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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  Rate Kentucky (2019) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Rate the gubernatorial race in Kentucky
#1
Safe Bevin
 
#2
Likely Bevin
 
#3
Lean Bevin
 
#4
Toss-Up/Tilt Bevin
 
#5
Toss-Up/Tilt Beshear
 
#6
Lean Beshear
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 102

Author Topic: Rate Kentucky (2019)  (Read 1527 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,958
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
« on: May 22, 2019, 01:16:50 pm »

I'm changing my characterization of this race from Likely R --> Lean R. No, not because 60% of votes cast in the primary were Democratic, more so because Bevin got a pathetic margin of victory out of his primary. There's a very real risk of Republicans staying home, Bevin is going to practically beg Trump to come into Kentucky to save his ass. I realize we're a half year out, but all the signs so far confirm Bevin is, in fact, the least popular governor in the country and he performed like it yesterday. Bevin still has a (pathetically) weak advantage going into the general election.

I know there are a few posters sticking to their guns calling it Safe R, but I think you're gonna have egg on your face if this thing ends up close.
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