KY-Gravis: McConnell +8

[MT Treasurer]

49% Mitch McConnell (R, inc.)
41% Jim Gray (D)

Trump approval: 60/37 (+23)

http://www.gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/2019-gravis-marketing-kentucky-poll

[Politician]

This pollster also has Bevin +6, for what it's worth. Really hard to believe Bevin only does two points worse than McConnell.

[Xing]

Hopefully Democrats don't waste a penny on this race.

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

McConnell is inevitable.

[OneJ]

Hopefully Democrats don't waste a penny on this race.

Now you know that wot happen.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Hopefully the Democrats pour everything they've got into this.

[TML]

To what extent are they sure of who the Democratic nominee for this race will be?

[UWS]

McConnell is inevitable.

2008 was the only opportunity the Democrats had to beat McConnell and they missed it. And Kentucky is a coal country state so McConnell will easily win this race.

[Sir Mohamed]

Safe R. McConnell will win by 20+ points. Dems shouldn't invest a dime here.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

*Yawn* Safe R-Safe R

But knowing the Democrats, due to KY-06 last year and the fact that Beshear might win this year, they will likely think they have a shot and waste money here, like they did with ALG in 2014.

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

Hopefully the Democrats pour everything they've got into this.

Why are you so optimistic about Democratic chances in your state?

If McConnell couldn't lose in 2008, he's never losing. he's going to remain Senator until he drops dead or resigns.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Why are you so optimistic about Democratic chances in your state?

Because we kind of like have a right to better representation, ya know?

If you don't count the dominionist vote, Republicans wouldn't be winning.

[UncleSam]

Why are you so optimistic about Democratic chances in your state?

Because we kind of like have a right to better representation, ya know?

If you don't count the dominionist vote, Republicans wouldn't be winning.

What is the doninionist vote

[Skye]

Why are you so optimistic about Democratic chances in your state?

Because we kind of like have a right to better representation, ya know?

If you don't count the dominionist vote, Republicans wouldn't be winning.

What is the doninionist vote

Oh boy, here we go again...

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

Why are you so optimistic about Democratic chances in your state?

Because we kind of like have a right to better representation, ya know?

If you don't count the dominionist vote, Republicans wouldn't be winning.

"If you don't count California, Trump won the popular vote"

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Calling it now: Mitch McConnell will have his worst ever performance in Fayette County in the 2020 Election regardless of who the Democrats nominate.

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

Calling it now: Mitch McConnell will have his worst ever performance in Fayette County in the 2020 Election regardless of who the Democrats nominate.

And probably in Jefferson County too.

[Alben Barkley]

Calling it now: Mitch McConnell will have his worst ever performance in Fayette County in the 2020 Election regardless of who the Democrats nominate.

Of this I am absolutely certain.

As for actually beating the Turtle, I abandoned all hope long ago. But, that said, I have no idea why they polled him against Jim Gray, who is unlikely to be the nominee. Adds more puzzlement to the poll’s already outlier and unbelievable result showing Bevin comfortably ahead, and only two points off McConnell??? Not sure I can trust this firm at all to poll Kentucky correctly.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Calling it now: Mitch McConnell will have his worst ever performance in Fayette County in the 2020 Election regardless of who the Democrats nominate.

And probably in Jefferson County too.

If only we could twist the course of history to force the Jefferson County Result in KY-SEN 2020 to be the same as its going to end up being in the end while making the rest of the state simply swing the same amount uniformly in terms of a shift from 2008 to 2020.

[Suburbia]

McConnell is a ruthless shrewd son of a gun.

He'll probably still win reelection.

Democrats should still pour resources there, and aggressively in KY-06, try to get Barr.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

What about other urban areas?

[Mr. Smith]

I do hope Gray does give it a shot, at least force Mitch to be a little on the defense.

[Bojack Horseman]

What the Dems really need to be doing is funding McConnell’s primary challenger. I don’t care what it takes, Mitch McConnell’s reign over the Senate needs to end. Period.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

The DSCC won't spent a penny in KY-Sen but whoever runs against McConnell will have a ridiculous warchest, which is fine, as small donors will be focusing on the Presidential election. In that sense, not a single dime will be "wasted" here as the money would not be diverted to Jed Possumturd's campaign to unseat Thom Tillis or whatever.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Multiply this by at least two, and that seems about right.