Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Хahar 🤔]

Question:

Could Kemp having an embarrassing foil in the form of Perdue in this primary be helping him among centrist GE voters?

He looks sane compared to frothing Perdue

I don't expect it to matter. November is a long way away and there's plenty of time for the candidates to define each other; I don't expect this to stick in voters' memories. The last two election cycles in Georgia have effectively been Generic D and Generic R, and I don't expect that to change this time.

[Buzz]

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1518530254570106880?s=21

[GeorgiaModerate]

From the debate writeup in the AJC political blog:

Veteran GOP strategist Brian Robinson likened the matchup to an episode of the Jerry Springer show.

“I’ve never seen such raw hatred in a debate on the state level,” he said. “It’s at the same level as those paternity test shows where the mom throws a chair at a man who swears he can’t be the father.”

https://www.ajc.com/politics/politics-blog/the-jolt-takeaways-from-the-brawl-between-brian-kemp-and-david-perdue/Z736ECQ4I5GTLKIYWMRGC5AUA4/

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This is just so embarrassing for Perdue. Imagine debasing yourself like this.

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1507356422987829254

What a sad and pathetic little man.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Perdue surely conceded the race Perdue and Loeffler lost because McConnell blocked 1400 checks and Biden passed it anyways, if Rs kept the Senate we would of only had 600

[lfromnj]

The sad part about Perdue is he could actually attack Kemp for letting AVR get through which probably did cost him the election but he can't even do that.

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1518370089476710401

Let's see it this way: The dude has nothing to lose, and once you were in public office, it's hard to let it go and find new purpose in life. Perdue is a sellout who only sees a way back to power by kissing the orange buffoon's - you-know-what.

[Inmate Trump]

I never thought I’d say this but….

I can’t wait to cast my vote for Brian Kemp and Brad Raffensperger in the Republican primary.

Duncan should’ve run for re-election, he might have won.

[GALeftist]

I might vote for Perdue in the primary now tbh lol he seems weaker

[Podgy the Bear]

I never thought I’d say this but….

I can’t wait to cast my vote for Brian Kemp and Brad Raffensperger in the Republican primary.

I can stomach another four years of Kemp--absolutely cannot do so with Perdue.

[President Johnson]

I never thought I’d say this but….

I can’t wait to cast my vote for Brian Kemp and Brad Raffensperger in the Republican primary.

Duncan should’ve run for re-election, he might have won.

It's absolutely insane how the Republican Party always manages to deteriorate even further. We're approaching a point in which the Tea Party guys from 2010 are the sane people in room now. What's in a few years? MTG a moderate Republican then? It would be funny, if it wasn't so sad.

[Adam Griffin]

I was consistently on the "Perdue will do better than Kemp in the GE" train until recently - and I still think I was right (had Perdue stuck to his typical campaign style).

But yeah, whatever the hell this is that he's embraced over the past few months makes him weaker by far. It's pretty sad and demented.

[THG]

Brian Kemp will easily avoid a runoff with how Perdue is running his campaign. Not only that, but the margin may shock some people by it not being especially close. Plus, he’s also a better GE candidate than Perdue.

I also think that Raffensperger loses, however (and understandably so). Hice seems far more competent than Perdue, and Raffensperger leaking the Trump call was the final straw that caused us to lose the Senate. There is far more deserved bad blood with Raffensperger and GA Republicans than there is with Brian Kemp and the grassroots wing of the GA GOP.

[DrScholl]

Perdue sounds crazy, but he knows what he is doing spreading the election lies. That will assure that Trump supporters show up to vote and I don't think he can be completely counted out at this point. There could be an electorate where establishment types for Kemp don't bother to show up because they feel they don't need to while the Trump types turn out in numbers.

[ElectionsGuy]

Pretty weird how the guy talking about putting illegal immigrants into his pickup truck is now the guy Democrats are less afraid of than insider-trader and typical Republican (before this) Perdue.

I'm aware Kemp is performative and more politically savvy than he appears. Still, just never would've guessed this more than a year ago.

[Buzz]

https://twitter.com/wsbtv/status/1518903993069617155?s=21

[SnowLabrador]

Although Kemp's not much different than Perdue, it will still be satisfying to see Perdue's political career end with him humiliating himself like this.

[wbrocks67]

Did we ever get any fundraising reports for Q1? I Feel like we've hear nothing from the Abrams side or the Kemps side? (or even Perdue?)

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult has Kemp +9 approval

https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/28/governor-approval-ratings-2022-election/

[Skill and Chance]

Running people who just lost in the previous cycle is dumb, let alone against a popular incumbent in a primary. 

[wbrocks67]

Running people who just lost in the previous cycle is dumb, let alone against a popular incumbent in a primary. 

I wouldn't quite call Kemp "popular". That Morning Consult poll is the first one to show him in positive territory at all, isn't it?

[Unelectable Bystander]

Running people who just lost in the previous cycle is dumb, let alone against a popular incumbent in a primary. 

I wouldn't quite call Kemp "popular". That Morning Consult poll is the first one to show him in positive territory at all, isn't it?

He’s leading by 5-7 in every poll but he’s unpopular?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Kemp is quite popular among most Georgia Republicans; the MAGA wing is the exception, but they're a minority.  And most Democrats and Independents at least respect him for not bowing to Trump in 2020.  IMO a key question is whether he'll pick up more D/I votes in the general election than he loses by MAGA voters sitting out or voting against him out of spite. 

Overall, I'd rate the primary as Likely Kemp, and the general as Lean R with Kemp, Tossup with Perdue.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Did we ever get any fundraising reports for Q1? I Feel like we've hear nothing from the Abrams side or the Kemps side? (or even Perdue?)

Partial report here: https://www.ajc.com/politics/politics-blog/kemp-raises-27m-in-less-than-a-month-for-reelection-bid/5P72D7PVP5HZZISVRYSRM36LDI/  Don't be misled by the URL; that's $2.7 million, not 27 million.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Money isn't going to be a problem when it comes to the governor's race, infact I'd argue each additional dollar begins to contribute less and less to the actual campaign's success. This is 100% going to be a race of turnout, and while money def helps, it's going to come down to more local efforts and general messaging.

Ig another thing Abrams could sorta run on if you're really concerned about losing moderate Rs is subtley pointing out the fact no matter what Rs p much will control the state leg anyways.