Morning Consult's Governor Approval Rankings Q2

[ctrepublican512]

I think these polls are ultimately pretty meaningless for candidates that aren't surpassing a 50% approval rating (and even then they fall far short of guaranteeing reelection). But, if we are going to extrapolate from this info, some thoughts...

Kelly +27, Sisolak +22, Cooper +20, Walz +18, and Evers +15 are highly satisfactory numbers to me.

Kemp +23? Disgusting!

Pretty mediocre numbers for Reynolds, Noem, and Justice, although Noem probably doesn't have anything to worry about in 2022. I think Reynolds could easily find herself in another competitive race (especially if it's another Trump midterm) but would still be favored. Lujan Grisham does surprisingly poorly here too (considering her impressive 2018 margin), but I can't imagine her losing in any circumstance.

I don't think Raimondo was any more popular in 2018 and she still had no trouble dispatching a supposedly top-tier GOP recruit, so I doubt that her numbers here really foreshadow any sort of trouble. Brown's in the same boat.

I agree with this assessment. I doubt Lamont is going to lose given Malloy survived two red wave elections and I don’t see Polis loosing given how Colorado seems to get bluer every month

Lamont probably won’t run again, but if he does I doubt he wins

[ctrepublican512]

I think these polls are ultimately pretty meaningless for candidates that aren't surpassing a 50% approval rating (and even then they fall far short of guaranteeing reelection). But, if we are going to extrapolate from this info, some thoughts...

Kelly +27, Sisolak +22, Cooper +20, Walz +18, and Evers +15 are highly satisfactory numbers to me.

Kemp +23? Disgusting!

Pretty mediocre numbers for Reynolds, Noem, and Justice, although Noem probably doesn't have anything to worry about in 2022. I think Reynolds could easily find herself in another competitive race (especially if it's another Trump midterm) but would still be favored. Lujan Grisham does surprisingly poorly here too (considering her impressive 2018 margin), but I can't imagine her losing in any circumstance.

I don't think Raimondo was any more popular in 2018 and she still had no trouble dispatching a supposedly top-tier GOP recruit, so I doubt that her numbers here really foreshadow any sort of trouble. Brown's in the same boat.

I agree with this assessment. I doubt Lamont is going to lose given Malloy survived two red wave elections and I don’t see Polis loosing given how Colorado seems to get bluer every month

Lamont probably won’t run again, but if he does I doubt he wins

Unless he has a major scandal (doubtful), I don't see him losing. Malloy won two elections during a red wave and the Republicans are probably stupid enough to nominate another fellow from the hard-right. Could be Lamont retires, what would put Susan Bysiewicz in a strong position.

Yes it would be that he passes the torch to our LG. Mrs. Lamont apparently only signed up for 4 years. Bysiewicz isn’t that liked in the state but that could change. She would most certainly get a serious primary challange. Also, Stefanowski was an awful nominee - but - please stip saying he was far right. If anytbing he was adjusting to the hyperpolarization we live in. Half of this site laughed at the lrospect of him winning, when he lost by just over 3%. He was an apolitical novice/opportunist that donated to Dems loathed by CT GOP base and even flirted running as a Democrat in the gubernatorial.