UK General Election 2019 - Campaign Thread
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GoTfan
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« Reply #75 on: August 28, 2019, 07:09:53 AM »

Green Party 2019

Heading into the final week, the Green Party is confident in being able to establish a solid footing in Parliament in order to push for a strong environmental agenda.

Sepetmeber 5-7: Campaign across London. Confident the city will continue to be receptive to the message of environmentalism and modernism, Lucas campaigned across the city with the aid of David Attenborough. The particular talking point was Crossrail, and the promise to power it with renewable energy, as well as opposing the Heathrow expansion on environmental grounds, and Darling's flip-flopping on the issue of renationalising the railways.

September 8-9: Boarding a train into the Yorkshire and Humber area, Lucas campaigned on the Green Party plan to kick start the British hydrogen industry by providing jobs there for coal miners whose mines were closing. She particularly emphasised this part, and that it was the role of the government to retrain them to work in a new economy. In addition, she also continued to talk about rail nationalisation, and plans to upgrade the rails for more movers, energy efficient trains, powered with renewable energy.

September 10: Lucas returned to her constituency of Brighton Pavilion, and gave a formal thanks to all volunteers via a Skype message, before issuing a call to arms to defend the environment, to renationalise the railways, and end crippling austerity measures.

(This is all I can do. My grandmother suffered a heart attack last night and I'm taking care of her)
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« Reply #76 on: August 28, 2019, 05:03:45 PM »

Conservative Schedule September 5th-11th

September 5th
-Canvass in Scarborough.
-Canvass in Middlesbrough.
-Canvass in Newcastle.

September 6th
-Canvass in Carlisle.
-Canvass Darlington.
-Speech in Preston.
Quote
I don’t know about you but I am relieved that this campaign is nearly over and we can get back to the business of governing this great nation. I said this at the beginning of the campaign but quite frankly it cannot be stressed enough. If you want your will to be carried out, the Conservative Party is the only way to go. Brexit will be hard, I won’t lie to you. You all know this. But as soon as we start going back on our democratic values because it is too difficult is the day I throw in the towel on politics.

September 7th
-Canvass in Northampton.
-Canvass in Leicester.
-Canvass in Nottingham.

September 8th
-Canvass in Canterbury.
-Canvass in Brighton.
-Speech in Portsmouth.
Quote
This election is about Brexit, yes. But it is also about so much more. If you have read the plans put out by our political opponents on the left you know what is going to happen to your taxes: they’re going to up. You know what is going to happen to the economic vitality of this country: it is going to go down. You know what is going to happen to your paychecks: they are going to get smaller. Make the smart choice and vote Conservative on the 11th
.

September 9th
-Canvass in Manchester.
-Canvass in Sheffield.
-Canvass in Liverpool.

September 10th
-Canvass in Cardiff.
-Canvass in Gloucester.
-Canvass in Birmingham.

September 11th
-Canvass in Oxford.
-Canvass in Bristol.
-Final speech in London.
Quote
I pledge to you tonight to be the Prime Minister for all Britons, not just Brexiteers and not just Remaineers. We need someone in No. 10 who is willing to make the hard choices, not just on Brexit, but on the economy, and on national security, and frankly, we cannot trust either Labour or the Liberal Democrats to do the job. Fundamentally, it becomes a question of who you want in Downing Street when the phone rings at 3 in the morning and there is an emergency, and I hope you choose me.
.

Strategy: Surrogates and MP leadership teams will be out in full force for the last week of the election. Leadership teams in the north of England and Brexiteer parts of the Midlands will lean heavily into the “respect your vote” line. These teams will lambast the parties of the left for their moves to hold a second referendum and paint Labour and the Liberal Democrats as out of touch with everyday Britons. Leadership teams in the south of England, London, Wales, and Scotland will tend to put their attention more heavily on economic matters touting lines that Labour will increase taxes and the Liberal Democrats will lead the country into an economic catastrophe. Images of mid 20th century Labour chaos will be utilized in advertisements.

Infrastructure: The campaign infrastructure put into place over the last six weeks will be fully mobilized for the final push. The field program will shift fully into GOTV. Likely Conservatives who rarely vote will be contacted by volunteers at the door and presented with a combination of both what a Cameron Ministry will accomplish and the damage that either a Liberal Democratic or a Labour government will do to the country. Much will be made of the recent surge in the polls by both Labour and the Lib Dems and the need for their to be a check on out of control left wing policies in Westminster.
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Lumine
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« Reply #77 on: August 28, 2019, 10:01:50 PM »

"Time for Change"
Change UK Party Political Broadcast

1
______________________________________________________________

Scene

Broadcast opens by portraying a darkened television study with a podium in the middle, in which several different takes will be shown with a different actress or actor at the podium. It will be intended to show the falser and cynical side of politics.

