More likely streak of 3 winning elections for prez?

[Orser67]

Normally I would be strongly inclined to with the idea of "2 is easier than 3", but

a)I think Trump is an underdog in 2020,
b)I have a hard imagining that a second-term Trump wouldn't be a huge weight on his party's chances in 2024, a la Bush in 2008,
c)Democrats seem to have a long-term advantage in presidential elections right now. Republicans may well have a small built-in advantage in the electoral college, but since 1992 Democrats have won three convincing victories and one medium-sized victory, while Republicans have won one medium-sized victory and two extremely close elections