2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins
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  2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins
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Poll
Question: Ballot Preference: Which candidate would you vote for?
#1
Bevin (R)
 
#2
Beshear (D)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 163

Author Topic: 2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins  (Read 53292 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #725 on: November 05, 2019, 06:33:42 PM »

DDHQ has the Jefferson early vote: 64.5 to 34.5 Beshear. 4768 to 2552.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #726 on: November 05, 2019, 06:39:55 PM »

Fayette County absentee 2015: Bevin: 633 Conway: 1,041
Fayette County absentee 2019: Bevin: 1,503 Beshear: 2,962
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #727 on: November 05, 2019, 06:46:29 PM »

Bevin back in the lead.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #728 on: November 05, 2019, 07:10:25 PM »

Welp, Beshear won Bath County by 6.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #729 on: November 05, 2019, 07:13:14 PM »

Wests reporting in.
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Person Man
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« Reply #730 on: November 05, 2019, 07:15:02 PM »


Didn’t Trump win it by 40?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #731 on: November 05, 2019, 07:20:05 PM »

Brashear getting close to 42% in Boone County. That's insanely good. Bevin won by over 2 to 1 there last time.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #732 on: November 05, 2019, 07:23:06 PM »

Also the reporting sites seem to be incredibly behind on Fayette County. Brashear is winning there by 40k votes (Conway only won it by 10k).
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #733 on: November 05, 2019, 07:30:24 PM »

1/4 of all precincts in, and Bevin leads by 5.3
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Ebsy
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« Reply #734 on: November 05, 2019, 07:31:07 PM »

Beshear narrowly wins Brethitt County, carrying the Hillbilly Elegy vote.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #735 on: November 05, 2019, 07:47:01 PM »

My Bevin +6 prediction seems to be coming true.

This good results for Beshear are tempting, but this is Kentucky and Matt Bevin will triumph (unfortunately for Kentuckians).
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Ebsy
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« Reply #736 on: November 05, 2019, 07:49:16 PM »

My Bevin +6 prediction seems to be coming true.

This good results for Beshear are tempting, but this is Kentucky and Matt Bevin will triumph (unfortunately for Kentuckians).
I would not say this is consistent with the results so far... Beshear is currently leading.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #737 on: November 05, 2019, 07:52:09 PM »

My Bevin +6 prediction seems to be coming true.

This good results for Beshear are tempting, but this is Kentucky and Matt Bevin will triumph (unfortunately for Kentuckians).
I would not say this is consistent with the results so far... Beshear is currently leading.

No he isn't, he's down by 4 and a good chunk of Jefferson is in...not good.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #738 on: November 05, 2019, 07:53:15 PM »

My Bevin +6 prediction seems to be coming true.

This good results for Beshear are tempting, but this is Kentucky and Matt Bevin will triumph (unfortunately for Kentuckians).
I would not say this is consistent with the results so far... Beshear is currently leading.
Actually, these results are quite consistent with that.
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Donerail
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« Reply #739 on: November 05, 2019, 07:54:42 PM »

God, I was gonna go through and find all the dumb "Bevin's gonna crush it" predictions but y'all keep posting them! Thank you!
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Continential
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« Reply #740 on: November 05, 2019, 07:56:11 PM »

Cameron should be declared winner in the AG race.
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Wazza [INACTIVE]
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« Reply #741 on: November 05, 2019, 07:57:32 PM »

Beshear wins Elliott by 20 points 59-39 according to CNN.
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2019/results/kentucky/governor
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #742 on: November 05, 2019, 07:58:40 PM »

Beshear wins by about 3 or 4 imo
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Zaybay
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« Reply #743 on: November 05, 2019, 08:00:56 PM »

My Bevin +6 prediction seems to be coming true.

This good results for Beshear are tempting, but this is Kentucky and Matt Bevin will triumph (unfortunately for Kentuckians).
I would not say this is consistent with the results so far... Beshear is currently leading.
Actually, these results are quite consistent with that.

Not really, in fact these results kinda point to a Beshear victory, but we still need to wait and see.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #744 on: November 05, 2019, 08:03:17 PM »

If Beshear wins I'll be more than ecstatic, and I'm getting caught up in the fervor right now. But I still maintain Kentucky will Kentucky.
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Badger
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« Reply #745 on: November 05, 2019, 08:03:52 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2019, 08:32:41 PM by Badger »

You technically forgot one of the models:



Something near High-polarization though is the likeliest path, perhaps with bit more leeway.

Which Brashear won by 6.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #746 on: November 05, 2019, 08:05:00 PM »

God, I was gonna go through and find all the dumb "Bevin's gonna crush it" predictions but y'all keep posting them! Thank you!

"+8"
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #747 on: November 05, 2019, 08:11:27 PM »

Ah, now it's looks like we're getting something promising for Beshear.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #748 on: November 05, 2019, 08:11:36 PM »

Icespear BTFO
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #749 on: November 05, 2019, 08:12:39 PM »

Dare we believe?
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