Trump's best state in 2020

[Ilhan Apologist]

The suburbs in VA could trend R only if Bernie is the nominee.  If thats the case, Trump can win VA.  Otherwise the chances are minimal

Okay, but Virginia turning D isn't just a result of "suburban realignment", it's a result of the expansion in Northern Virginia. So there are plenty of D voters in Virginia that simply weren't there in 2004. For the trends to reverse, Northern Virginia would have to somehow shrink.

[AN63093]

Ugh.. finally someone that understands.

VA did not turn D because a bunch of 'never trump' establishment Republicans in Loudoun decided they didn't like the direction of the modern GOP.  People that think this just fundamentally do not understand the state and probably don't live here.  Or they do live here and are embarking on a puzzling exercise of willful ignorance.

VA turned D because of growth, that growth consisting of the same demographics that has counties on the MD side (like Montgomery, Howard) voting >70% D.

You run a more palatable candidate to establishment Republicans, then you're still losing NoVA.  Maybe by Romney numbers instead of Trump numbers, but you lose it nonetheless.  A lot of the people that voted R in the early 2000s are still here and still vote R, they are just outnumbered now, and significantly so.  And the new voters coming in are not persuadable and are some of the safest D votes in the US.

I don't know how many times this has to be explained before people here get it.  Maybe after the GOP loses another 2 or 3 presidential elections in VA will people shut up about it.