
Warren: 18.97%
Gravel: 18.80%
Buttigieg: 16.01%

100% in
Biden: 46.14%, 25 Delegates
Gravel: 19.41%, 11 Delegates
Warren: 19.22%, 10 Delegates
Buttigieg: 15.23%, 8 Delegates

Biden: 1 state, 44 Delegates
Gravel: 1 state, 38 Delegates
Warren: 1 state, 37 Delegates
Buttigieg: 1 state, 36 Delegates

An even race heading into Super Tuesday...

SUPER TUESDAY FINAL TOTALS

ALABAMA
Biden: 47.98%, 25 Delegates
Warren: 19.11%, 10 Delegates
Gravel: 18.23%, 10 Delegates
Buttigieg: 14.68%, 7 Delegates

ARKANSAS
Biden: 48.88%, 15 Delegates
Warren: 17.23%, 6 Delegates
Gravel: 17.01%, 5 Delegates
Buttigieg: 16.88%, 5 Delegates

CALIFORNIA
Gravel: 32.41%, 135 Delegates
Warren: 27.68%, 115 Delegates
Buttigieg: 21.08%, 88 Delegates
Biden: 18.83%, 78 Delegates

COLORADO
Gravel: 28.22%, 19 Delegates
Warren: 26.75%, 18 Delegates
Buttigieg: 24.01%, 16 Delegates
Biden: 21.02%, 14 Delegates

MAINE
Gravel: 26.93%, 7 Delegates
Warren: 26.77%, 6 Delegates
Buttigieg: 25.21%, 6 Delegates
Biden: 21.09%, 5 Delegates

MASSACHUSETTS
Warren: 29.87%, 27 Delegates
Gravel: 28.58%, 26 Delegates
Buttigieg: 23.22%, 21 Delegates
Biden: 18.33%, 17 Delegates

MINNESOTA
Gravel: 31.02%, 23 Delegates
Warren: 25.87%, 19 Delegates
Buttigieg: 22.67%, 17 Delegates
Biden: 20.44%, 16 Delegates

NORTH CAROLINA
Biden: 39.15%, 43 Delegates
Gravel: 25.45%, 28 Delegates
Warren: 19.87%, 22 Delegates
Buttigieg: 15.45%, 17 Delegates

OKLAHOMA
Gravel: 29.87%, 11 Delegates
Warren: 27.22%, 10 Delegates
Biden: 24.18%, 9 Delegates
Buttigieg: 18.73%, 7 Delegates

TENNESSEE
Biden: 43.70%, 28 Delegates
Gravel: 21.88%, 14 Delegates
Warren: 18.87%, 12 Delegates
Buttigieg: 15.55%, 10 Delegates

TEXAS
Biden: 34.21%, 78 Delegates
Gravel: 24.12%, 55 Delegates
Warren: 22.81%, 52 Delegates
Buttigieg: 18.86%, 43 Delegates

UTAH
Gravel: 30.82%, 9 Delegates
Biden: 27.55%, 8 Delegates
Warren: 25.23%, 7 Delegates
Buttigieg: 16.40%, 5 Delegates

VERMONT
Gravel: 42.23%, 7 Delegates
Warren: 24.13%, 4 Delegates
Biden: 16.88%, 3 Delegates
Buttigieg: 16.76%, 2 Delegates

VIRGINIA
Biden: 34.32%, 35 Delegates
Buttigieg: 23.45%, 23 Delegates
Gravel: 23.10%, 22 Delegates
Warren: 19.13%, 19 Delegates

AMERICAN SAMOA
Biden: 43.23%, 3 Delegates
Warren: 20.23%, 1 Delegate
Gravel: 18.88%, 1 Delegate
Buttigieg: 17.66%, 1 Delegate

Biden: 7 states+AS 421 Delegates
Gravel: 8 states, 373 Delegates
Warren: 2 states, 365 Delegates
Buttigieg: 1 state, 304 Delegates

Warren's disappointing performance in CA, as well as only barely winning her home state, bring her campaign to it's end. She drops out, giving a lukewarm endorsement to Gravel. With Warren out of the race, Bernie Sanders also endorses Gravel.

