2020 Presidential Predictions (General)

[S019]

Trump: 355-369 electoral votes
Biden: 183-169 electoral votes

Scenario A: 2016 plus Trump wins NH, MN, ME, NV, CO, VA, and NM.
Scenario B: Scen. A plus Delaware and Rhode Island.
Scenario C: Scen. A plus Oregon
Scenario D: Scen. A plus DE, RI, OR

hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha, Trump wouldn't win the bolded states even in his dreams. Even if he recovers from his current dismal polling position, he'd still easily lose the bolded states, maybe CO and VA flip in an absolute landslide, but that's it. Our country is too polarized for states like OR or DE to flip. Also he'd also probably lose NV, don't seem him doing well in Clark and he won't win Washoe by enough to win it. This is the most delusional prediction that I've seen on this site, even if Trump wins, it won't be this lopsided.

[S019]

Trump: 355-369 electoral votes
Biden: 183-169 electoral votes

Scenario A: 2016 plus Trump wins NH, MN, ME, NV, CO, VA, and NM.
Scenario B: Scen. A plus Delaware and Rhode Island.
Scenario C: Scen. A plus Oregon
Scenario D: Scen. A plus DE, RI, OR

hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha, Trump wouldn't win the bolded states even in his dreams. Even if he recovers from his current dismal polling position, he'd still easily lose the bolded states, maybe CO and VA flip in an absolute landslide, but that's it. Our country is too polarized for states like OR or DE to flip. Also he'd also probably lose NV, don't seem him doing well in Clark and he won't win Washoe by enough to win it. This is the most delusional prediction that I've seen on this site, even if Trump wins, it won't be this lopsided.

Obama won New Mexico by more than Clinton, Gary Johnson took 9% of vote in a state Clinton won by 8.

A lot of these Johnson voters had Clinton as a second choice

Virginia is a very political atmosphere due to 2A stuff and some local elections were very good for Reps.

Lol NOVA and Henrico now dominate VA politics, the Shenandoah valley and the other rural hicks who were pushing the opposition to gun control are irrelevant in statewide politics.

Colorado hasn't had much info, but it would flip if they flipped.

Color me skeptical that Trump is suddenly going to improve in educated places like Adams and Arapahoe County

Republicans are winning by 3 pts in NV primary turnout. And winning Washoe county.


Primary turnout is a bad indicator for anything. Also Trump narrowly lost Washoe in 2016, you don’t just have to win, you have to win it by close to double digits, like Dean Heller did in 2012, I doubt that happens.