Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://news.yahoo.com/republican-group-launches-stop-stacey-191102867.html

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He is favored and GA is a runoff system anyways, users need to realize that and Warnock isn't safe either in a runoff

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why do so many people think Kemp is doomed? This is strange take.

Georgia just barely went for Biden and Kemp is an incumbent. I would say he is favored for now.

Kemp is getting blasted from the left and the right, so he seems pretty vulnerable, plus Georgia has been known to not care that much about midterms.

Leans R, but the Senate rand is gonna be competetive

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news if true

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Kemp wins regardless, that's why Abrams haven't jumped in yet, GA reelected it's Govs, Deal and Perdue and Kemp will too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R, D's best state is AZ, likely lose KS too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Brian Kemp is safe, but WARNOCK may win due to split voting. Deal, Perdue won Reelection as R Govs, the voter suppression bill ensured Kemp Reelection

Split voting OH, Ryan Dewine, FL Rubio and CRIST, KS Moran and Kelly, NH Hassan and Ayotte or Sununu, it's a midterm, split voting is common, not so much in Prez Election

Bullock could have had a better chance in a midterm, split vote and don't forget NC split between Copper and Tillis

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA is a weird state I do expect Kemp to win and WARNOCK to win, it's a Runoff and I expect Ryan to win and DeWine to win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What is the magic number for GA Dems to win the Legislature? Because if Gov. Stacey Abrams exists in 2023, how will she get her agenda done with a hostile Republican Legislature? It will be just like Tony Evers or Gretchen Whitmer in the Midwest

91 and it’s not going to happen. At the very least Abrams knows the major players as Former Minority Leader.

Then what does Gov. Abrams get passed? A HOPE scholarship extension? A 5-year tax cut?

Beshear passed more funding for Education, she will pass that with a GOP Legislature, that's about as much as she can do and open more state jobs and Medicaid expansion

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am getting impatient with Stacy Abrams, when is she getting nna to announce

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA is a tossup state due to Runoffs, but it's less R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Starting to think this Trump guy isn't so bad after all. Trump/Abrams '24!

Trump is being investigated in an insurrectionist, DeSantis is likely to be Prez anyways and he would likely have his immunity revoked for Russia and Ukraine by FBI if he becomes Prez a judge said a Prez can be indicted, you can't be serious😀😀😀😀

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wonder how the election would go in Trumpy areas if Kemp is the GOP nominee.

Those voters will turn out in droves for Herschel Walker so it will be interesting to see if they vote Kemp, or leave that part of the ballot blank.

D's won 80 M votes in 2020 compared to 74 M Biden has declined among younger voters, they will comeback just like in the Cali recall, Newsom was underperforming with younger voters as well, Hershel Walker is down by six pts

Rally Around the Flag

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In the Environment we're in now it's an R wave but 300 days til Nov, Sinema and Manchin needs to stop playing games on VR and Filibuster

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am waiting for a Traggy poll, all the polls had Warnock and Ossoff winning by 6 by promising Stimulus checks and Traggy has it 51/49 they both UNDERPERFORMED polls abd won by 85/50K votes

The Gov race Cook has Lean R anyways abd Senate race is definitely going to a Runoff

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Is it possible for Abrams to get 50% outright and avoid a run-off? Or are there some green or minor dem candidates who render such a scenario near Impossible?

If turnout is insanely high for dems (Abrams effect) and embarrassingly low for republicans (assuming Kemp is the nominee) then it's certainly possible.

It's not Lean D wait til we see a poll, all the polls had Ossoff and Warnock in Jan winning by six pts and Traggy had it 51/46 it's Bradley effect in these polls

Just like it was on VA

The only decent poll we had was Cali when Newsom and Biden were at 57% in September now they are low in Approvals

They won't give us a Governor poll for Nov 22/ there's no more stimulus his Approvals are way down again NEWSOM

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's Lean R both of them until we see a Traggy poll Biden Approvals are 46/58 let's remember Warnock and Ossoff only won by 85K votes not but six pts like all the polls said except Traggy

Traggy had it 51/49 and all the other polls had them landslide, and WARNOCK ran on 2K checks there aren't anymore UNI checks

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pretty funny that Kemp won in 2018 by (probably) stealing the election and now is going to lose in 2022 for being too soft on stealing elections

You know there hasn't been 1 poll with Abrams in it, don't underestimate the Rs in this race Biden and Warnock win it by 50 K votes against whom Kelly Loeffler lame

This race will take shape in Oct 22 the Rs have the edge now without VR AZ, GA are our weakest seats because of the 278 not 304 blue wall with PA, WI, MI and VA

Biden is at 46/52 Approvals and he won 304 50/45

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He lost the race he was supposed to win GA SEN 2020

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Election Guy thinks the RS have this Election sewh up, if DS don't win in 22 the RS are gonna have a field day in 24

Having said that we can endorse candidates if they lose, a blue wave is much more likely than a red wave, it's a Neutral not red Environment and Biden won't be  stuck in the mid 40s come Nov 22

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Election Guy thinks it's an R wave don't mind him because what of D's win, the GOP party has lost the PVI at the Prez level and won it only once since 1988, the D's won 80M votes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tossup until the end.

There is always Split voting

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Abrams is gonna win the RUNOFF

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

For the last time GA and LA are Runoffs Kemp, Walker and Pp ercue are polling below 50 we are gonna win those states in Round 2 not Round 1 and it's not an R midterm until the votes are casted not based on Biden Approvals state by state polls D's are hitting 50 and Biden suppose to be at 39 no

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol it's a Runoff race if Rs don't get 50 percent it's a runoff along with LA it's not Safe R since both La and GA have a Runoff rule and Sabato still has it Tossup

Trump never wears a mask I'm public the hypocrisy of Rs and he brags about it and he didn't wear one at RNC Convention


You need to watch Politics Nation in MSNBC and Sharpton says Warnock and Abrams and Beasley have a chance and NC is our second pickup after PA not WI Sen

It's funny to me how D users have GA and LA as safe R and there are Runoffs