Codger Brian Kemp will run out of luck. No surprise if Sununu and DeSantis lose also, their margins in 2018 were not safe. If JBE loses in Louisiana, I'd add Laura Kelly to the list.
A Midterm with a Dem as President will cause low turnout and in states like Georgia that means a loss
Trump has changed everything. Low attendance midterms may well be a thing of the past now that young voters have wised up to GOP's all-engulfing nihilism.
Back in 2014, when 35M voted Dem in the House, would you have imagined that the following midterms would bring over 60M Dem voters to the polls? That's +70%.