Actors/Actresses: There will be seven of them, ideally resembling the main party leaders as much as possible, and each wearing a different tie or accessory that is meant to represent the color of their respective party. Represented are the Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, BFP, Sinn Fein and the SNP, but the name of the party leaders is never to be uttered.

Opening

Narrator: As the campaign draws to a close, the political party leaders bravely face the tough questions from the public in their fight to serve the people of the United Kingdom.

-

(We see the Cameron actor, smug, with a blue tie and a Cheshire Cat smirk.)

Person 1: I still don’t know what your plans for Brexit are. So what are they?

(The Cameron actor looks confused, looks at his papers)

Cameron: (still grinning) Pass.

(Person 1 looks annoyed.)

-

(We see the Darling actor, red tie, glasses and with a bored expression, like a grey accountant)

Person 2: I remember you! You crashed the economy, didn’t you?

Darling: (exasperated) I should have known people would still remember that!

(Person 2 looks irritated.)

-

(We see the Swinson actress, yellow necklace, nervous, played by a teenager)

Person 3: Your regional Brexit plan would break up the nation, wouldn’t it?

Swinson: (visibly panicked) Oh, gosh, I have no idea! Ask me a different question.

Person 3: Okay. How will you pay for all that new spending?

Swinson: (frozen) Uhhh… Yes, yes I think my plan will break up the union. (smiles as if having aced the question)

(Person 3 is stunned.)

-

(We see the Nuttall actor, dressed in a Union Jack Suit with a purple tie. He looks confident.)

Nuttall: (boisterous) Come on, ask me anything! A man of the people always takes questions.

Person 4: Didn’t you lie about being at Hillsborough?

Nuttall: (deadpan) Pass.

Person 4: Okay. Didn’t you lie about your career?

Nuttall: (deadpan) Pass.

Person 4: Right. Wasn’t your party responsible for making a mess out of Brexit?

Nuttall: (deadpan) Pass.

(Person 4 looks in disbelief.)

-

(We see the McDonald actress, with a dark-green accessory.)

Person 5: Oh, you want us to Remain in the EU, right?

McDonald: (smiling) Absolutely.

Person 5: So you will go to Westminster to fight Brexit, right?

McDonald: (smiling) No.

Person 5: Um. But you will go to Parliament to do your job, right?

McDonald: (still smiling) No.

Person 5: So what’s the point then?

(McDonald, still smiling, ignores Person 5 and walks out with her papers. Person 5 looks stunned.)

-

(We see the Sturgeon actress, with a yellow and black accessory.)

Person 6: Your party has pushed for a lot of spending cuts in Scotland, hasn’t it?

Sturgeon: Independence.

Person 6: Okay… are you sure the EU would welcome an independent Scotland?

Sturgeon: Independence.

Person 6: Right, but wouldn’t an independent Scotland lead to a hard border in the North?

Sturgeon: Independence.

(Person 6 looks vexed.)

-

Ending

We cut to Anna Soubry in a political town hall, surrounded by several voters and a few of the more prominent Change UK candidates, with an emphasis on those new to politics.

Soubry: Tiring, isn’t it? You ask a straight question and you never get a straight answer, and they’ve done it for years now as they fail to solve any of the problems you face every day. But sure enough, they come back every five years to ask for your vote and they promise that this time they will get it right, or that they’ll solve the mess left by the other party. And then that party comes back after five years and it promises the same.

(Soubry sits on the stage, crosses her legs and takes a relaxed posture.)

Soubry: We got tired of that, we simply had enough. That is why all of us left the old parties to create a new one, one that could actually try to solve the problems of all Britons instead of falling into the old nonsense, or trying to govern by stoking fear and promoting division like the Prime Minister and his Coalition of Chaos like to do, or trying to govern without caring for the consequences, like others have done. The Union is at risk. Some want to force a damaging Hard Brexit on you and your family.  Public services are not doing well, and the economy doesn’t seem to really help the people.

(Uplifting music in the background)

Soubry: I think it’s Time for Change in Britain. After all, you’ve tried the old way already. Why not try something different this time?

(We cut to the Change UK logo and a “Vote for something different. Vote Change UK.” screen. Then we cut to black.)
________________________________________

1.) Original Image:
BBC One, Party Election Broadcasts: Change UK - The Independent Group, modified.
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Lumine
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« Reply #78 on: August 28, 2019, 10:14:15 PM »

Change UK:
Time for Change in Britain!

1
______________________________________________________________

Week 6:
The Final Effort

In General: With the election finally reaching its final stage, Change UK has decided to make a special closing effort focused on expanding the party base into disaffected voters, particularly those who rarely or never vote, do so for small parties, or are generally frustrated at the political system. This will be combined with a swing into MP-rich regions in order to guarantee large numbers of elected MP's (West and East Midlands, London, South West and South East) and a final dash into areas in which there's a risk of meeting the threshold, both Northern Ireland and Scotland, with a special focus against the Sinn Fein policies and the SNP's record, as well as their combined nationalist rhetoric. By this, Soubry and Change UK hope to maximize turnout and ensure a surprise takes place at Election Night, or, at least, that any losses from enemy attacks may be contained up to a minimum.

