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September 30, 2020, 11:25:43 pm
News: First US presidential debate discussion thread link:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=400306.0

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  More vulnerable: Parson or Holcomb?
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Poll
Question: Who is more vulnerable? Mike Parson or Eric Holcomb?
#1
Mike Parson
 
#2
Eric Holcomb
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: More vulnerable: Parson or Holcomb?  (Read 610 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: June 05, 2019, 03:00:51 pm »

Who is more likely to lose re-election? Mike Parson of Missouri or Eric Holcomb of Indiana?
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2019, 03:37:28 pm »

Mike Parson because Holcomb is just incredibly popular (65% approval rate according to a poll I saw on HPI)

But both are safe R and with Trump winning both states in a landslide itís unlikely that any race will become competitive.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2019, 03:38:01 pm »

Neither because both are super popular.
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President Biden
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« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2019, 03:48:32 pm »

Parson, obviously.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: June 05, 2019, 03:56:15 pm »

Voted Parson, since he'll win by less, but both of them are safe.
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Ses
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« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2019, 05:54:30 pm »

Parson, but it would take a lot of things lining up for this to even be close to competitive.
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We Live in Black and White
SvenTC
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« Reply #6 on: June 05, 2019, 06:05:44 pm »

Not that I expect either to lose, but Parson by default. Indianans love Holcomb.
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#PACK THE COURTS
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« Reply #7 on: June 05, 2019, 06:23:50 pm »

The guy who underperformed Trump by 13, not the guy who underperformed Trump by 8; both while sharing a ballot with Trump.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #8 on: June 05, 2019, 06:27:45 pm »

Parson. Holcomb is a relatively non-controversial figure. However, I don't expect either race to be even within single digits. 
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Indiana Redux Bot
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« Reply #9 on: June 06, 2019, 03:00:08 am »

Parson, because he could actually lose and MO is a lot more D-friendly down-ballot than IN. Holcomb is safe.
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #10 on: June 06, 2019, 03:45:17 am »

Not that I expect either to lose, but Parson by default. Indianans love Holcomb.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #11 on: June 06, 2019, 05:59:52 pm »

Only if Galloway runs, will Parsons lose
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #12 on: June 06, 2019, 08:03:53 pm »

Galloway would lose by double digits.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2019, 05:23:30 am »

Possible Gubernatorial map



DEL Carney inc
IN Holcomb inc
KY Beshear
LA JBE inc
MS Reeves inc seat
MO N Galloway
MT Fox
NH M.Kelly
NC R.Cooper inc
ND Burgam inc
UT GOP inc seat
VT Scott inc
WA L.Brown inc seat
WVA Justice inc
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2019, 05:38:56 am »
« Edited: June 07, 2019, 10:32:21 am by Frenchrepublican »

Possible Gubernatorial map



DEL Carney inc
IN Holcomb inc
KY Beshear
LA JBE inc
MS Reeves inc seat
MO N Galloway
MT Fox
NH M.Kelly
NC R.Cooper inc
ND Burgam inc
UT GOP inc seat
VT Scott inc
WA L.Brown inc seat
WVA Justice inc

If Parson is losing, which could require either a scandal or a mega democratic tsunami, dems  are not losing MT
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2019, 05:39:58 am »


Stupid
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2019, 06:34:06 am »
« Edited: June 07, 2019, 06:37:08 am by Stephen Curry is Awesome »

Nicole Galloway isn't McCaskill, and Sununu lost his 15 point lead to Kelly and it went down to 7.

Its possible, not probable and Jason Kander almost beat Blunt without a major scandal, in MO, in an R wave yr 2016
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Atlanta 1997 World Champs
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« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2019, 12:22:33 pm »

Gov. Mike Parson.

Yes, Missouri is fairly pro-life, but the MO GOP is a bit too extreme.

A Missouri Democrat can make it a bit competitive, but I believe both of them may win reelection.
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Strong Candidate
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« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2019, 04:44:24 pm »

Good to see the board actually making some reasonable and well-founded analysis here.
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