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Super Tuesday 2 Electric Boogaloo

DEMS ABROAD
Buttigieg: 28.85%, 4 Delegates
Gravel: 28.33%, 4 Delegates
Biden: 22.12%, 3 Delegates
Warren: 20.70%, 2 Delegates

IDAHO
Gravel: 46.66%, 9 Delegates
Biden: 33.96%, 7 Delegates
Buttigieg: 19.38%, 4 Delegates

MICHIGAN
Gravel: 50.98%, 64 Delegates
Biden: 29.63%, 37 Delegates
Buttigieg: 19.39%, 24 Delegates

MISSISSIPPI
Biden: 56.32%, 20 Delegates
Gravel: 28.67%, 11 Delegates
Buttigieg: 15.01%, 5 Delegates

MISSOURI
Biden: 49.87%, 34 Delegates
Gravel: 32.45%, 22 Delegates
Buttigieg: 17.68%, 12 Delegates


NORTH DAKOTA
Gravel: 47.73%, 7 Delegates
Biden: 27.23%, 4 Delegates
Buttigieg: 25.04%, 3 Delegates

WASHINGTON
Gravel: 46.07%, 41 Delegates
Buttigieg: 30.34%, 28 Delegates
Biden: 23.60%, 20 Delegates

Biden: 9 states+AS 547 Delegates
Gravel: 12 states, 531 Delegates
Buttigieg: 1 state+DA, 383 Delegates
Warren: 2 states, 367 Delegates

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Thoughts?

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

3/14:

NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS

Biden: 48.88%, 3 Delegates
Gravel: 33.49%, 2 Delegates
Buttigieg: 17.63%, 1 Delegate

3/17:

ARIZONA
Gravel: 38.31%, 26 Delegates
Biden: 37.98%, 25 Delegates
Buttigieg: 23.71%, 16 Delegates

FLORIDA
Biden: 44.29%,97 Delegates
Gravel: 36.99%, 81 Delegates
Buttigieg: 18.72%, 41 Delegates

ILLINOIS
Gravel: 49.03%, 76 Delegates
Biden: 32.26%, 50 Delegates
Buttigieg: 18.71%, 29 Delegates

OHIO
Gravel: 45.56%, 62 Delegates
Biden: 36.06%, 49 Delegates
Buttigieg: 18.38%, 25 Delegates

Buttigieg was hoping to get to Indiana. but he ultimately decides to drop out at this point. In a shocker, he refuses to endorse Biden in a speech.


3/24

GEORGIA
Biden: 61.01%, 64 Delegates
Gravel: 38.99%, 41 Delegates

3/29

PUERTO RICO
Gravel: 53.01%, 27 Delegates
Biden: 46.99%, 24 Delegates

SITUATION ON 4/1/20

Biden: 11 states+AS+NI 859 Delegates
Gravel: 15 states+PR, 846 Delegates
Buttigieg: 1 state+DA, 495 Delegates
Warren: 2 states, 367 Delegates

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

APRIL DEBATE HIGHLIGHTS (4/2):

-Gravel and Biden say that their ages shouldn't be of concern, Biden says he will have a VP under 50 years old (potentially hinting at a selection for Buttigieg should he endorse)

-Biden attacks Gravel on his past 9/11 trutherism. Gravel responds saying that his involvement in the movement was "a severe lapse of judgement" but that "I did not believe that it was a stretch to say that the rich and powerful engineered such a thing for their own gain." Overall this exchange was a narrow loss for Gravel, except in online circles.