Strategy: A great emphasis will be placed in personal stories regarding the political deadlock. Change UK MP's and candidates are encouraged to tell their personal stories as to why they're fed up with current politics and the old parties, and to be as honest and authentic as their can in the process in order to better portray the novelty of the party and capture the mood of the public. Issues championed by small local or regional parties that are compatible will be taken up by regional candidates in order to draw voters away from these minor groups, and expand the party base. Alongside the now consolidated specific attacks on each party, the messaging will include a portray of several of the leaders as being more of the same (Cameron and Darling in particular), always in the hope of successfully presenting Change UK as the bold, exciting and optimistic future.

Visits:

September 5: WEST MIDLANDS (Focus: Economy, Crime, Brexit)
September 6: EAST MIDLANDS  (Focus: Economy, Crime, Brexit)
September 7: SCOTLAND (Focus: Federal UK, Economy, Brexit)
September 8: NORTHERN IRELAND (Focus: The Union, Abstentionism, Brexit)
September 9: SOUTH WEST (Focus: Under 16 vote, Brexit, Education)
September 10: SOUTH EAST (Focus: Brexit, Transport, Economy)
September 11: LONDON (Focus: Brexit, Political Reform, Housing)

___________________________________________________________________
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #79 on: August 28, 2019, 11:00:08 PM »


Sinn Féin
Schedule for 5–11 September


_______________________

In General: Sinn Féin will take nothing for granted in the final week of the campaign. At the top of the ticket, McDonald will remain the face and voice of Sinn Féin in one last push to persuade undecided voters and motivate the party faithful. At the constituency level, local organizations and party activists will be central to efforts to mobilize supporters on election day. As they continue to hammer their opponents for their many crimes and heresies committed in the lustful pursuit of power, Sinn Féin will also take time to emphasize their positive vision for the future of Northern Ireland. They will remind the public that the disaster of the last seven years—austerity, deregulation, Brexit, and the collapse of home rule—was achieved through the combined efforts of the DUP, UUP, and Thatcherites like Anna Soubry whose irrepressible lust for power inspired a callous disregard for the plight of the working people of Northern Ireland. They sold out their constituents for a seat in Westminster; they intentionally crafted policies to reward the rich at the expense of the poor. Anna Soubry claims to oppose Brexit: but it was her incompetence as a leading member of the Coalition of Chaos that allowed Brexit to happen in the first place. If she and her Unionist friends wanted to solve the crisis, why have they not already done so? Simply put, because they have no interest in helping Northern Ireland: only in enriching themselves. Her cronies offer no real solutions to the problem because they are the problem: their poisoned policies, their broken ideas, are the root of the weed that is strangling the heart and soul of the common people.

A vote for Soubry or the Unionists is a vote for five more years of the unsustainable status quo. In parliament, they won't represent the interests of Northern Ireland —why would they, when they've so far profited by ignoring them? Rather than listen to Northern voices, Soubry and the Unionists shut down Stormont and ruled Northern Ireland directly from Westminster. The only way for Northern Ireland to have her rights is to take them herself. By voting for Sinn Féin by a large majority, the people of Northern Ireland will send a clear message to Westminster that they will not be ignored. A massive show of solidarity will force Westminster to change course, restore home rule, and amend the Brexit deal with the EU to prevent a hard border across Ireland. Sinn Féin is an abstentionist party: their votes are not for sale to David Cameron or Alistair Darling, and a vote for them cannot be confused as anything but a statement of common cause with the working people of this island. With a strong plurality of Northern voters behind them, Sinn Féin will be able to most effectively advocate for the interests of the neediest in our society: for the full funding of public services, including healthcare, education, and housing; and for the Northern workers whose livelihoods depend on free movement across Ireland. Only Sinn Féin has offered a realistic plan to meet these goals, and only by voting for them on election day can Northerners force the politicians in parliament to set aside their ambition and petty squabbling to serve the interests of the people.

Campaign:
5 September   Campaigning across Antrim, McDonald meets with party activists and representatives of then local Sinn Féin organization. In what has historically been a stronghold for Unionist sentiment, she launches a spirited defense of the Good Friday Agreement, identifying the real threat to peace as coming "not from the South, but from Westminster." The Tories in their arrogance have deliberately held up negotiations to reopen the Stormont executive in order to continue to rule without reference to the will of the people. Only by a show of solidarity on election day can Northern Ireland make their voice heard and force the DUP and the Tories back to the negotiating table.

