WI: Dems win 2024, 2028, and 2032
I think this is right. Fundamentally, it depends on the timing of the next economic crash more than anything else (at this point, it's clear Trump isn't going to handicap himself/the GOP with Iraq War style foreign policy). 2025 or later = Option 1. Before 2020 = Option 2. After 2020 but before 2024 = Option 3. Regarding Option 1, I also think Pence (by far the most likely 2024 GOP nominee if Trump is reelected) would lose Trump's EC advantage in a neutral year and just have a harder time in general with swing voters unless the economy is roaring.
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