NY 2022 - Zeldin/Esposito, Libertarian & WFP updates

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

It took me two or three days after Benjamin's resignation to find out there were any issues with him, and I live in Albany County. He is not a high-profile figure at all. The idea that he'll drag down Hochul in a general election more than six months from now in which he is definitely not going to be her running mate is absurd.

[President Johnson]

First Hochul TV ad has been aired:

https://twitter.com/KathyHochul/status/1516421400399122440

Let's go, Kathy!

[Suburbia]

Just a friendly reminder that Cuomo can still run as an Independent and could win because of name ID.

It's NY's choice, Cuomo has name ID, and he could take votes from Hochul.

Republicans aren't winning NY anytime soon and the only way they do is if Cuomo has a October surprise by a another woman...............NY Senate Republicans need to win 12-14 seats to win back control, and doing that through Long Island and Hudson Valley is not enough.....

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They poll this race too much we already knows she is going to win but 10 pts

[GregTheGreat657]

First Hochul TV ad has been aired:

https://twitter.com/KathyHochul/status/1516421400399122440
Let's go, Kathy!

List of candidate I've seen ads from before this (Source: Live in NYS)

Lee Zeldin
Harry Wilson
Tom Suozzi

Out of this list, Wilson has had, by far, the most ads, with Suozzi in second, and Zeldin in third. in his ads, Suozzi sounds like a Republican, until you get to the part where he says he's a Democrat.

[The Dowager Mod]

lol!
https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1519065854939443207

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Just a friendly reminder that Cuomo can still run as an Independent and could win because of name ID.

He could, sure, but the window of opportunity for getting a serious campaign infrastructure off the ground is rapidly closing, and just because everybody in New York knows who Cuomo is doesn't mean there are many people who are willing to vote for him again, especially if he doesn't have the magic D next to his name.

[President Johnson]

Hochul aims to change the law as she wants to throw Benjamin off the primary ballot. Talks with legislative leaders ongoing.

Gov. Kathy Hochul looks to change law and replace former Lt. Gov. Brian Benjamin as running mate

Gov. Kathy Hochul says she wants Albany to change the law so she can replace former Lt. Gov. Brian Benjamin as her running mate on the ballot for governor.

Hochul said Tuesday she has spoken with legislative leaders about the issue.

"I would like the Legislature to do that and pass legislation that corrects what is really a strange part of our law that does not allow the removal of someone who is under indictment or in other circumstances someone who has a terminal illness maybe. I mean, the law is the law until it's changed," Hochul said.

[...]

CBS News

[wbrocks67]

Hochul at +18 approval per Morning Consult

https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/28/governor-approval-ratings-2022-election/

[Duke of York]

Hochul at +18 approval per Morning Consult

https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/28/governor-approval-ratings-2022-election/

Unless something drastic happens Hochul will win another term. Incumbents very rarely lose if they have an approval rating of 50 or more.

[GregTheGreat657]

Hochul at +18 approval per Morning Consult

https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/28/governor-approval-ratings-2022-election/

Unless something drastic happens Hochul will win another term. Incumbents very rarely lose if they have an approval rating of 50 or more.

R’s won’t win NY, but they could force D’s to divert funding, hurting them elsewhere

[ProgressiveModerate]

Hochul at +18 approval per Morning Consult

https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/28/governor-approval-ratings-2022-election/

Unless something drastic happens Hochul will win another term. Incumbents very rarely lose if they have an approval rating of 50 or more.

R’s won’t win NY, but they could force D’s to divert funding, hurting them elsewhere

Considering there will likely be a handful of competitive house races in NY, prolly worth it since NY is one of those states where once you get an incumbent in they can be hard to knock off.

[President Johnson]

Hochul at +18 approval per Morning Consult

https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/28/governor-approval-ratings-2022-election/

But Tom Suozzi is running ads that New Yorkers don't want Hochul...

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/luisferre/status/1521482823521214464

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/luisferre/status/1521482823521214464

Hopefully this is a better pick and, as much as I support diversity, not just one that checks a few boxes.

Can he still get on the ballot? I thought the filing deadline has already passed?

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Seems really ill-advised to pull a Democrat out of the House right now.

[Sir Mohamed]

Seems really ill-advised to pull a Democrat out of the House right now.

Agreed. I already thought Biden pulled too many out when he became POTUS. He could have done so with >230 seats, but not at 222.

I first thought he was a state rep.

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/luisferre/status/1521482823521214464

Hopefully this is a better pick and, as much as I support diversity, not just one that checks a few boxes.

Can he still get on the ballot? I thought the filing deadline has already passed?

I believe the law was changed so he can. I doubt he would have accepted otherwise

[President Johnson]

Never heard of Delgada, honestly. I hope he's a better choice, though I'm not sure pulling somebody out of the House is the best possible option. We have to see, he may not have lasted in the House beyond November anyway.

However, I'm not sure Delgada is guaranteed to win the lt. governor primary. This could end up being a total wildcard since neither of candidates are particulary well known and there's less than two months left. Would be interesting to have an all-woman ticket. Suozzi's running mate seems not that bad and more qualified than Williams'.

[Suburbia]

Cuomo still has time to run for AG as an Independent

[GregTheGreat657]

Never heard of Delgada, honestly. I hope he's a better choice, though I'm not sure pulling somebody out of the House is the best possible option. We have to see, he may not have lasted in the House beyond November anyway.

However, I'm not sure Delgada is guaranteed to win the lt. governor primary. This could end up being a total wildcard since neither of candidates are particulary well known and there's less than two months left. Would be interesting to have an all-woman ticket. Suozzi's running mate seems not that bad and more qualified than Williams'.

Delgado is a center-left congressman who represents the Hudson Valley and Catskills

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Delgado's no lightweight. He's a popular "constituency Congressman" who represents a diverse Republican-leaning district including outer New York City suburbs, poor Rust Belt-y cities along the Hudson, and lots and lots of Upstate rurals. I don't approve of pulling him out of the House, numbers there being what they are, but he's not the nobody that several people in this thread seem to be assuming he is.

[NewYorkExpress]

Given Delgado was probably going to lose reelection anyways, this isn't really a bad move by Hochul.

It only stings if Delgado can't get on the ballot or can't win as a write-in.

[Duke of York]

Given Delgado was probably going to lose reelection anyways, this isn't really a bad move by Hochul.

It only stings if Delgado can't get on the ballot or can't win as a write-in.

I’m sure he will be on the ballot. I doubt he would have accepted otherwise.

[Senator Incitatus]

Delgado doesn’t significantly change the race, but interesting to me that neither Democratic candidate will have any real NYC base. Kind of thought Hochul would go for balance.