6–7 September   Campaigning across Down and Armagh, McDonald raises again the bloody banner of austerity, reminding voters of the legacy of the "Coalition of Chaos" wreaking having to public services in order to fund a massive tax-giveaway to the rich. Whatever "ChUK" and Anna Soubry may promise now, they were on the front lines fighting for these policies during the coalition and have defended them as recently as this year. "Change UK" is anything but, and a vote for them is a vote for the status quo. Sinn Féin alone has been a consistent advocate for fully funding public services and the cause of the neediest in our society.

8–9 September   Campaigning in Fermanagh, McDonald emphasizes the ways in which local industry would be impacted by a hard Brexit and recounts Sinn Féin's plan to preserve access to the Single Market and Customs Union. Not only would this plan protect the interests of Northern farmers and workers whose livelihoods would vanish were a hard border drawn across Ireland, the EU has indicated they would accept such a deal as a compromise with the UK: only the intransigence of parliament stands in its way. If a deal is not reached to prevent a hard border, it would mean the collapse of the Good Friday Agreement and a return to the violence of the Troubles. A vote for Sinn Féin will shake the politicians out of their stupor and force them to attend to Northern interests.

10–11 September   McDonald brings the campaign to a finish in Belfast, where she greets crowds of supporters and issues a final summons to the polls on the eve of the election. She recalls the themes of the campaign in her remarks, citing the crimes of the Tory-Unionist "Coalition of Chaos" and Sinn Féin's plan to lead Northern Ireland into the future.

Image Credit: Wikimedia Commons
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DKrol
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« Reply #80 on: August 29, 2019, 10:49:37 PM »

Election Night 2019

Exit poll indicates strong support for Irish language
Source: RTE

Adam Boulton: Welcome to Sky News' coverage of Election Night 2019. I am Adam Boulton. Across the country, we have dozens of reporters at the counts, with the leaders, and in Westminster. We'll be with you through it all, bringing you every update as it comes in and keeping you informed on the results of this monumental election.

As the clock strikes 10 o'clock, we can now release the Exit Poll. This Exit Poll was conducted by Ipsos Mori for the BBC, Sky, and ITV. This poll is of voters as they left the polling locations so it is the most accurate idea we can have of how tonight's results will turn out. Here it is:

2019 Exit Poll
Conservatives: 160 MPs
Labour: 155 MPs
Liberal Democrats: 100 MPs
Change UK: 98 MPs
British Freedom Party: 57 MPs
Greens: 37 MPs
Scottish National Party: 24 MPs
Sinn Fein: 8 MPs
Ulster Unionist Party: 4 MPs
Social Democratic and Labour Party: 3 MPs
Traditional Unionist Voice: 2 MPs
Plaid Cymru: 2 MPs

Boulton: The most hung of hung parliaments. The Conservatives would be the largest party, but only by five seats, and still well short of a majority. The Exit Poll also suggests a good night for Labour, as they regain their losses of the last two elections and resume their place as the largest party on the left. This is all, of course, if the Exit Poll holds true. Only time will tell on that.

The first results are expected in about an hours time from the North East. Until then, let's check in with...

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DKrol
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« Reply #81 on: August 29, 2019, 11:22:09 PM »

11:06 PM

Boulton: We're going to the count in Newcastle for the North East.

North East Results
Labour - 37%, 11 MPs
Conservatives - 23%, 7 MPs
Liberal Democrats - 18%, 5 MPs
Change UK - 15%, 4 MPs
BFP - 7%, 2 MPs

Boulton: A traditional Labour stronghold has come in solidly red. Compared to the most recent polls, Labour outperformed the expectations just a bit, but the real surprise is from the Conservatives. The last poll had the Tories down at 18%. The results show a 5% swing towards the Tories from the last poll. The Liberal Democrats are not off to the start they were hoping for, coming in third with 18% and 5 MPs. Change UK, on 15%, pick up 4 MPs and the BFP, on 7%, pick up just 2 MPs. Beth Rigby, your thoughts on this early result?

Beth Rigby: What this is showing is a return to normal voting patterns, at least in the North East. In 2014, the Tories actually came out on top with 15 MPs in this region. It shocked us all at the time. Now, I think, we're seeing the North East realign with Labour, as it was a solidly Labour area before the switch to the proportional system.

Boulton: We've got more results coming in, from Cardiff for the Welsh Region.

Sky News, Wales Results
Conservatives: 26%, 12 MPs
Labour: 22%, 9 MPs
Liberal Democrats: 20%, 8 MPs
Green Party: 12%, 5 MPs
Change UK: 10%, 4 MPs
BFP: 6%, 2 MPs
Plaid Cymru: 4%, 0 MPs

Boulton: The Conservatives have taken Wales with 12 MPs, followed by Labour with 9 and the Liberal Democrats with 8. Lewis Goodall, your thoughts?

