Beet
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,914
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« on: June 17, 2019, 10:47:11 PM » |
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They just got really unlucky. In 2018, their candidate would have won but got hit with the FBI bug right before the election. In 2014, they had a good candidate but it was just a heavy GOP year. In 2010, same thing -- good candidate, heavy GOP year. Would have won a neutral year. In 2006, the GOP candidate ran very close to the center and so overcame a bad year. In 2002, it was the Bush era.
Generally Im not a fan of idpol, but Florida is one area where the Dems have not done a good job of Hispanic outreach compared to the GOP, they barely have any Latinx electeds & almost never run them for statewide office. They are also losing WWC who used to vote for them. Finally, they are losing seniors who used to vote for them (the greatest generation turning into boomers). With these 3 triple blows it's just enough to keep the GOP in the majority statewide.
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