Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Buzz]

I’m voting for the following in the big races

Kemp
Black
Miller
Raffensperger

[Horus]

I’m voting for the following in the big races

Kemp
Black
Miller
Raffensperger

Other than Kemp they will all lose.

Just voted. Not much on the ballot for Dems, went with the incumbent in my state house and voted for Warnock. Most races were unopposed.

[Buzz]

I’m voting for the following in the big races

Kemp
Black
Miller
Raffensperger

Other than Kemp they will all lose.

Just voted. Not much on the ballot for Dems, went with the incumbent in my state house and voted for Warnock. Most races were unopposed.

I know that.  There’s no way in hell I’m voting for Herschel though and the other two I’m just going for the non Trump pick.

[ElectionsGuy]

Early vote thus far is breaking 57/43 R. In NC, early vote broke 50/50 before becoming 55/45 R after election day was counted. It's probable R's may break 60% in GA, with the key differences here being the open primary, and that there's much more contention on the Republican side.

[Nutmeg]

Early vote thus far is breaking 57/43 R. In NC, early vote broke 50/50 before becoming 55/45 R after election day was counted. It's probable R's may break 60% in GA, with the key differences here being the open primary, and that there's much more contention on the Republican side.

Most people I know in Georgia (my home state) are pulling Republican ballots to vote for Kemp and Raffensperger, and against Walker, even if they plan to vote straight-ticket Dem in November.

[Podgy the Bear]

I'm surprised that primary vote is 43% D.  Other than CD-7 voters, there's very little incentive to vote in the Democratic primary.

I crossed over to vote in the Republican primary, and there are lots of Democrats and independents who did the same to stick it to Trump and his minions.  That will magnify the Kemp totals and will make the Raffensperger-Hice race closer than expected (even though Hice remains likely to win).

[Adam Griffin]

As of Tuesday: 57.6% GOP, 42.4% DEM

In case anybody's curious (the 2018 figures in the quote is for the comparable day of early voting):

2020 Primary Composition: 54.5% DEM, 45.5% GOP
2018 Primary Composition: 52.3% GOP, 47.7% DEM
2018, Early Vote Primary Composition (as of 5/16/18): 53.4% GOP, 46.6% DEM
2016, Primary Composition: 65.1% GOP, 34.9% DEM
2016, Pres Primary Composition: 63% GOP, 37% DEM
2014, Primary Composition: 63.6% GOP, 36.4% DEM
2012, Primary Composition: 67.5% GOP, 32.5% DEM
2010, Primary Composition: 63.3% GOP, 36.7% DEM

One thing I've noticed is that while the primary electorate became more GOP as early voting progressed in 2018 (and then more DEM on Election Day), it's been more or less holding steady this year (if not slightly creeping more DEM during EV).

[GeorgiaModerate]

Just voted at the early voting site at Midway Park in western Forsyth County.  There was a moderate line outside the building (on a hot, sunny day) but once inside it moved fast.  Took me about 25 minutes from arrival to departure.  I did cross over and vote in the Republican primary, voting for the least Trumpy candidates I could find.

[GALeftist]

I actually voted in the Democratic primary because there were a number of downballot Democrats I wanted to support, plus I didn't want to fuel the inane tea leaves regarding comparative primary turnout. Thought long and hard about it though, and I almost went the other way.

[Alben Barkley]

Appears Trump has thrown Perdue under the bus:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/trump-washes-hands-perdue-georgia-campaign-limps-final-stretch-rcna29714

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/GabrielSterling/status/1527796795035770880

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/derekwillis/status/1527797890600558594

[Rookie Yinzer]

Perdue probably going to get like 20 percent of the vote. LOL.

[Adam Griffin]

As of Tuesday: 57.6% GOP, 42.4% DEM

Literally the same as of Thursday: 57.6% GOP, 42.4% DEM.

[Adam Griffin]

Downloaded the master file. These include the final day (Friday) of in-person voting, so nothing left except however many of the ~30k unreturned mail ballots (60% of which are DEM) get cast & Election Day vote.

The final day of early voting broke roughly 52-48 in favor of GOP: a good DEM day, relatively speaking.

REQUESTED
496209 GOP   56.10%
388320 DEM   43.90%

RETURNED
484366 GOP   56.65%
370623 DEM   43.35%

[Roll Roons]

Kind of funny how the tables have completely turned from a few years ago when Kemp ran as a "politically incorrect conservative" and Perdue was a suburban-friendly Chamber of Commerce type.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Kind of funny how the tables have completely turned from a few years ago when Kemp ran as a "politically incorrect conservative" and Perdue was a suburban-friendly Chamber of Commerce type.

None have very strong values imo, especially Perdue. They just do what seems politically expediant.

[Buzz]

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1528158176058695681?s=21&t=EKRZo4het5zs...

[GeorgiaModerate]

Kemp-Perdue is a foregone conclusion at this point, but for a more interesting question...

Who wins the Republican primary for Secretary of State?  Will Raffensperger survive?  I expect that a lot of crossover Democrats (I was one) voted for him.

[Roll Roons]

Kemp-Perdue is a foregone conclusion at this point, but for a more interesting question...

Who wins the Republican primary for Secretary of State?  Will Raffensperger survive?  I expect that a lot of crossover Democrats (I was one) voted for him.

People were writing his obituary a while ago, but he's run a good race and could very well survive. Maybe even in the first round.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1528441681191788544
https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1528443821293461505
Taylor is well back in the pack, which is a good thing because she's bat*** insane.  I've seen some of her campaign signs in a rural part of Cherokee County.  Her slogan is:

JESUS
GUNS
BABIES

[wbrocks67]

This is probably the worst state to compare partisan turnout to each other considering what many have said in this thread - that many Dems are crossing over to vote R.

That being said, I'm surprised it's even 43% D, which suggests GA is continuing its evolution.

[Mr. Smith]

Kind of funny how the tables have completely turned from a few years ago when Kemp ran as a "politically incorrect conservative" and Perdue was a suburban-friendly Chamber of Commerce type.

Perdue ran with residual Romney/Tea Party stuff and Jack Kingston was an opponent.

Kemp started after trump took over everything, and there was the matter of Cagle to get past.

[Pink Panther]

https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1528441681191788544
https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1528443821293461505
Taylor is well back in the pack, which is a good thing because she's bat*** insane.  I've seen some of her campaign signs in a rural part of Cherokee County.  Her slogan is:

JESUS
GUNS
BABIES

I wonder if Georgians see this as offensive and stereotypes the culture?

[Unelectable Bystander]

This is probably the worst state to compare partisan turnout to each other considering what many have said in this thread - that many Dems are crossing over to vote R.

That being said, I'm surprised it's even 43% D, which suggests GA is continuing its evolution.

This is insanity. Turnout is hard to compare in this state but we are going to do it anyways to show that an R advantage is actually a sign of a D trend? I also expect Georgia to continue evolving but it won’t be because of this lol

Also, the Election Day vs early voting is so lopsided that it’s shocking R’s could lead anywhere in early voting. Any potential surge won’t be recognized until tomorrow