Lewis Goodall: I think the Exit Poll may have underestimated the Tory vote, Adam. In these first two results, we've seen the Conservatives outpacing the most recent polls. Not by much, Adam, but by, you know, enough to suggest David Cameron may remain in Number 10 as the sun comes up. This looks like a victory for the Conservatives under the proportional system since, under the old system, they never held more than 14 Welsh seats. Also worth noting: The BFP outperformed the last poll in Wales and surpassed the seat threshold.

Boulton: Running along the bottom of your screen now is a ticker with the live updates on the number of MPs at this hour. If we look at it, we will see:

RESULTS: LABOUR: 20 MPs CONSERVATIVE: 19 MPs LIBERAL DEMOCRAT: 13 MPs CHANGE UK: 8 MPs GREEN: 5 MPs BRITISH FREEDOM PARTY: 4 MPs
Boulton: We will be back after this. We're hearing the next result will be from Edinburgh.
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Lumine
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« Reply #82 on: August 29, 2019, 11:48:44 PM »
« Edited: August 30, 2019, 11:50:25 AM by Lumine »

HEIDI ALLEN (Change UK): "We're obviously very thrilled with the exit poll, we fought very hard during this campaign to offer something different to the voters and I think Change UK has been warmly recieved. We can never fully trust exit polls, but it would seem that we'll be gaining a good amount of seats today against the old established parties, which is a remarkable accomplishment for any new party.

Personally, I'm also very pleased with those results from Wales and the North East, with those two regions alone electing almost as many MP's as we had before the election was called. Our leading candidates Diana Wallis and Jon Owen Jones were a fantastic MEP and a fantastic MP - respectively -, and we're very hopeful about having even better results in the larger regions. It is of course too early to judge, but I suspect we'll see one or two party leaders come under significant fire from their own MP's if some of the losses that Exit Poll is predicting take place."
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« Reply #83 on: August 30, 2019, 12:23:22 AM »
« Edited: August 30, 2019, 01:30:25 AM by DKrol »

12:31 AM

Boulton: We were going to go to Edinburgh for the Scottish results, but we're being told that the South East results are in and we will want to see them. Here they are, from Southampton.

South East Results
Conservative Party - 30%, 26 MPs
Labour Party - 18%, 16 MPs
Liberal Democrats - 17%, 15 MPs
Change UK - 15%, 13 MPs
BFP - 11%, 10 MPs
Wessex Regionalists - 5%, 4 MPs
Greens - 4%, 0 MPs

Boulton: Absolutely shocking result from the South East. The Wessex Regionalist Party, a party that last reported a membership of 12 in 2016, has surpassed the seat threshold and will seat four MPs by nature of the sheer volume of MPs in the region. Pushing down the Green vote to below 5% means Caroline Lucas has lost her seat. I'm stunned, really. Beth?

Rigby: Yeah, Adam. I'm shocked as well. Noticing here that the BFP and Change UK also did fairly well, picking up 10 MPs and 13 MPs, maybe there's an indication that folks in the South East are feeling left behind by mainstream politics?

Goodall: But we didn't see that in Wales. Plaid failed to pick up a seat.

Rigby: I don't really know what else to attribute it to. I mean, did the Wessex Regionalists even put forward a list? Does it have four candidates on it?

Boulton: I don't...

Goodall: Yep. I've got it here, from the Leader of the Party, Jim Gunter. Their list had exactly four candidates on it so, I guess, there ya go. We'll have to watch for similar results from regionalist and minor parties as voters expression their frustration with the status quo.

Boulton: From one regionalist success to what could potentially be another. Up to Edinburgh for the Scottish results.

Scotland Results
SNP: 42%, 25 MPs
Labour: 14%, 8 MPs
Conservatives: 14%, 8 MPs
Liberal Democrats: 13%, 8 MPs
Green Party: 10%, 6 MPs
Change UK: 7%, 4 MPs

Boulton: A good night for Nicola Sturgeon up North then. Claiming 25 of the 59 MPs for the SNP has to have them popping champagne. Lewis, they've got to go for an independence referendum now, haven't they?

Goodall: If the parties in Westminister don't see this result as a mandate to hold a referendum, I think we'd be facing a constitutional crisis, I really do. Nicola Sturgeon has won just shy of 50% of the vote in Scotland. None of the other parties are even close!

Rigby: I'd be very upset if I were Alistair Darling. Falling below 20% in his home country has got to hurt. He made it such a big part of his campaign and it just didn't work out. Voters, clearly, did not see him as representative of their wants and needs. Ruth Davidson, also, must be in shock now. Over the last few elections, the Scottish Conservatives have done well to fight their way up and now, really, that's done.

Boulton: In Scotland, the SNP are up 6 seats, Labour are down 6, Tories are down 5, and the Liberal Democrats down 2. The Greens gained 5 MPs and Change UK have elected their first 4 Scottish MPs.