-Biden drags up Gravel's votes for Russell Long and Robert Byrd in leadership elections, stating that the votes should be "offensive to African Americans and go against Mr. Gravel's idea that he has been a champion on civil rights". Gravel responds saying that Long "is long considered a champion of the people, and the man did not have a racist bone in his body. You insinuating otherwise is offensive to his legacy! And Joe, weren't you the man who said of Robert Byrd, that he was "a tough, compassionate, and outspoken leader"? You seem to have a higher opinion of him than I do! I could bring up any of your friendships with men like Strom Thurmond, who sat on the Senate floor for over 24 hours trying to block civil rights, and honestly Joe, that's far more offensive to African Americans! How about we talk about your crime bill, and how it's led to the mass incarceration of African-Americans?! If you want to talk about offensive, that's about as offensive as it gets!" The exchange went over many younger voters' heads. Overall, Gravel seemed more energetic, and most pundits agreed that Gravel did well in pivoting the attack against Biden.

Who won the Debate?
Gravel: 49%
Biden: 38%
Unsure: 13%

4/4/19

ALASKA
Gravel: 60.03%, 8 Delegates
Biden: 39.97%, 6 Delegates

HAWAII
Gravel: 59.15%, 13 Delegates
Biden: 40.85%, 9 Delegates

LOUISIANA
Biden: 63.83%, 32 Delegates
Gravel: 36.17%, 18 Delegates

WYOMING
Gravel: 61.23%, 8 Delegates
Biden: 38.77%, 5 Delegates

4/7

WISCONSIN
Gravel: 55.75%, 43 Delegates
Biden: 44.25%, 34 Delegates

Biden: 12 states+AS+NI 945 Delegates
Gravel: 19 states+PR, 936 Delegates
Buttigieg: 1 state+DA, 495 Delegates
Warren: 2 states, 367 Delegates

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

4/28: A big day with big hopes for Biden. Polling shows slight leads in PA and NY. Can he hold up?

CONNECTICUT
Gravel: 56.33%, 27 Delegates
Biden: 43.67%, 22 Delegates

DELAWARE
Biden: 66.01%, 11 Delegates
Gravel: 33.99%, 6 Delegates

MARYLAND
Biden: 58.23%, 46 Delegates
Gravel: 41.77%, 33 Delegates

NEW YORK
Gravel: 54.91%, 123 Delegates
Biden: 45.09%, 101 Delegates

PENNSYLVANIA
Gravel: 53.59%, 82 Delegates
Biden: 46.41%, 71 Delegates

RHODE ISLAND
Gravel: 57.33%, 12 Delegates
Biden: 42.67%, 9 Delegates

5/2

GUAM
Biden: 56.22%, 3 Delegates
Gravel: 44.78%, 3 Delegates

KANSAS
Gravel: 60.22%, 20 Delegates
Biden: 39.78%, 13 Delegates

5/5

INDIANA
Gravel: 58.18%, 40 Delegates
Biden: 41.82%, 30 Delegates

Gravel: 25 states+PR, 1282 Delegates
Biden: 15 states+AS+NI 1251 Delegates
Buttigieg: 1 state+DA, 495 Delegates
Warren: 2 states, 367 Delegates

The momentum is solidly behind Gravel now. Biden's best hopes now lie in minority-heavy NJ, but even that could prove difficult with his recent losses in NY and PA...

