I think these polls are ultimately pretty meaningless for candidates that aren't surpassing a 50% approval rating (and even then they fall far short of guaranteeing reelection). But, if we are going to extrapolate from this info, some thoughts...
Kelly +27, Sisolak +22, Cooper +20, Walz +18, and Evers +15 are highly satisfactory numbers to me.
Kemp +23? Disgusting!
Pretty mediocre numbers for Reynolds, Noem, and Justice, although Noem probably doesn't have anything to worry about in 2022. I think Reynolds could easily find herself in another competitive race (especially if it's another Trump midterm) but would still be favored. Lujan Grisham does surprisingly poorly here too (considering her impressive 2018 margin), but I can't imagine her losing in any circumstance.
I don't think Raimondo was any more popular in 2018 and she still had no trouble dispatching a supposedly top-tier GOP recruit, so I doubt that her numbers here really foreshadow any sort of trouble. Brown's in the same boat.
I agree with this assessment. I doubt Lamont is going to lose given Malloy survived two red wave elections and I don’t see Polis loosing given how Colorado seems to get bluer every month