RESULTS: CONSERVATIVE: 53 MPs LABOUR: 44 MPs LIBERAL DEMOCRAT: 36 MPs CHANGE UK: 25 MPs GREEN: 11 MPs BRITISH FREEDOM PARTY: 14 MPs WESSEX REGIONALISTS: 4 MPs
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« Reply #84 on: August 30, 2019, 01:01:44 AM »
« Edited: August 30, 2019, 02:07:42 AM by DKrol »

12:58 AM

Boulton: We've had more results come in over the break, from London, Nottingham, and Birmingham. Here they are.

London Results
Labour Party - 26%, 21 MPs
Change UK - 24%, 19 MPs
Liberal Democrats - 18%, 15 MPs
Conservative Party - 16%, 13 MPs
Greens - 14%, 12 MPs
BFP - 2%, 0 MPs

East Midlands Results
Conservative Party - 25%, 12 MPs
Liberal Democrats - 22%, 10 MPs
BFP - 20%, 9 MPs
Change UK - 17%, 8 MPs
Labour Party - 16%, 7 MPs

West Midlands Results
Labour Party - 29%, 18 MPs
Conservative Party - 24%, 15 MPs
BFP - 19%, 12 MPs
Liberal Democrats - 17%, 10 MPs
Change UK - 7%, 4 MPs
English Democrats Party - 4%

Boulton: Results coming in quickly now. Let's take a moment to talk about these three results here. In London, Change UK drop from the top spot, ceding it to Labour, while the Tories don't do as bad as some had expected, only losing three MPs from 2014. Early on in this campaign, some projections had the Tories being wiped out in London.

Rigby: It's the City of London that has saved them, I think, Adam. They had a strong showing from the folks who work in the financial sector. Bad showing for the Greens, though. They needed closer to 20 MPs from London in order to meet their goals. Doesn't look good for Caroline Lucas as Leader going forward.

Boulton: In the East Midlands, the Conservatives stick to their poll numbers. In the last poll, they were at 25% and that's what they got tonight, although they've lost a large number of their MPs from the region. The shocker here is that the Liberal Democrats pulled into second, just ahead of the BFP. Change UK also beat out Labour for fourth place, although it was only by a few hundred votes when you look at the raw numbers.

Goodall: Better than what Anna Soubry was probably expecting, worse than the Conservatives were dreaming of, and a surprise for Alistair Darling to be down in last place. This was a region where Labour thought they might be third during the campaign but it's not a bad number: they've gained six MPs from 2014.

Boulton: Lastly, the West Midlands. In 2014 this was Tory Blue, with them winning 31 seats. Tonight, they've lost the top spot to Labour, albeit it not by much, and they've lost over half their MPs for the regions. The BFP may have absorbed some of the Tory votes in the region as they gain a few MPs.

Rigby: We see the English Democrats making a strong showing here, almost mirroring the Wessex Regionalists, but falling just short of the seat threshold. We're seeing results that clearly indicate unhappiness with the status quo. If they could set their ideological differences apart, I think, at the end of the night, the BFP, Change UK, the Greens, SNP, the Wessex Regionalists, and whatever ends up happening in Northern Ireland could probably form a Government.

Goodall: I don't know about that, Beth. That's a bold claim.

Boulton: At this hour, here is how Parliament stands:

State of Parliament, as of 1 AM
Conservatives: 93 MPs
Labour: 90 MPs
Liberal Democrats: 71 MPs
Change UK: 56 MPs
British Freedom Party: 35 MPs
Scottish National Party: 25 MPs
Greens: 23 MPs
Wessex Regionalists: 4 MPs
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« Reply #85 on: August 30, 2019, 02:08:46 AM »
« Edited: August 30, 2019, 02:55:50 AM by DKrol »

1:30 AM

Boulton: We're going up to Peterborough for the East of England result.

East of England Results
BFP - 25%, 13 MPs
Conservative Party - 23%, 11 MPs
Labour - 20%, 10 MPs
Liberal Democrats - 17%, 8 MPs
Change UK - 15%, 8 MPs

Rigby: The BFP come out on top of their first region and get their highest vote total of the night. We've expected this for most of the campaign. East of England is a very conservative region. The fact that the BFP narrowly pulled ahead of the Tories in the region should set off some alarm bells at CCHQ about the party's Brexit message, but overall not a bad result for the Prime Minister.

Goodall: I think Paul Nuttall is lucky to come out on tops here. I've heard from some voters on the ground who were confused by the BFP's party political broadcast, which never mentioned the name of the party or directed voters to cast their ballot papers for the party. If their ad had been stronger, the BFP might have been looking at 35% to 40% of the vote in the East of England.

Boulton: And up to Leeds for the Yorkshire and the Humber count.

