Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Real Texan Politics]

Vernon Jones hinting at a gubernatorial run.
https://twitter.com/repvernonjones/status/1380890993373876228?s=21

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news if true

[S019]

Vernon Jones is a clown and he'd go nowhere in a Georgia GOP primary for obvious reasons (hint: it starts with an r, and ends in -ace), especially since North Georgia white people, who are a significant chunk of said primary electorate, are extremely racist.

[Real Texan Politics]

Vernon Jones is a clown and he'd go nowhere in a Georgia GOP primary for obvious reasons (hint: it starts with an r, and ends in -ace), especially since North Georgia white people, who are a significant chunk of said primary electorate, are extremely racist.

If it ends up being Kemp vs Jones then it's pretty obvious who's gonna get Trump's endorsement, and it most certainly won't be Kemp so that kinda narrows it down. Whether Trump's endorsement of Jones helps him or not, I don't know, and especially if Doug Collins also runs and splits the Trumpist votes making Kemp the nominee (and getting his butt kicked and bruised by Stacey Abrams in the end).

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

We completed our first poll of Georgia since right before the runoffs today. Caveat that the poll is of registered voters, not a likely voter model. Broad generalities, as always:

-Abrams is more popular today than she has ever been in any of our polling, though not by a huge amount (opinion of her has been baked in for a while).

-Kemp has made up a good chunk of lost ground among Republicans, but still faces a tough road. We actually found that his spat with Trump improved his numbers with independents and softer Democrats...the voting/elections bill saga completely reversed that.

-For the first time ever in our Georgia polling, a plurality of respondents favor increased gun control.

-By a wide margin, a plurality say that "the recent increased competitiveness of Georgia's statewide elections" is a good thing for the state, but only a plurality. Most Republicans/right-leaning independents say it is neither a good nor bad thing for the state.

-Georgians are divided three ways on whether or not the new law "mostly has to do with voting rights" or "mostly has to do with election administration" or "has to do with both voting rights and election administration." Majorities say the new law will make it harder to vote, but also say it will make it easier to conduct elections. Potentially a tricky spot for Dems.

-Young Republicans (under age 40, but more specifically under age 30) continue to be a major issue for the Georgia GOP. They show very little excitement about their elected officials at every level, and are starting to split with them on culture war issues. Important to remember that many of them grew up in rapidly diversifying suburban areas and are moving leftward on issues like gay rights, racial justice (particularly in the criminal justice reform/felons' voting rights vein), weed, and now even guns as well. Most of them remain cool towards Dem leaders as well, but decreased excitement and enthusiasm among this group will always hurt Republicans first.

Happy to have played a part in #6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Kemp wins regardless, that's why Abrams haven't jumped in yet, GA reelected it's Govs, Deal and Perdue and Kemp will too

[Хahar 🤔]

Vernon Jones is a clown and he'd go nowhere in a Georgia GOP primary for obvious reasons (hint: it starts with an r, and ends in -ace), especially since North Georgia white people, who are a significant chunk of said primary electorate, are extremely racist.

It's true that Vernon Jones is a clown and that he has no chance in a Republican primary, but it's not because he's black. If Herschel Walker decides to run for US Senate this year he'll win the Republican nomination easily.

[Adam Griffin]

https://twitter.com/mcjacco/status/1381226293270700033

[Real Texan Politics]

Vernon Jones is in....sorta. The official announcement is pending, so take this as his unofficial announcement.
https://twitter.com/repvernonjones/status/1381371091680178179?s=21

[Pink Panther]

Vernon Jones is in....sorta. The official announcement is pending, so take this as his unofficial announcement.
https://twitter.com/repvernonjones/status/1381371091680178179?s=21

I thought he would be going for Senate. I guess he's afraid Walker in the primary. Though I wonder what happens to Collins and what he'll do.

[Real Texan Politics]

Vernon Jones is in....sorta. The official announcement is pending, so take this as his unofficial announcement.
https://twitter.com/repvernonjones/status/1381371091680178179?s=21

I thought he would be going for Senate. I guess he's afraid Walker in the primary. Though I wonder what happens to Collins and what he'll do.

Collins may end up going for senate as well.

[Not Me, Us]

Vernon Jones is in....sorta. The official announcement is pending, so take this as his unofficial announcement.
https://twitter.com/repvernonjones/status/1381371091680178179?s=21

Interesting. He'll probably get Trump's endorsement, and at that point, he's the frontrunner for the GOP nomination. Congratulations Governor Abrams!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R, D's best state is AZ, likely lose KS too

[Adam Griffin]

I'm posting a blurb just so I'm obligated to come back later and justify when I have more time, but I'll say this: don't count this wacky guy out just yet (primary or general).

[NYDem]

If Vernon Jones gets Trump's endorsement he's winning the primary. No supposed racism is going to keep a Trump-endorsed candidate from defeating someone who "let the Democrats steal the election".

[Adam Griffin]

When a third of your state's vote shifts by 22 points to the Democrats over a decade (the rest of the state saw a 5-point R shift):

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1382282869830205443?s=21

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Vernon Jones would win Atlanta by the same margin that John James won Detroit.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1382282869830205443?s=21

Oh hell yeah!
This is gonna be great.

GA Dems really are throwing all the A-listers at the row offices--Nguyen, Jordan, etc.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Brian Kemp is safe, but WARNOCK may win due to split voting. Deal, Perdue won Reelection as R Govs, the voter suppression bill ensured Kemp Reelection

Split voting OH, Ryan Dewine, FL Rubio and CRIST, KS Moran and Kelly, NH Hassan and Ayotte or Sununu, it's a midterm, split voting is common, not so much in Prez Election

Bullock could have had a better chance in a midterm, split vote and don't forget NC split between Copper and Tillis

[Not Me, Us]

https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1382282869830205443?s=21

Oh hell yeah!
This is gonna be great.

GA Dems really are throwing all the A-listers at the row offices--Nguyen, Jordan, etc.

What's Nguyen running for?

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1382282869830205443?s=21

Oh hell yeah!
This is gonna be great.

GA Dems really are throwing all the A-listers at the row offices--Nguyen, Jordan, etc.

What's Nguyen running for?

Nothing official yet, but probably SOS.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/nytpolitics/status/1382865101078728716

[Bootes Void]

Didn't Brian Kemp attend the WH Christmas party last December? I'm not so sure Trump endorses Jones

[Real Texan Politics]

Vernon Jones to (presumptively as of now) announce his gubernatorial campaign tomorrow morning at 10am EST at the Georgia State Capitol in Atlanta.
https://twitter.com/RepVernonJones/status/1382773451547684864?s=20