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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  Rate Kentucky (2019) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Rate the gubernatorial race in Kentucky
#1
Safe Bevin
 
#2
Likely Bevin
 
#3
Lean Bevin
 
#4
Toss-Up/Tilt Bevin
 
#5
Toss-Up/Tilt Beshear
 
#6
Lean Beshear
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 102

Author Topic: Rate Kentucky (2019)  (Read 1473 times)
Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
Enlightened_Centrist 420
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Posts: 3,717


« on: May 23, 2019, 02:48:51 pm »

Tossup, although Tilt R if forced to choose. You could definitely make a case for Lean R, but I really donít buy the Safe R KY meme.

KY-SEN 2020 is Safe R, but this race isnít.

How would such a map look? Itís not hard for me to envision Beshear getting to around 45#ē% (just a bit better than Jim Grayís performance), but after that Iím stumped. He needs either red suburbs to go his way or a resurrection of coal mining Dems

He does most likely need to win over a large number of ancestral Democrats in Coal Country, which is why I believe Rocky Adkins would have been a better candidate than Beshear, but oh well. I suppose it's possible Beshear could still win by swinging the suburbs way to the left and winning back a couple rural counties, but I wouldn't count on it.
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