What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024?
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  What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024?
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Poll
Question: What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024?
#1
70+%
 
#2
50-70%
 
#3
30-50%
 
#4
Under 30%
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 80

Author Topic: What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024?  (Read 2433 times)
Burke Bro
omelott
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« Reply #25 on: August 11, 2019, 11:57:07 AM »

Unless something goes horribly wrong for Trump before the next election (a major scandal/recession), he’s probably favored to win in 2020 (>50%). The democratic field isn’t particularly strong, and a democratic candidate with a terrible record and prone to gaffes (*cough* Biden) may very well crumble. If that’s the case, 2024 would be almost certainly be a Democratic victory (<10% chance a Republican wins).

If a Democrat manages to win in 2020, it’ll depend on how their term goes.
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