Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Adam Griffin]

30,989 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) yesterday.

As of yesterday (3/3), 90,639 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

55831   61.60% Democratic
33436    36.89% Republican
836        0.92% Non-Partisan
536        0.59% Unknown

66.8% of ballots cast or requested yesterday were Democratic; 32.6% were Republican.

[libertpaulian]

30,989 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) yesterday.

As of yesterday (3/3), 90,639 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

55831   61.60% Democratic
33436    36.89% Republican
836        0.92% Non-Partisan
536        0.59% Unknown

66.8% of ballots cast or requested yesterday were Democratic; 32.6% were Republican.

Is that good early vote turnout?

[Adam Griffin]

Updates for the past 2 days, separated since I didn't post yesterday:
19,584 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/4.

As of 3/4, 110,223 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

68902   62.51% Democratic
39828    36.13% Republican
914        0.83% Non-Partisan
579        0.53% Unknown

66.7% of ballots cast or requested on 3/4 were Democratic; 32.6% were Republican.
15,998 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/5.

As of 3/5, 126,221 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

79684   63.13% Democratic
44927    35.59% Republican
991        0.79% Non-Partisan
619        0.49% Unknown

67.4% of ballots cast or requested on 3/5 were Democratic; 31.9% were Republican.

[Adam Griffin]

Is that good early vote turnout?

Democratic primary turnout is already 50% of what it was throughout the entire early voting period 4 years ago (160,832); GOP turnout is around 17% (267,413). We still have 12 days of in-person early voting to go.

Hard to say for sure; not a lot of comparison points. It's a one-sided affair this time, there is definitely increased turnout nationally relative to 4 years ago that sort of minimizes anything specifically GA-related affecting it and the last time Democrats were the only party with a competitive primary was in 2004 (before early voting was really even a thing in GA). There's also the fact that early voting just tends to become more popular with each passing cycle.

It's good, but not necessarily indicative of anything, I guess. For Democrats specifically and as I said on the previous page, Democrats want to be in the 67-70% range among the final primary electorate for it to not be a bad sign (or a good sign, perhaps) for November. Democrats are basically hitting that figure each day now that in-person voting has begun. Anything lower and it's basically a sign that the Republican base is fired up more so than the Democratic base.

[Adam Griffin]

24,237 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/6.

As of 3/6, 150,458 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

96213   63.95% Democratic
52533    34.91% Republican
1076        0.72% Non-Partisan
636        0.42% Unknown

68.2% of ballots cast or requested on 3/6 were Democratic; 31.4% were Republican.

[Adam Griffin]

31,332 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) between 3/7 & 3/9.

As of 3/9, 181,790 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

119487   65.73% Democratic
60423      33.24% Republican
1208        0.66% Non-Partisan
672          0.37% Unknown

74.3% of ballots cast or requested between 3/7 & 3/9 were Democratic; 25.2% were Republican.

[Bidenworth2020]

31,332 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) between 3/7 & 3/9.

As of 3/9, 181,790 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

119487   65.73% Democratic
60423      33.24% Republican
1208        0.66% Non-Partisan
672          0.37% Unknown

74.3% of ballots cast or requested between 3/7 & 3/9 were Democratic; 25.2% were Republican.

That's probably more comfortable territory for democrats.

[Adam Griffin]

I'll probably make another one of these once early voting ends (or maybe once all voters have voted; it's a good hour of work per iteration), but here's a map showing which party has produced more votes in the primary thus far.

Lots of interesting (if not entirely relevant) trends to note. Gotta love that Democratic geographic contiguity from SW GA to ATL to the coast; almost resembles an old Dixiecrat map (sans the suburban clusters).


2016 General Vs 2020 Presidential Primary (EV; as of 3/9)
    

Observations to follow later tonight.

[Adam Griffin]

24,576 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/10.

As of 3/10, 206,366 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

137038   66.41% Democratic
67278      32.60% Republican
1302        0.63% Non-Partisan
748          0.36% Unknown

71.4% of ballots cast or requested on 3/10 were Democratic; 27.9% were Republican.

[Adam Griffin]

25,299 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/11.

As of 3/11, 231,665 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

155076   66.94% Democratic
74440      32.13% Republican
1379        0.60% Non-Partisan
770          0.33% Unknown

71.3% of ballots cast or requested on 3/11 were Democratic; 28.3% were Republican.

[Adam Griffin]

As of March 1, Georgia voter registration is at a new high. Of the estimated 7,493,000 adult citizens in the state*, 6,920,873 are now registered (92.4%).

