Michigan : Trump loses by wide margins

[Frenchrepublican]

Glengariff poll of Michigan. Trump would lose to every democratic candidate if the election was held today according this poll.

Quote : “Southeast Michigan women — we’ve seen this now for a year and a half — continue to be a mammoth problem for the Republican Party,"

Democrats vs Trump :
Sanders +12
Biden +12
Buttigieg +6
Warren +4
Harris +3

https://t.co/Et9V3yLWYf?amp=1

[Frenchrepublican]

More detail:



 

Every Democrat leads Trump in a binary choice in Michigan, but especially Biden and Sanders:



Impeachment?



Not yet.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2019/06/05/amash-presidential-bid-hurts-biden-michigan/1331256001/

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Amash is far better known in parts of Michigan, as he is from the Grand Rapids area. I see Michigan going to Biden about as it did for Obama in 2008 if one does not consider conservative or libertarian alternatives as choices in Michigan, or like it did for Reagan against Carter in 1980 with such a conservative or libertarian alternative. Obama in 2008 was much more impressive than Reagan in 1980 in Michigan.

Although matchups between Trump and Democrats other than Biden and Sanders give wider disparities than do those with lesser-known opponents, this may reflect name recognition better than anything else. Whoever wins the Democratic nomination for President will have  name recognition -- fast.

Joe Biden won’t win MI by 16. Lol
At the worst Trump loses MI by a margin similar to Romney, but you are greatly overestimating Biden

[Frenchrepublican]

Can anyone explain why Trump always underperforms his approvals in midwestern state polls? This same poll shows -8 approval (at 44%) but with -12 margins against Biden/Sanders (at 41%). Doesn't make sense. Are there really voters who approve of Trump but will vote for Democrats because they just like them better than Trump? lol

Not that this matters greatly, but it's such a consistent phenomenon that it's worth talking about.

It’s possible that undecided voters are more favourable to Trump than decided voters, I have a hard time seeing Trump winning less than 45% of the vote in MI

[Frenchrepublican]

These numbers do not mean anything this early. Macomb is trending R big time while Oakland is trending D. Most of the state is trending R besides Oakland.

Kent + Ottawa + Washtenaw + Wayne counties are all trending D and I doubt that MI will trend R in 2020

[Frenchrepublican]

So if Amash does indeed step aside, uniting the Republican vote, Trump would get 49 %, surpassing Biden's 45 %. I hope Amash knows his political career would be screwed forever if he challenges Trump and instead runs fully for re-election in his district.

People who would vote for Amash don’t like Trump, dude. I guess that in a Trump/Biden/Amash race Michigan would vote like this
Biden : 49%
Trump : 45%
Amash : 6%