Michigan : Trump loses by wide margins (user search)
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  Michigan : Trump loses by wide margins (search mode)
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Author Topic: Michigan : Trump loses by wide margins  (Read 4321 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

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« on: June 05, 2019, 01:30:50 PM »

So including Amash as a GE option cuts Biden's lead all the way down from a 12 point lead to a 6 point lead?  His support comes largely from people who would otherwise vote Biden?  That's in stark contrast to the media's CW.


I think with Amash in the news right now, vaguely anti-Trump people (especially in his home state) might be more inclined to say they’ll vote for him than when he’s actually running on the Libertarian ticket. I don’t think it says all that much at this point about how much support he might ultimately take from either candidate nationwide.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2019, 02:09:26 PM »

Our reliance on the polls last time proved to be a massive disappointment and presented inaccuracies. Michigan definitely won't be voting for another TPP globalist.

Polls were fairly accurate last time given the margin of error. Combine that with the fact that they have improved since then (evidenced by their much greater success in 2018, especially in the House elections/popular vote) and the fact that many of the final polls took place right as the Comey effect was being felt, and Trump’s approval rating has remained consistently dismal... There is certainly no rational reason to discount them.

Of course, I would never expect rationality from a self-proclaimed Democrat whose signature suggests he supports two non-Democratic populist candidates who couldn’t be more different ideologically and who rants about “TPP globalists” in 2019. Rationality is indeed the very last thing I would expect from such a person.
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