This number will likely exceed 95% by the November general election.

*Extrapolated based on my own estimates, using the 2018 CVAP figure of 7,303,056 as a baseline

[Adam Griffin]

22,390 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/12.

As of 3/12, 254,055 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

171226   67.40% Democratic
80471      31.67% Republican
1436        0.57% Non-Partisan
922          0.36% Unknown

72.1% of ballots cast or requested on 3/12 were Democratic; 26.9% were Republican.

[Pollster]

Kemp attempting to cancel State Supreme Court election

[Adam Griffin]

25,363 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/13.

As of 3/13, 279,418 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

190446   68.16% Democratic
86504      30.96% Republican
1516        0.54% Non-Partisan
952          0.34% Unknown

75.8% of ballots cast or requested on 3/13 were Democratic; 23.8% were Republican.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Son and I just early voted in Forsyth County.  We were outnumbered 10-2 by poll workers (two other voters came in while we were there).  We were the 48th and 49th voters there today.  Context: this is a new early voting location and it's raining out.

I like the new machines with the printed ballot and scanner.  Very easy to use.

And yes, we did wash our hands before and after.

[Rookie Yinzer]

I like the new machines with the printed ballot and scanner.  Very easy to use.

Agree. Voted here in Newton County today. In and out.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Presidential primary postponed to May.

[Bidenworth2020]

Presidential primary postponed to May.

Do all votes already cast still count? And will they count them early?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Presidential primary postponed to May.

Do all votes already cast still count? And will they count them early?

"All votes already cast will be counted in May."

https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/georgia-delay-presidential-primary-due-coronavirus-pandemic/0vJZpHlHdPQdPEda6GtvCP/

[Adam Griffin]

25,046 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/14.

As of 3/14, 304,464 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

210876   69.26% Democratic
91042      29.90% Republican
1598        0.53% Non-Partisan
948          0.31% Unknown

81.6% of ballots cast or requested on 3/14 were Democratic; 18.1% were Republican.

[GeorgiaModerate]

25,046 ballots were cast (in-person) or requested (by mail) on 3/14.

As of 3/14, 304,464 ballots have been cast or requested for the March 24th presidential primary. Partisan breakdown of ballot requests is:

210876   69.26% Democratic
91042      29.90% Republican
1598        0.53% Non-Partisan
948          0.31% Unknown

81.6% of ballots cast or requested on 3/14 were Democratic; 18.1% were Republican.

Is the data for each county available?

[Adam Griffin]

Is the data for each county available?

Yes: https://elections.sos.ga.gov/Elections/voterabsenteefile.do

You'll need the county list PDF at the bottom of the page to determine which spreadsheet in the zip file corresponds with each county, but each day's update includes the statewide file and individual files for each county.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Georgia is considering sending absentee ballots to all older voters for the May primary:

Jordan Fuchs, deputy secretary of state, said Sunday that – logistically and financially – the state could not afford to shift to a system in which all balloting is conducted by mail, as some have called for. But it could afford to mail ballot applications to those over 65 or even 60 – whichever is recommended by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the state Department of Public Health.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/the-jolt-keep-them-out-long-lines-may-primary-ballots-may-mailed-older-voters/6ge4dTrJ33XkkkZyflmqVO/

[QAnonKelly]

Georgia is considering sending absentee ballots to all older voters for the May primary:

Jordan Fuchs, deputy secretary of state, said Sunday that – logistically and financially – the state could not afford to shift to a system in which all balloting is conducted by mail, as some have called for. But it could afford to mail ballot applications to those over 65 or even 60 – whichever is recommended by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the state Department of Public Health.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/the-jolt-keep-them-out-long-lines-may-primary-ballots-may-mailed-older-voters/6ge4dTrJ33XkkkZyflmqVO/

Let me guess what kind of older voters aren't going to get said ballots.

[Babeuf]

Georgia is considering sending absentee ballots to all older voters for the May primary:

Jordan Fuchs, deputy secretary of state, said Sunday that – logistically and financially – the state could not afford to shift to a system in which all balloting is conducted by mail, as some have called for. But it could afford to mail ballot applications to those over 65 or even 60 – whichever is recommended by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the state Department of Public Health.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/the-jolt-keep-them-out-long-lines-may-primary-ballots-may-mailed-older-voters/6ge4dTrJ33XkkkZyflmqVO/

No reason not to send to all voters. Young voters should be avoiding large gatherings like polling places as well.