NY 2022 - Zeldin/Esposito, Libertarian & WFP updates

[lfromnj]

Wow Hochul is the first governor from upstate Since Nathan Miller in 1920!

[lfromnj]

https://www.democratandchronicle.com/story/news/2022/01/03/sabrina-lamar-first-black-woman-lead-monroe-county-ny-legislature/9077091002/

[lfromnj]

Delgado doesn’t significantly change the race, but interesting to me that neither Democratic candidate will have any real NYC base. Kind of thought Hochul would go for balance.

She probably ran out of serious options that check all boxes (NYC, male, minority and not too old). Benjamin had a NYC base, which was probably the main reason he even got picked other than being AA.

She also could have gone with Andrea Stewart Cousins, though being senate leader is actually more powerful than lt. gov. Latter can be thankless job.

Meh there probably were plenty of candidates but you also need to find a non corrupt one.

[lfromnj]

It's interesting to compare Zeldin's numbers in NYC vs Romney who did extremely badly in NYC, Trump improved in both 2016 and 2020 and Zeldin did better than Trump.

Manhattan: +69D > +64D
Bronx: +83D > +55D
Brookyln: +65D > +43D
Queens: +59D > +26D

Pretty interesting that Zeldin did barely any better in Manhattan than Romney, speaks to how fast college whites in NYC are trending democratic, Zeldin could only marginally outperform Romney.

One thing that is pretty amazing is Westchester was only 5 points more R than Queens (+21 to +26) and only 4.5 points more R than Obama/Romney 2012

And Tompkins was more D lmao.  Obama+41 to Hochul +44. During the 2022 special for the Reed seat there were the infamous 0 R votes precincts in Ithaca proper. I wonder how Yonkers voted. Its fairly unusual in that its one of the few cities or towns that are the largest in a county yet more R than the county as a whole. Its fairly black and hispanic but unlike the rest of Westchester its whites are closer to Long Island.