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

5/12

NEBRASKA
Gravel: 58.32%, 15 Delegates
Biden: 41.68%, 10 Delegates

WEST VIRGINIA
Gravel: 54.78%, 13 Delegates
Biden: 45.22%, 11 Delegates

5/19

KENTUCKY
Gravel: 56.33%, 26 Delegates
Biden: 43.67%, 20 Delegates

OREGON
Gravel: 64.13%, 34 Delegates
Biden: 35.87%, 18 Delegates

6/2

MONTANA
Gravel: 55.38%, 9 Delegates
Biden: 44.62%, 7 Delegates

NEW JERSEY
Gravel: 53.25%, 57 Delegates
Biden: 46.75%, 50 Delegates

NEW MEXICO
Gravel: 55.17%, 16 Delegates
Biden: 44.83%, 13 Delegates

SOUTH DAKOTA
Gravel: 53.97%, 8 Delegates
Biden: 46.03%, 6 Delegates

WASHINGTON, DC
Biden: 66.32%, 11 Delegates
Gravel: 33.68%, 6 Delegates

6/6

VIRGIN ISLANDS
Biden: 61.37%, 4 Delegates
Gravel: 38.63%, 2 Delegates

Gravel: 33 states+PR, 1468 Delegates
Biden: 15 states+AS+NI+GU+DC+VI 1401 Delegates
Buttigieg: 1 state+DA, 495 Delegates
Warren: 2 states, 367 Delegates

NEXT UP: THE DNC DIVIDED

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

2020 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION

Many came into the convention with uncertainty in their minds. The first round of voting went as expected.

FIRST BALLOT, FOR PRESIDENT:
Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK): 1468
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 1401
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 495
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 367

Then the second ballot came. Under the new rules, the superdelegates could now vote. It was no surprise which way they leaned.

SECOND BALLOT, FOR PRESIDENT:
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 1889
Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK): 1523
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 575
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 508

This was not looking good. Warren officially withdrew her name from consideration (despite many saying she could be the perfect compromise candidate), pledging her support to Gravel. Her delegates followed, mostly.

THIRD BALLOT, FOR PRESIDENT:
Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK): 1996
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 1899
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 592
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT): 6
Fmr. Sec. of H.U.D. Julian Castro (D-TX): 2
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 0

Pete met with both of the main candidates. He finally decided, on the fifth ballot, to remove his name from consideration. Biden was pleased when he declared that his supporters should go with their conscience. These delegates were more in his camp anyway, right...?

FIFTH BALLOT, FOR PRESIDENT:
Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK): 2215
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 2215
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT): 7
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 5
Mr. Tom Steyer (D-CA): 3
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 0
Fmr. Sec. of H.U.D. Julian Castro (D-TX): 0
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 0

a tie. Now it was down to the last few delegates. Sanders delivered a full-throated endorsement of Gravel. But without one more delegate, he wouldn't have a majority...

SIXTH BALLOT, FOR PRESIDENT:
Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK): 2222
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 2215
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 5
Mr. Tom Steyer (D-CA): 3
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT): 0
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 0
Fmr. Sec. of H.U.D. Julian Castro (D-TX): 0
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 0

nothing changed until the ninth ballot. One delegate switched sides, and that was it.

NINTH BALLOT, FOR PRESIDENT:
Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK): 2223
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 2217
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 5
Mr. Tom Steyer (D-CA): 0
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT): 0
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 0
Fmr. Sec. of H.U.D. Julian Castro (D-TX): 0
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 0

With two thousand, two-hundred and twenty-three delegates, Mike Gravel is the nominee for President of the United States!

The vice presidential ballot saw some attempt at throwing a wrench into Gravel's plans, but it failed.

FIRST BALLOT, FOR VICE PRESIDENT
Mr. Andrew Yang (D-NY): 2303
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 1043
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 788
Fmr. Min. Leader of the Georgia House of Reps. Stacey Abrams (D-GA): 306
Fmr. Mayor Michael Bloomberg (D-NY): 5

THE DEMOCRATIC TICKET, 2020
FMR. SENATOR MIKE GRAVEL/MR. ANDREW YANG

[Transgender for Everybody]

Biden somehow winning the VP nod would be based.

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Biden concedes

Well, I may not be extremely happy with the result, but I do believe that we need to stay united in our goals. We need to beat Donald Trump, and the best way to do that is to support our nominee, Mike Gravel.

I just want to thank everyone who helped bring this campaign this far, and when we take back the white house from the blood-stained hands of Donald Trump- *cheers and applause*- we will bring democracy back from the brink! We will rebuild America! Thank you!