Yorkshire and the Humber Results
Labour Party - 34%, 19 MPs
Conservative Party - 20%, 11 MPs
BFP - 20%, 11 MPs
Change UK - 15%, 8 MPs
Greens - 11%, 6 MPs

Boulton: Did we get that right? Labour smashing the Tories in Yorkshire and the Humber and securing a thorough margin of victory. Wow.

Goodall: I think this is a result of vote splitting. The Liberal Democrats chose not to contest the region, allowing Labour to consolidate much of the vote on the left. Meanwhile, the Conservatives and the BFP split 40% of the vote. The Tories had to fight for every voter from the BFP, while Labour just didn't have that fight with the Liberal Democrats.

Rigby: I think Lewis is making a good point there, Adam. The Liberal Democrats did not contest every region this election. If Labour comes out on top, they've got the Lib Dems to thank for it.

Boulton: We're going to Manchester for the result in the North West.

North West Result
Labour Party - 31%, 23 MPs
Conservative Party - 30%, 22 MPs
BFP - 17%, 12 MPs
Liberal Democrats - 12%, 10 MPs
Change UK - 10%, 6 MPs

Boulton: I think we've got a break in the results here, so why don't we take a second to talk about these results from the North West. Beth?

Rigby: This is a big, MP-rich region, Adam, and David Cameron saw that. Throughout the campaign, he made stops in Liverpool, in Manchester, in those areas that are traditionally Labour's strength. He didn't swing the needle dramatically, but he didn't need to. Cameron pulled just about every MP he could out of the North West with the BFP being on the ballot. Again, we keep coming back to it, if the BFP weren't on the ballot, I think David Cameron would be looking at a comfortable majority government.

Goodall: I'm more interested in the poor showing for the Liberal Democrats. Jo Swinson didn't campaign in the region in the last week, despite having 75 MPs up for grabs. She came under fire on every front throughout much of the campaign, a lot of it being trained on her specifically. I've seen in polls that the Change UK party political broadcast, which massacred the other party leaders, really hurt Jo Swinson a lot when voters were asked how comfortable they were with Jo Swinson becoming Prime Minister.

Rigby: She had that great second debate but couldn't capitalize on it. I don't really think a lot of that was her fault, Adam. I think she was just facing an impossible wave of negative coverage and couldn't combat it.

Boulton: As we are approaching 3:00 AM, let's take a look at the State of Parliament. There are only two regions left to declare, the South West and Northern Ireland.

State of Parliament, as of 2:45 AM
Labour: 142 MPs
Conservatives: 137 MPs
Liberal Democrats: 89 MPs
Change UK: 78 MPs
British Freedom Party: 71 MPs
Greens: 29 MPs
Scottish National Party: 25 MPs
Wessex Regionalists: 4 MPs
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DKrol
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« Reply #86 on: August 30, 2019, 03:14:41 AM »

3:15 AM

Boulton: We're going to go to Kay Burley who is in Bristol at the South West county. Kay, what've you got for us?

Kay Burley: Hi, Adam. We're being told there is a recount on going here in Bristol because the numbers are very, very tight. A few hundred votes, we're told, are separating the first and second place parties in the South West. We haven't been told which parties are fighting for those top two spots.

Boulton: Interesting, Kay. Thank you.

Rigby: I'm a bit surprised, Adam. The South West has been solidly Conservative for a long time. If there's any kind of a fight going on down there, it can't be good news for the Prime Minister.

4:45 AM

Boulton: We've finally gotten the results from Bristol. Here they are.

South West Result
Labour Party - 23%, 13 MPs
Conservative Party - 23%, 13 MPs
BFP - 21%, 13 MPs
Liberal Democrats - 11%, 6 MPs
Change UK - 11%, 6 MPs
Greens - 10%, 6 MPs

Boulton: Wow. Absolutely shocking results from Bristol. Labour have squeaked into first place in the South West, normally a Tory safety net, by only a few hundred votes.

Rigby: It's because of the vote splitting with the BFP, Adam, it's got to be. If even half of the BFP's voters in the South West went to the Tories, David Cameron would be smiling and loving the results. But with Nuttall's party sucking up 21% of the vote, Alistair Darling has been able to pick up 13 much-need MPs in a region we were expecting him to only find 5 or 6.

Boulton: The South West was the last region in England, Scotland, or Wales to declare. Let's see where we stand at this moment.

State of Parliament, as of 5:00 AM
Labour: 155 MPs
Conservatives: 150 MPs
Liberal Democrats: 95 MPs
Change UK: 84 MPs
British Freedom Party: 84 MPs
Greens: 35 MPs
Scottish National Party: 25 MPs
Wessex Regionalists: 4 MPs

Boulton: That means that Alistair Darling has the largest group in Parliament after these elections. Legally, David Cameron will have the first right to attempt to negotiate a Government, but it looks unlikely that he could find 326 votes on a confidence motion. Wait a moment, the Northern Irish count is going on in Belfast, let's go there.

