2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins
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  2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins
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Poll
Question: Ballot Preference: Which candidate would you vote for?
#1
Bevin (R)
 
#2
Beshear (D)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 163

Author Topic: 2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins  (Read 53204 times)
Skunk
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« Reply #625 on: November 05, 2019, 01:56:01 PM »

Bevin not exactly exuding confidence.


Is he doing ok?

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #626 on: November 05, 2019, 01:57:14 PM »

It’s raining in Louisville.

Beshear doomed !
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #627 on: November 05, 2019, 01:58:01 PM »

Reminder, CD's 1 and 2 don't close till 7pm ET in KY, and if Beshear cannot lead by at least low to mid singles in the combined 3,4,5, and 6 CD vote, he's just 120% toast.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #628 on: November 05, 2019, 01:58:42 PM »



Report of heavy turnout in Shelbyville precinct 102, which is heavily Democratic in statewide contests. Conway won it 335 to 238 (54-38) in 2015. Jim Gray also won it over Rand Paul in 2016.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #629 on: November 05, 2019, 02:01:38 PM »

How can turnout be „heavy“ there with 200 votes cast, when 600 have been cast there in the low turnout 2015 election?
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Holmes
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« Reply #630 on: November 05, 2019, 02:05:21 PM »

How can turnout be „heavy“ there with 200 votes cast, when 600 have been cast there in the low turnout 2015 election?

Because they're comparing it to the previous gubernatorial election?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #631 on: November 05, 2019, 02:08:04 PM »

How can turnout be „heavy“ there with 200 votes cast, when 600 have been cast there in the low turnout 2015 election?

Because they're comparing it to the previous gubernatorial election?

That was the 2015 election ...
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Holmes
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« Reply #632 on: November 05, 2019, 02:16:35 PM »

How can turnout be „heavy“ there with 200 votes cast, when 600 have been cast there in the low turnout 2015 election?

Because they're comparing it to the previous gubernatorial election?

That was the 2015 election ...

Re-read the tweet. 200 votes today at 1 PM vs 40 at that time in 2015.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #633 on: November 05, 2019, 02:19:08 PM »

How can turnout be „heavy“ there with 200 votes cast, when 600 have been cast there in the low turnout 2015 election?

Because they're comparing it to the previous gubernatorial election?

That was the 2015 election ...

Re-read the tweet. 200 votes today at 1 PM vs 40 at that time in 2015.

I know.

But it could mean that people are just voting earlier in the day this time and fewer in the afternoon.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #634 on: November 05, 2019, 02:20:36 PM »

How can turnout be „heavy“ there with 200 votes cast, when 600 have been cast there in the low turnout 2015 election?

Because they're comparing it to the previous gubernatorial election?

That was the 2015 election ...

Re-read the tweet. 200 votes today at 1 PM vs 40 at that time in 2015.

I know.

But it could mean that people are just voting earlier in the day this time and fewer in the afternoon.
nah turnout is always higher the later in the day you get in the USA
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #635 on: November 05, 2019, 02:23:47 PM »

How can turnout be „heavy“ there with 200 votes cast, when 600 have been cast there in the low turnout 2015 election?

Because they're comparing it to the previous gubernatorial election?

That was the 2015 election ...

Re-read the tweet. 200 votes today at 1 PM vs 40 at that time in 2015.

I know.

But it could mean that people are just voting earlier in the day this time and fewer in the afternoon.
nah turnout is always higher the later in the day you get in the USA

Maybe not this time, because a lot have voted until 1pm already ...

Would be good though if higher turnout happens, because the US really sucks balls with it’s 30% turnouts ...
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Ebsy
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« Reply #636 on: November 05, 2019, 02:37:47 PM »

Voting surges in the afternoon as people get off work/leave early to go vote. This is how it goes in ever election, with heavy voting between like 3 and 6 pm.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #637 on: November 05, 2019, 02:38:16 PM »

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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #638 on: November 05, 2019, 02:44:42 PM »



If that's true, Beshear might as well start measuring the drapes in the Governor's Mansion.
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Matty
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« Reply #639 on: November 05, 2019, 02:46:20 PM »

Here we go....turn out reports that juice the hopes of atlas reds

If turnout is so high in Louisville, why assume it isn’t high elsewhere?

A high turnout Kentucky election favors the GOP
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #640 on: November 05, 2019, 02:47:10 PM »

A high turnout Kentucky election favors the GOP

It doesn't. Turnout was low last time, and they won.
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Holmes
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« Reply #641 on: November 05, 2019, 02:48:11 PM »



If that's true, Beshear might as well start measuring the drapes in the Governor's Mansion.

But you don't know what turnout is in the rest of the state.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #642 on: November 05, 2019, 02:56:23 PM »

It’s raining in Louisville.

Beshear doomed !

Rain in NOLO!
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #643 on: November 05, 2019, 02:58:26 PM »



If that's true, Beshear might as well start measuring the drapes in the Governor's Mansion.

Drapes are not populist, shame on you.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #644 on: November 05, 2019, 02:58:51 PM »

Here we go....turn out reports that juice the hopes of atlas reds

If turnout is so high in Louisville, why assume it isn’t high elsewhere?

A high turnout Kentucky election favors the GOP

Believe this at your own will.









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Ebsy
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« Reply #645 on: November 05, 2019, 02:59:39 PM »



This precinct was extremely close in 2015, Bevin 287 to 260, winning with under 50% of the vote.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #646 on: November 05, 2019, 03:06:42 PM »

Here we go....turn out reports that juice the hopes of atlas reds

If turnout is so high in Louisville, why assume it isn’t high elsewhere?

A high turnout Kentucky election favors the GOP

Believe this at your own will.










How would these people know the exact results of absentee votes in all these counties before polls close? For that matter it is highly suspect that the libertarian has gotten 0% from these votes
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Cinemark
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« Reply #647 on: November 05, 2019, 03:06:58 PM »

Not getting my hopes up, but even super unpopular incumbents can loose in deeply partisan states.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #648 on: November 05, 2019, 03:09:51 PM »

Here we go....turn out reports that juice the hopes of atlas reds

If turnout is so high in Louisville, why assume it isn’t high elsewhere?

A high turnout Kentucky election favors the GOP

Believe this at your own will.










How would these people know the exact results of absentee votes in all these counties before polls close? For that matter it is highly suspect that the libertarian has gotten 0% from these votes

No idea, should note that it appears the kypoljunkie is a Democrat and the KYPatroit17 is a Republican. They might have inside sources who are leaking informaiton? That's why I said believe this at your own will.
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Matty
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« Reply #649 on: November 05, 2019, 03:11:29 PM »

Here we go....turn out reports that juice the hopes of atlas reds

If turnout is so high in Louisville, why assume it isn’t high elsewhere?

A high turnout Kentucky election favors the GOP

Believe this at your own will.










How would these people know the exact results of absentee votes in all these counties before polls close? For that matter it is highly suspect that the libertarian has gotten 0% from these votes

No idea, should note that it appears the kypoljunkie is a Democrat and the KYPatroit17 is a Republican. They might have inside sources who are leaking informaiton? That's why I said believe this at your own will.

In KY, does early vote skew a certain way compared to Election Day vote?
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