Post-DNC Polling

Fmr. Sen. Mike Gravel/Mr. Andrew Yang: 248 EV, 48%
President Donald Trump/Vice President Mike Pence: 220 EV, 45%
Mr. Howard Schultz/Fmr. Rep. John Delaney: 0 EV, 3%
Fmr. LNC Vice Chair Arvin Vohra/Mr. Dan Behrman: 0 EV, 1%
Mr. Howie Hawkins/Youngstown Board of Education Member Dario Hunter: 0 EV, 0%

Dark colors: lead of 10%+
Medium colors: lead of 5-10%
Light colors: lead of 2-5%
Gray: lead of <2% in either direction

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

The first weeks of the campaign were energetic, as Gravel and Yang began a 50-state tour of the country. Meanwhile, Trump had come out of the impeachment trial after he was acquitted, 51-49, with Murkowski and Romney splitting with the party. Anger rose amongst the general public as recent revelations allowed impeachment support to rise to a peak of 54%, very high for these polarized times.

Gravel and Yang do talk about impeachment, but mainly focus on Healthcare and the "rapidly approaching problem" of automation.

The first debate was fast approaching. As the summer turned to fall, the effects of the campaign seemed to be little.

Fmr. Sen. Mike Gravel (D-AK)/Entrepreneur Andrew Yang (D-NY): 248 EV, 47%
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 220 EV, 44%
Businessman Howard Schultz (I-WA)/Fmr. Rep. John Delaney (I-MD): 0 EV, 2%
Fmr. LNC Vice Chair Arvin Vohra (L-MD)/Internet Personality Dan Behrman (L-TX): 0 EV, 1%
Green Party Co-Founder Howie Hawkins (G-NY)/Youngstown Board of Education Member Dario Hunter (G-OH): 0 EV, 0%
Other/Undecided: 6%
GRAVEL +3

[Transgender for Everybody]

Titanium D Iowa when

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Mike

"The next question is to Mr. Gravel. President Trump has criticized your foreign policy stances as "caving to terrorists and communists." How do you respond to these assertions?"

Ah, a good question for him. This was his main focus still, and he had prepared for this one well.

"Well, I think that it's pretty obvious. Terrorism has become less and less of a threat. In fact, ever since our so-called War on Terror, we've seen groups like ISIS pop up. We were simply lucky that international cooperation was able to stop their advance. The men of ISIS were mainly people who we bombed, or those that we sent home after we invaded Iraq! If we hadn't have gotten involved there, then ISIS, in all likelihood,  would never have come to be! I find it honestly insane that we still have troops in Afghanistan, where 18 year olds are now being sent, people who were born after this war started! It's insane!"

"Mr. Trump, your response."

"Well, I just have to say that Little Mikey over here just isn't being honest. He wants us to get pushed around, and you know, being bullied like that in a wrestling ring... its not America's place to have that happen. We won't let those idiots knocking us around... Mike Tyson used to do that a lot you know, and well, little Mikey over here, he's just uh... wanting us to go backwards, get hit in the head with chairs and such, and I won't let that happen, I can tell you."

Jesus Christ, he was even more incoherent than usual. Why the f*** haven't they invoked the 25th yet?

"You know, Don, I have no idea what you're even trying to say. You sound like you just came out of a boxing ring yourself. Are you sure you don't have a concussion or something?"

The crowd laughed, Trump seemed real damn angry.

"You people are the ones with concussions! Wanting to bring your communist friends over here, eating un-americanly. We can't have that folks. We just can't."