Northern Ireland Result
Sinn Fein: 38%, 7 MPs
UUP: 21%, 4 MPs
Change UK: 20%, 4 MPs
SDLP: 14%, 2 MPs
TUV: 7%, 1 MP

Boulton: With that, the final declaration of the United Kingdom's 2019 election, we've got the results. Let's put them on the screen now.

The 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom
Labour: 155 MPs
Conservatives: 150 MPs
Liberal Democrats: 95 MPs
Change UK: 88 MPs
British Freedom Party: 84 MPs
Greens: 35 MPs
Scottish National Party: 25 MPs
Sinn Fein: 7 MPs
Wessex Regionalists: 4 MPs
Ulster Unionist Party: 4 MPs
Social Democrat and Labour Party: 2 MPs
Tradional Unionist Voice: 1 MP

Rigby: By my math, it's nearly impossible for Cameron to get to 326, or even 319 if you assume the Sinn Fein MPs will abstain, or even 316 if you include the Speaker and his two deputies. Conservatives plus British Freedom Party plus Wessex Regionalists plus UUP and TUV only gets you to 243. Now, if Cameron can bring in Anna Soubry, then he gets to 331 and is safe and sound. But I don't know if Cameron and Soubry could agree to terms.

Goodall: There are more avenues for Labour. Labour with the Liberal Democrats alone is 250. Add in Change UK and that's 338. Leave out Change UK and add in the SNP, the Greens, the Wessex Regionalists, and SDLP and you're at 316, the absolute minimum to command a working majority.

Rigby: Another path to Government would be the Liberal Democrats with Change UK, BFP, Greens, SNP, Wessex Regionalists, UUP, SDLP, and TUV, which would be 338 MPs. I know that's unlikely given the ideologies, but it's an absolute majority for a Government.

Boulton: Earlier, Beth, you said that the BFP, Change UK, Greens, SNP, the Wessex Regionalists, and Northern Ireland could probably form a Government. Have you done the math there?

Rigby: Yeah, a bit short, Adam. 243 if you add them all up. A bit short, but a strong bloc of anti-establishment MPs.

Boulton: Alright, we will leave it there. Thank you and goodnight, from all of us at Sky's Election Night 2019.
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« Reply #87 on: August 30, 2019, 12:07:19 PM »

Change UK - Press Release
"Britain voted for Change"

Change UK celebrates the outcome of the General Election, which resulted in a net gain of 79 seats for the party, the largest gain out of any party in this electoral contest. We believe this shows the clear desire of millions of voters to move away from the traditional, old politics that have failed our nation, and we look forward to fighting for what we believe in alongside our 88 MP's in Westminster after the new Parliament begins.

Change UK is now the only party with elected representatives in every single region of the United Kingdom, and our resolve to fight for the union and the well being of all the regions of the UK is stronger than ever. Even further, we believe this result is a clear indication of the desire to have a Second Referendum and to avoid the damaging Hard-Brexit some have championed, as well over 60% of elected MPs belong to Remain-supporting parties.

We also congratulate Mr. Darling and Mr. Cameron for winning the first and second largest number of seats, and we look forward to the upcoming discussions regarding the formation of a new, dynamic and forward-thinking government for the UK. It is important a strong government is formed instead of a minority one, and we will be more than open to listening what the largest parties have to say regarding the next government.

However, we passionately believe in the need for a second referendum, the need of ambitious political reform and the importance of preserving the union, all of them beliefs we are not prepared to trade away simply for the sake of power.

Above all, Britain voted for Change last night, and Change UK will be working to ensure that much needed change can be delivered.
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« Reply #88 on: August 31, 2019, 05:43:30 AM »

Caroline Lucas addresses supporters

"While I have not been re-elected to Parliament, we have strengthened our hand in the coming government negotiations and our standing in Parliament. We will use this to extract real action on climate change from whoever the governing party may be.

With the loss of my seat, I am hereby resigning as Leader of the Green Party, and endorse one of our newest MPs from London, Jean Lambert, as the next leader for the Green Party in the United Kingdom!"
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« Reply #89 on: September 02, 2019, 11:20:44 AM »




The Scottish Lion has rawr-ed again!



Nicola Sturgeon responds to the election results.
Quote
The results tonight in Scotland are very powerful, they give the SNP a mandate to demand real change in Westminster. We got 42%, a 28% lead over the nearest Unionist party. Pro-independence parties achieved 52% of the vote in total. If this doesn't send a message to Westminster that Scotland wants to decide its future, I don't know what will. The SNP will not agree to back a government which doesn't finally allow the Scottish people a vote on their future.


Image source: www.bbc.co.uk
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