Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[President Johnson]

Do we know how many people have requested ballots for January 5?

ETA:
https://twitter.com/samstein/status/1326973582161948673?s=20

Wholeheartedly endorsed.

[President Johnson]

Credit where credit is due. It's unfortunate people like Duncan are driven out, even though hardly a surprise.

[President Johnson]

Wait, David "the king of the suburbs" Perdue is considered a potential candidate? Lmao.

[President Johnson]

I'd say two pro-Trump primary challengers would actually be a gift for Perdue, but as there's a runoff system... Perdue may be more dangerous to Kemp's ambitions.

[President Johnson]

Endorsed.

Pure tossup -> Pure tossup

[President Johnson]

Perdue's in: https://www.ajc.com/politics/politics-blog/breaking-david-perdue-plans-to-run-for-governor-in-2022/WRIWO2GV3ZG5ZCC6VO7B2XCI4M/

This should be a fun primary to watch.

He may actually be favored, especially in a runoff.

Two challengers could actually save Kemp due to split opposition, but since Georgia has a runoff system, he's almost certainly screwed simply for simply doing a formality such as certifying an election. The Republican Party is a joke.

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/nytnickc/status/1467917704338288647?s=21

No complete and total endorsement? Sad!

[President Johnson]

Perdue is unhinged

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1467871303311015944

The Republican Party is going to destroy our democracy for the sole reason of pleasing Donald Trump. I hate it here.

It's not just to please the God Emperor, they're also doing it for themselves because they think their agenda is too unpopular on most issues.

[President Johnson]

Trump endorsing early means its effect is going to be somewhat "baked in" for a May primary.  I.e., don't expect a late surge toward Perdue (like Kemp had in 2018), it's going to be a slog to the finish.

The cleavage here is going to be the state/county GOP organization (Kemp) vs Trump surrogates and aligned national media (Perdue.)  I'll rate the primary as toss-up/Tilt Kemp to start. 

What do you think Trump is going to do if Kemp indeed wins the nomination? Just sit it out, endorse him reluctantly or will he at least somehow call upon his supporters to vote for Abrams? Latter would be extremely hilarious and instantly move it to Lean Democratic.

I still believe Kemp will go down and the general election is at least Tilt Republican.

[President Johnson]

Jones OUT of Governor’s race, will instead run for Congress:

https://twitter.com/repvernonjones/status/1490769361203871748?s=21

No doubt Trump twisted his arm on this.

Yeah, though I'm surprised Trump even backs proven loser David Perdue. I mean, he already lost a statewide race and I thought Trump doesn't like losers.

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/fineout/status/1512451233365340161?cxt=HHwWgsC9jcWYp_0pAAAA

IMO Georgia is lean R because DeSantis's megacoattails from his 30 point win will spillover into Georgia.

If you can't handle it, just resign, Ron.

[President Johnson]

I never thought I’d say this but….

I can’t wait to cast my vote for Brian Kemp and Brad Raffensperger in the Republican primary.

Duncan should’ve run for re-election, he might have won.

It's absolutely insane how the Republican Party always manages to deteriorate even further. We're approaching a point in which the Tea Party guys from 2010 are the sane people in room now. What's in a few years? MTG a moderate Republican then? It would be funny, if it wasn't so sad.

[President Johnson]

Are there any reliable projections for the Secretary of State primary? I haven't seen any recent polls. If Kemp is poised to win big, does Raffensberger survive as well?

[President Johnson]

Are there any reliable projections for the Secretary of State primary? I haven't seen any recent polls. If Kemp is poised to win big, does Raffensberger survive as well?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Georgia_Secretary_of_State_election#Graphical_summary

Looks like the polling is very tight

Probably goes to a runoff then. I hope Raffensberger hangs on. He just did his job in 2020. It's an embarrassment the guy's life is in danger because of it.

[President Johnson]

I wonder whether Geoff Duncan regrets not running for reelection? Given that even Raffensberger pulled it out and avoided a runoff, the guy could easily have won as well?

[President Johnson]

Abrams raised $9.8M from May 1-June 30, compared to Kemp's $3.8m.

https://www.ajc.com/politics/politics-blog/abrams-builds-huge-financial-edge-over-kemp-in-2022/AOJSW2OBBRAJHMQCVFQ2YDWV4A/

Good, but that's unlikely to change Kemp's favorite role in this race. Remains Lean Republican.