Who won the 1st Presidential Debate (among debate watchers)?
Mike Gravel: 51%
Donald Trump: 36%
Draw/Undecided: 13%

Fmr. Sen. Mike Gravel (D-AK)/Entrepreneur Andrew Yang (D-NY): 289 EV, 48%
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 204 EV, 42%
Businessman Howard Schultz (I-WA)/Fmr. Rep. John Delaney (I-MD): 0 EV, 2%
Fmr. LNC Vice Chair Arvin Vohra (L-MD)/Internet Personality Dan Behrman (L-TX): 0 EV, 1%
Green Party Co-Founder Howie Hawkins (G-NY)/Youngstown Board of Education Member Dario Hunter (G-OH): 0 EV, 0%
Other/Undecided: 7%
GRAVEL +6

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

The Other Mike

"Oh sh...nikies."

The Vice President heard his own voice coming from the television.

"Honestly, Greg, if it were up to me, women would just stay in the house where they belong. It's a man's world out there."

A leaked audio tape, recorded a couple of years ago behind doors when his brother was running for Representative. How the f**k did anyone get their hands on this?

Marc Short walked in.

"This is a damn disaster, Mike. What're we gonna do?"

"Deflect. Get Waldman to make some sort of statement about how these aren't my views, and question how the tape even was recorded. Have her say something about wiretapping."

"Waldman just walked out. Says she's quitting."

"Fu-" The Vice President stopped himself.

"Get Miller then. Same spiel."

The vice presidential debate was in five days. He could salvage this, he was sure of it. God wouldn't let socialists take over America again.

Fmr. Sen. Mike Gravel (D-AK)/Entrepreneur Andrew Yang (D-NY): 318 EV, 49%
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 182 EV, 41%
Businessman Howard Schultz (I-WA)/Fmr. Rep. John Delaney (I-MD): 0 EV, 2%
Fmr. LNC Vice Chair Arvin Vohra (L-MD)/Internet Personality Dan Behrman (L-TX): 0 EV, 1%
Green Party Co-Founder Howie Hawkins (G-NY)/Youngstown Board of Education Member Dario Hunter (G-OH): 0 EV, 0%
Other/Undecided: 7%
GRAVEL +8

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

Andrew

"It's disgusting. I did not think that our leadership could stoop so low as to denigrate half of the population. That's why Mike Gravel and I are running our campaign, to bring America back together, not drive it apart, like President Trump and Vice President Pence are doing."

Good, good. He nailed that one right on the head, a good mix of unity and attacking Pence.

"Vice President Pence, your response."

"Well, I just have to say that what Mr. Yang just said was an over-exaggeration of this out-of-context quote. And let me also say that your little line there about unity is honestly hilarious. Socialists like you want to create a class war that's just going to drive America further apart, and-"

"Mr. Vice President, let me just be clear here-"

"You didn't let me answer!"

"the only people creating a class war are you and President Trump, who keep the wealth gap growing, and-"

"Look at the lies coming out of his mouth!"

"-and it'll just create a further divide in our country. What we need is to rebuild America, an America where all men- and women- are created equal."

"Can I finish my answer now? Thank you. Look, I can't believe that we're even having this conversation. Of course I support women. I'm loyal to my wife, and honestly, I think that Democratic operatives illegally wiretapped that room trying to dig up dirt!"

A boo rose from the audience.

"Alright, again, we ask the audience to please remain silent. On to our next question..."

Who won the Vice Presidential Debate (among debate watchers)?
Andrew Yang: 54%
Mike Pence: 32%
Undecided/Tie: 14%

Fmr. Sen. Mike Gravel (D-AK)/Entrepreneur Andrew Yang (D-NY): 334 EV, 50%
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 182 EV, 41%
Businessman Howard Schultz (I-WA)/Fmr. Rep. John Delaney (I-MD): 0 EV, 1%
Fmr. LNC Vice Chair Arvin Vohra (L-MD)/Internet Personality Dan Behrman (L-TX): 0 EV, 1%
Green Party Co-Founder Howie Hawkins (G-NY)/Youngstown Board of Education Member Dario Hunter (G-OH): 0 EV, 0%
Other/Undecided: 7%
GRAVEL +9