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March 01, 2021, 02:23:40 PM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: ON Progressive)
  Did Henry Wallace win a single county in 1948
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Author Topic: Did Henry Wallace win a single county in 1948  (Read 2832 times)
morgankingsley
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« on: June 22, 2019, 06:03:46 AM »

As we all know, Henry Wallace when he ran as a progressive in 1948 got no electoral votes, but he did run nearly the same amount of votes as Strom Thurmond, who won 4 states, and performed rather well in the other 7 Confederate states. But did he finish first in at least county, and if not, where was he closest? And before the election, was there any polls or data that indicated that he would have had a chance to win at least one state?
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mollybecky
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« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2019, 09:06:51 AM »

I'm sure someone could get the data.   But I would have to say no.    Close to half his national vote came from the NYC area.    Of the five counties, Wallace received 18% of the vote in the Bronx, 16% in Kings County (Brooklyn), and 15% of the vote in New York County (Manhattan).  That reduced Truman's NYC vote to about 52%.  And that was enough to tip the state to Dewey.

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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: June 22, 2019, 11:37:02 AM »

No, he didn't: (from Wikipedia)

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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2019, 02:06:45 PM »

He didn't, nor did he come anywhere close to winning one.
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #4 on: June 22, 2019, 03:45:37 PM »

As we all know, Henry Wallace when he ran as a progressive in 1948 got no electoral votes, but he did run nearly the same amount of votes as Strom Thurmond, who won 4 states, and performed rather well in the other 7 Confederate states.

There's no comparison between the two. Thurmond ran only in the South (with Truman not even being on the ballot in Alabama nor listed as the official Democratic nominee in Mississippi), thus being able to get electoral votes, where a significant part of the electorate was disenfranchised. Votes for Wallace were spread across the country.
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nclib
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« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2019, 09:09:11 PM »

Atlas has Wallace's best counties as:

Bronx, NY 17.15%
Kings, NY 15.12%
New York, NY 14.43%
Williams, ND 13.52%
Musselshell, MT 11.42%
Mountrail, ND 11.05%
McCone, MT 10.65%
Sullivan, NY 9.96%
Keweenaw, MI 9.48%
Hillsborough, FL 9.23%
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2019, 12:52:50 PM »

Hillsborough FL seems just totally out of left field on that list. 
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2019, 05:35:01 PM »

Hillsborough FL seems just totally out of left field on that list. 

I agree
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lfromnj
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2019, 11:23:15 AM »


Figured out Hillsborough Florida.
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2019, 01:09:33 PM »


Figured out Hillsborough Florida.


Does a socialist doing well there in 1912 really help explain why Wallace did well there in 1948?
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #10 on: July 14, 2019, 02:24:03 PM »

I've actually made a map a while ago of second places by county in 1912 (couldn't find the data for TX and GA, and some random white counties)



Red: Wilson
Green: TR
Blue: Taft
Maroon: Debs
Yellow: a Prohibition dude I won't bother looking up now

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lfromnj
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« Reply #11 on: July 14, 2019, 07:05:32 PM »


Figured out Hillsborough Florida.


Does a socialist doing well there in 1912 really help explain why Wallace did well there in 1948?

Not just Florida but Hillsborough specifically.
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #12 on: July 15, 2019, 01:51:04 PM »

Atlas has Wallace's best counties as:

Bronx, NY 17.15%
Kings, NY 15.12%
New York, NY 14.43%
Williams, ND 13.52%
Musselshell, MT 11.42%
Mountrail, ND 11.05%
McCone, MT 10.65%
Sullivan, NY 9.96%
Keweenaw, MI 9.48%
Hillsborough, FL 9.23%


So Jews and Norwegian Americans.
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UnselfconsciousTeff
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« Reply #13 on: July 20, 2019, 08:51:44 AM »


>Alabama votes for 100% Thurmond
>Still lost 2 counties in his home state

W E W
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