Documenting the FL Democratic Party's 20+ year dry spell on a national map

[LoneStarDem]

Here are the states that have managed to elect a Democratic governor during the FL Dems' 20 year dry spell:

What a national embarrassment.

The FL Dems died with then-FL Governor Lawton Chiles (D) on December 12th, 1998 & they haven't been the same ever since.

With FL Governor Ronald DeSantis (R) likely to win reelection very overwhelmingly (he might crack 60%) in 2022, I doubt the FL Dems will ever get the FL Governor's Mansion back in 2026 if Fried runs for it.

[LoneStarDem]

I should note that the NV Dems had a similar problem until Sisolak finally ended 20 years of GOP dominance in Carson City in 2018.

[LoneStarDem]

Big question is whether it's time for the Dems to leave FL & move to NC, TX, etc., ?

[LoneStarDem]

Jeb was the last FL Governor to win by double digits in 2002.

[LoneStarDem]

Hell I’m starting to feel that TX (if Abbot decides against another term) and SD (if Sutton runs again) might be more likely to flip before FL. I think DeSantis will do much better in 2022 with Rubio also on the ballot

TX is NOT flipping back to the Dems anytime soon. Abbott is running for reelection in 2022 & he'll win by double digits (20 percentage points).

[LoneStarDem]

Hell I’m starting to feel that TX (if Abbot decides against another term) and SD (if Sutton runs again) might be more likely to flip before FL. I think DeSantis will do much better in 2022 with Rubio also on the ballot

TX is NOT flipping back to the Dems anytime soon. Abbott is running for reelection in 2022 & he'll win by double digits (20 percentage points).

He only beat a lackluster candidate by 13 points last year though. I think the days of Republicans winning TX by 20+ points are over.

Valdez did better than Obama

You can blame the Cruz & O'Rourke US Senate contest for that.

[LoneStarDem]

It's pathetic that Democrats won TWO Governor elections in WYOMING during that time.

The Florida Democratic Party is a disgrace, which was exemplified by Bill Nelson losing in a D+8.6 year.

Also won two in Oklahoma. And Tennessee. And Arkansas. Not to mention three in Kentucky and Kansas.

The AR Dems since the Clinton's left on December 12th, 1992:

1994: Tucker (D)
2006: Bebee (D)
2010: Bebee (D)

[LoneStarDem]

Since 1990, Ohio Democrats have elected one governor against an incumbent with a literal 5% approval rating in 2006.

Taft was not running in 2006.

That's what I get for speaking without looking it up. Yep, the 2006 GOP nominee was Ken Blackwell and they were coming off of Taft and his 5% approval rating.

I've heard that Blackwell really wanted to run for the OH Governor's Residence in 1998, but the OH GOP pushed him to go for OH Secretary of State instead.

[LoneStarDem]

It might be best for the FL Dems to build the party with FL Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried (D) leading the helm.

I can see her running for the FL Governor's Mansion in 2026 (assuming DeSantis wins the Presidency in 2024), though she'll have go up against Nunez.

[LoneStarDem]

Is Gillum going to federal prison if this investigation continues to drag out & expand ? I believe it's safe to say his political career (or whatever is left of it) is OVER.

[LoneStarDem]

FL Dems need to unite behind FL Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried (D) in 2026.

1.) Trump will be long gone by then.

2.) No US Senate contest.